Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Saturday - January 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   01/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA BOY         (negrete j)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
SUMMER SHANDEE Jan01         (tha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC FILM         (delgad)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
ELBRILLO         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
MUROMEC Jan01         (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 120 6.00    
POETIC CODE Jan01         (sano antonio)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
FORT ATTITUDE         (ochoa ernest)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
SAVAGE SAILOR         (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 73% 0.40    
ONE MORE DAY         (amaya gustavo)REYES LEONEL 120 30.00    
10  BOARD CERTIFIED Jan01         (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
11  PAPA CHARLES         (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
12  ECCENTRICO Jan01         (gaffney emmy)REYES R 120 30.00    
SCR  HEART OF ROMAN Jan06         (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 30.00    
SCR  TAKEMYSHOT Jan12         (gaffney emm)CALLES FRANKLIN 113 20.00    
 
GP-2   01/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT-12:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBEL (IRE)         (winebaugh ch)ARROYO S null      
LOVE ME ARCHIE         (kel)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FIVEFINGERDISCOUNT         (nagle sarah)SUTHERLAND C 122 15.00    
AWESOME FAMILY         (nicks ralp)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 62% 0.60    
SCR  MINDSHIP Q         (amaya gustav)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00    
ADMIRAL TRUFFLES         (mongeo)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Jan07         (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 122 6.00    
JOYFUL SURPRISE         (negrete )MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 6% 15.30    
 
GP-3   01/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY CHARLOTTE         (carvaj)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
STARSHIP MALLOMAR         (gonzalez os)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
LIDO KEY         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
MORNING COLORS         (crichton rohan)RIOS M 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
I'M LISTENING         (gonzal)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 5.00    
APPOINTED         (dib)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
GP-4   01/22/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUCINA         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
SHAMROCKET Jan15         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 124 1.40 49% 1.10    
HERCULES Jan15         (alv)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00    
LURE HIM IN         (hess b)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  STIRLING DRIVE Jan14         (sanche)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 12.00    
MAX K. O.         (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
SIGILOSO         (sano anton)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
 
GP-5   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDEAL BREEZE         (delgado jorge)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
MUSICALLY INCLINED         (depaulo m)WILSON JAYNE 122 5.00    
SCR  WELL SHES HANDSOME         (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
FREEZER BURN         (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
YOU'RE THE BEST         (barboza vict)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
MISS LAMARR         (lutchman padar)BORACO DAVID 122 30.00    
LADY MECHANIC Jan07         (brooks e)HOLMES GAGE 112 10.00    
BAHAMIAN BEAUTY         (pinnock hube)ARROYO S 122 30.00    
 
GP-6   01/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE IDENTITY         (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
UP IN THE AIR         (nicks ralph )CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
TAG HER         (casse mark)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 10.00    
MILES OF SMILES         (orseno f)PANICI LUCA 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
LONDON LADY Jan09         (trombe)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  WILDCAT STAR Jan06         (gar)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00    
HARD TO CAPTURE         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
FOLKLAW         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
GP-7   01/22/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAMENT         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
ETERNAL REST         (gonzalez osc)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
SCR  WICKED FAST         (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
ALWAYS GAMBLING         (avila car)SUTHERLAND C 120 6.00    
SCR  GINGRICH Jan01         (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 120 3.00    
CREDIBILITY         (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
WAKE SURF         (arnold)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  RED KNOBS         (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
 
GP-8   01/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPREAD JOY         (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 120 15.00    
BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE         (wil)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RITA MARGA         (danner kelsey)SUTHERLAND C 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
AGRAFFE         (stidham m)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00    
PRETTY PROVOCATIVE         (bianco)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
MITIGATION         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
HOLIDAY PRINCESS         (mcpeek kenne)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 20.00    
SIEMPRE ELEGANTE Jan02         (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
LIAM'S KISS         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 13% 6.70    
10  BUTTERBEAN         (mcpeek kenne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
GP-9   01/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUCH DREAMS         (mosco robert)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 30.00    
LUCKY AS A SEVEN Jan01         (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 122 10.00 14% 5.90    
MACK         (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 12.00 13% 6.50    
WESTERN ADVANTAGE         (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
BACH (IRE)         (sanche)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 30.00    
LORD DARNLEY Jan07         (garcia r)REYES R 122 30.00    
SPECIAL MEISTER Jan06         (gonzalez oscar )JARAMILLO E 122 20.00    
IMPRESSIVE SPEED         (drexler mart)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00 8% 10.80    
SWEENEY'S CAT Jan02         (bates larry)PANICI LUCA 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
10  BIG BLUE         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
11  SKYWALKING Jan02         (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  ANOTHER DUKE Jan05         (yates michae)ARROYO S 122 3.50    
 
GP-10   01/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINOA TIFAH         (david car)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 10% 8.80    
SISTER OTOOLE         (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
KEY BISCAYNE         (alv)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 8.00    
KELSEY'S CROSS         (bianco)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00    
SCR  CLASSY WOMAN Jan08         (yanez moises)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
LOVELY LUVY         (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
SUGAR FIX         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
GP-11   01/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHO TIME         (ritvo p)PANICI LUCA 120 20.00    
SCR  SIR SAMUEL         (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 120 30.00    
STAR SHOPPING         (walsh brenda)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
BIRDNOTE         (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
MILLENNIUM CONDO         (wilensky her)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00 7% 12.60    
FISHING FOR FUN         (spatz ronal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
BELOVED WARRIOR         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
BLUTO'S CANDY         (maragh)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOYI         (fuentes mauri)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
10  GLORY AND VICTORY         (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 120 30.00    
11  FROSTY WARRIOR         (collazo henry)SUTHERLAND C 120 15.00    
12  CATATUMBO         (sano antonio)RIOS M 120 6.00 6% 15.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.