Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - January 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/22/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTOS TO WILSON         (kruljac eric)BAZE C 124 8.00    
MAGIC MAN         (mandella g)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
CALI BAY (IRE)         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
RACKATAPTAP         (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 124 20.00    
AIR FORCE RED         (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
TRAINER PLEASE         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 5.00    
HOUNDSTOOTH         (mandella rich)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
 
SA-2   01/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BASIL FLAVOR         (gallagher p)HERRERA A 119 8.00    
SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Jan16         (knapp steve)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
NAUGHTY EVELYN         (meredith dere)PYFER JESSICA 124 3.00    
FOR THE GOOD TIMES         (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00    
DREAM PRINCESS         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 51% 0.90    
 
SA-3   01/22/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITH THIS VOW         (ellis rona)VAN DRAYDEN 124 2.50    
VA VA VOOM Jan02         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.50    
LIL'S BIG SHOT Jan07         (yakteen tim)BAZE C 124 6.00 8% 11.00    
TRANSLATE         (falcone rob)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 0.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC STEPS (IRE)         ( )TBA null      
 
SA-4   01/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE COLD GOLD         (d'amato phi)HERRERA A 117 2.00    
HARDDIANE Jan14         (hanson rya)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
HEAVEN'S GHOST         (dunham dan)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 12.00    
CLASSICAL ROMANCE         (nehf jay)CURATOLO RYAN 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
K P KRYPTON         (mullins jeff)BAZE C 120 4.00    
COLORATURA Jan08         (yakteen tim)PYFER JESSICA 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
SA-5   01/22/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED PANTY NIGHT         (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 2.00 68% 0.50    
SUITE MADAM BLUE         (eurton peter)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50    
PLUM SEXY         (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60    
PHILLY LISHES         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 119 6.00    
SHE LOVES KARAOKE         (saavedra k)BAZE C 124 10.00    
SPANISH CHANNEL Jan08         (nichols sa)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-6   01/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONAMO         (ruiz lorenzo)ESPINOZA V 124 4.00    
DIRECT LINE         (eurton peter)BAZE C 124 3.50    
HOLDEN THE LUTE         (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.50    
IMPOSSIBLE TASK Jan02         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 32% 2.10    
OTTAWA FIRE (IRE) Jan02         (hess b)MALDONADO E 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
 
SA-7   01/22/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAOS THEORY         (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
COMRADERY (IRE)         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
COMMANDER (FR) Jan01         (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
BARRAZA Jan02         (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Jan08         (papaprodromou)CURATOLO RYAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
VANZZY         (baltas richar)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
WESTON         (hanson ryan)SMITH E 120 20.00    
BORDER TOWN         (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
 
SA-8   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSE OF DOMINANCE         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
VITTORO         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
MIDNIGHT FURY         (o'neill dou)HERRERA A 117 4.00    
HAPPY RUNNER         (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 122 6.00 35% 1.80    
CLASSIC MARK         (callaghan simon)BAZE C 122 15.00    
HAPPY JACK         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00    
BEAUTIFUL ART         (callaghan simon)SMITH E 122 15.00    
BLETCHLEY PARK         (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
SA-9   01/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SAVANT         (eurton peter)BAZE C 122 12.00    
SUNDOWN WARREN         (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
MO THEM DOWN         (d'amato ph)VAN DRAYDEN 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
MISSING MAURICE         (guillen ricard)FRANCO CESAR 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
ITS BIG Jan01         (periban jo)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 12.00    
LOOKOUT POINT Jan14         (knapp steve)CURATOLO RYAN 122 2.50 43% 1.40    
BALDORO         (hofmans da)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
EGOMANIA         (callaghan s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.