Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Saturday - January 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   01/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Jan04         (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
1A  LONGLIVEJUSTICE Jan14         (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 14% 6.20    
COSMIC TREASURE         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 43% 1.40    
SCR  STORM RISK Jan12         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 2.50    
PERFECT SENSE Jan04         (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
COMPLY (NZ)         (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
GOLDEN MONEY         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 5.00    
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 18.40    
PRIVATE DRIVE Jan12         (juarez lore)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
 
MVR-2   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANES HEART Jan05         (vazquez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00    
CATMAN JACK Jan05         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 0.80 42% 1.40    
RUN ROCKY Jan05         (madrig)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
VENTURE ON         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 122 8.00 13% 6.70    
JOHNS BIG RED Jan05         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
WINK DON'T THINK Jan05         (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
TURBO POWER         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 20.00    
 
MVR-3   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULLION         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 12.00    
SCR  GARRETT         (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
HIPSTER         (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
DIAMONDS ENJOY         (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
STAGE LEFT         (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 2.00 10% 9.20    
FIRST HOMESTEAD         (meyers shan)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 6.00 9% 10.60    
EL MARRO         (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
FREDDY SOTO         (inirio carlos)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
PARKER         (elliott michel)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3 F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOSANNA         (johnson gary )BRACHO A 120 3.00    
1A  BUSYBEING FABULOUS         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
FLATTER HER AGAIN         (radosevich jeff)LEON SONNY 120 4.00    
QUEEN CREED         (anderson su)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
ANGEL WINGS Jan08         (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 11% 8.50    
QUALITY BET         (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 120 5.00    
MAYBE FRANKY         (adams l)PAUCAR E 120 20.00    
R THREE ANGELS         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 120 6.00    
 
MVR-5   01/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE SAGE (IRE) Jan12 Jan01       (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 13% 6.80    
ZOEYS TOUCH         (fiesman robert)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 9% 9.80    
AWESOME WONDER Jan01         (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
ROMANTICAL NOTE         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
DANCE ON OVER Jan01         (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 4.00    
STORMY BELLA Jan01         (sondej am)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 116 10.00    
HAPPYPLACE         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 10.00    
DEEP DISH         (richardville t)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
LELAWALA Jan01         (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 116 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-6   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING SCORE         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 126 15.00    
EMERALD EXPRESS Jan08         (huffman pat)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 2.00 12% 7.30    
PASSIONATE LUCK         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
SCR  HURRY ON OUT         (tooley jenni)WISEMAN ISAIAH 126 3.00    
SCR  HAPPILEA         (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 126 3.50 40% 1.50    
ROUTE ONE         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 4.00    
BIKO         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 126 6.00 10% 9.10    
 
MVR-7   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY SIGNS Jan05         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 116 3.00 37% 1.70    
MOBIL CHIC Jan05         (zielinski r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
SWEETASAHONEYBEE Jan04         (bird danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 8.00 12% 7.10    
AVA'S DESTINY         (chapman james )HOUGHTON D 116 10.00    
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jan05         (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Jan14         (maddox rachae)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00    
LARSA         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 6.00    
WWINSPIRED         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
 
MVR-8   01/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRITO DE PABLITO Jan04         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
PANAMANIAN TEASER Jan04         (urieta johan)ROSARIO L 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
SALT MINE TEDDY Jan04         (jackson jame)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 6% 14.80    
POMPEY'S RULE Jan04         (brown gle)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 12% 7.60    
BLOOMING GARDEN         (hughes w)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
EASTON ROCKS         (meraz anton)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 4.00    
ADANO         (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
BIG FRANK Jan09         (connelly te)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00    
BAHAMIAN PARK         (barnes a)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.