Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M V SPEED         (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.00    
LORD BERRIER         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.80 16% 5.40    
SANDY KISS         (munoz carlos)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
SMALL JOHN         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 122 20.00    
STREAKING GREY         (boland sharon)PEREZ EDGAR 117 6.00 15% 5.60    
READTHETRANSCRIPT         (marrero nest)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 10.00    
QUICK INTRO         (terranova jo)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00    
 
TAM-2   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY SONG         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 120 10.00    
TIZ HANDSOME         (carvajal jr)BISONO J 120 3.50    
FIRSTCADETE         (macha)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50    
MYSTERY MO Jan09         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
HE'S ROYALTY Jan07         (sims n)ALLEN M 120 12.00 13% 7.00    
JIMMY THE KID Jan09         (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
TAM-3   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREFERRED OUTCOME         (ferraro an)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
BERHANU Jan14         (morzan javier )CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00    
SOURCESANDMETHODS Jan12         (russell ra)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 15.00    
TANGLED WEB         (carrascojr vic)MORENO ANGEL 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
THE GREAT LOUDINI         (pimental john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
IMPERIAL BREW         (davis richa)GARCIA A 122 2.00    
BETTING ON RED Jan16 Jan08       (schistl rafael)FERRER C 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY MY BOY         (guciardo ka)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   01/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREPARE FOR GLORY Jan01         (blair jo)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
SCR  HE'S SMOKIN NOW         (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 120 4.00    
LITIGANT Jan02         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 120 6.00    
NATIVE HAWK Jan02         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
TONY SMALL Jan14         (ward denni)ROWLAND MADELINE 110 4.50 29% 2.40    
BOURBON WISDOM Jan02         (roque elis)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ARRIVEDERLA         (adorno jean)GARCIA A 123 6.00    
 
TAM-5   01/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTH MISSION         (zwiesler tom)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
KUNIK         (mcgaughey re)CASTANON L 120 4.50 12% 7.40    
ACTION DREAM         (dobber w)WALES GARY 120 12.00 7% 14.20    
ORIGO         (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00    
SIR SAFFER         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
ROCK THE STARS         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
BRAMBLE BEACH         (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
WINTER'S GHOST         (ali alnaz)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 10.00    
COMMANDER BIZ         (burns patricia)HENRY WESLEY 120 15.00    
 
TAM-6   01/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN SPICE         (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50    
SHES ASTYLISH KATZ         (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
RANSOMS REWARD Jan02         (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
ROYAL GOLD DIGGER         (schistl)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
DOES SHE KNOW         (getto larry)VALDES ALEXIS 122 30.00    
SCR  QUEEN TIGER Jan08         (axmaker w)CASTANON L 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
SHE'S SO SERIOUS         (getto larry)FERRER C 122 8.00    
PRINCESS LACIE         (green susan)JUDE JOHN 122 30.00    
CALIDAD         (sano ant)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-7   01/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLING BAILIFF         (blair jordan)CASTANON L 120 20.00    
SERIFOS         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 20.00    
BOLT FROM THE BLUE         (wilson noel)GARCIA A 120 20.00    
UNEXPECTED OUTCOME (IRE)         (brown c)FERRER C 120 4.00    
NAPOLEONIC WAR         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
BAGE         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00    
MACHINEGUNPREACHER         (arnett )DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
SEIGNEUR         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00    
LUDO         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  THE THUNDERER         (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  DELTA RIDGE         (hayford jennifer)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
 
TAM-8   01/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLA'S HONOR         (hall philip)HERNANDEZ K 120 6.00    
OUR ELECTRA GUITAR Jan02         (gatis chri)ROWLAND MADELINE 110 8.00    
QUEEN'S BEST Jan12         (be)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 120 8.00    
MORE MUCHO         (smith g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  BAHAMIAN BEACHBABE         (lorito mari)GARCIA A 120 20.00    
AKEMI         (azpurua edua)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
STARSHIP MACYS         (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 6.00    
KLASSI KASSI         (deaton willia)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00    
NIGHTMIDST Jan02         (vinson g)BISONO J 120 5.00    
10  FOXY AUSTIN         (acker scott)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 30.00    
11  ROMA MONA         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 120 30.00    
12  SAVE THE FLAG         (azpurua eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00    
13  BLAZE AWAY N HIDE Jan05         (arnett j)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-9   01/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER FELLOW         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 13% 6.40    
JAMA DILLON         (nunn dougla)GARCIA A 120 8.00    
WHISKEY PLANK         (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 10.00    
WESTWARD LOOK Jan02         (sanner daniel)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
HYPE MAN         (fisher d)GALLARDO A 123 8.00    
BARAHIN Jan05         (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 12.00    
COCHISE CHARLIE Jan02         (glyshaw tim)CENTENO E 120 5.00    
DYNAMORE         (dini mike)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
LUCA DREW THE ACE Jan09         (raymo)DOMINGUEZ G 120 20.00    
10  REINER         (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50    
SCR  UNIMPEACHED Jan02         (mckanas)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
SCR  ESTILO VARONIL Jan02         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 4.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  FEISTY KITTEN Jan15         (rigattieri j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  MR. SARCASTIC         (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.