Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 45 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAPA MOLLY         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
INFINITE MORO Jan13         (r)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
PARABELLUM         (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
MORO MERICA         (gustafson)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 3.00 58% 0.70    
A FEW DOLLARS MORE         (bravo francis)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 2.00    
HEAVENLY TRUMP         (chacaltana )HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
A HUNK OF HEAVEN         (baldillez alej)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
STONEMEISTER         (davidson brent)PEREZ E 123 6.00    
 
HOU-2   01/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST BUMP RIDGE Jan07         (kotara rona)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.00    
1A  EL CHOCOLATE         (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 4.00    
MOONSHINERBOY         (dodson )GONCALVES R 123 10.00    
DUCHESS OF ZMOR         (franc)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 113 30.00 7% 13.70    
PROUD TO SERVE         (carrizales )GILES FRANCISCO 123 20.00 9% 10.50    
MUCHO BLING         (y)DE CRUZ 123 4.50    
SCR  GUERO DINERO         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
POLICY LIMIT         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
HOU-3   01/21/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF OURS N STORMY         (c)DE CRUZ 119 4.50    
SCR  TOUGH CHARLIE         (thomas lee)WETHEY JR 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
AGENT MCGEE         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 119 3.00 18% 4.50    
COLONEL TOM         (villafranco m)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 12.00 15% 5.50    
MCKAY Jan06         (brooks andre)SANCHEZ M 119 50.00    
PAPA RIZZO         (rober)LABARRE GRACE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTY BOY Jan14         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 4.00    
FRESH ONE         (gustafson aust)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
ZMOR ARISTOCAT         (franc)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 30.00    
 
HOU-4   01/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATIN ROSE         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00    
LATER ON         (a)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
EPICUREAN         (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  MRSG'S LIL DREAMER Jan06         (georg)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 30.00    
SCARRAZANO         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 10.00    
ENCOURAGING         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 0.80 31% 2.20    
MOM'S PRAYER Jan06         (brooks andre)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00    
 
HOU-5   01/21/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND BROWN         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 10.00    
MY BABYS GONE         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
IRMA M         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 10.00 25% 3.00    
FADED MEMORIES Jan07         (villafranco marti)PEREZ E 123 6.00    
QUEEN OF THE LANE Jan06         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.60 48% 1.10    
STILL OF THE NIGHT Jan07         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00    
LIGHT SHIFT         (davidson br)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 20.00    
LUTESCOOT N BOOGIE Jan06         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50    
CROSS BOSS LADY         (clary j)GONCALVES R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  IN THE VAULT         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 123 10.00    
 
HOU-6   01/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT-10:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OH MARVELOUS ME         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 8.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  GOLD CRUSHER         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 119 3.50    
BIZZY LEGS         (davidson brent)MONTALVO C 121 4.50    
LEMON KICK         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00    
SCR  DRIFTING WEST         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 119 12.00    
ST. LOUIE GUY         (barton amand)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00    
VANGILDER         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
VICTORY BOULEVARD         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 10.00    
HAVE A PLAN         (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
10  HEROIC SONG         (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 12.00    
 
HOU-7   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT-10:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKMAN         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 0.80 37% 1.70    
SCR  SPEED EFFECT Jan07         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 0.80    
REMEMBER ME TONY Jan15         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 8.00    
HONDO LANE         (davis h)PEREZ E 123 12.00    
ROUSING SLAMMER         (davis sha)TRIANA JR 123 15.00    
ALTERNATE TIME         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
BOBBY DON         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
PERFECT DUDE         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00    
 
HOU-8   01/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT-11:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY VOW         (villafranco m)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 10.00    
JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE)         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 119 6.00    
TEXAS BAD BOY         (scholl k)CHACALTANA DOMINGO 119 20.00    
CONVICTION TRADE         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
NEWPORT BEACH         (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
SPACE MOUNTAIN         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00 5% 17.70    
COLLOQUIST         (pish danny)SORENSON D 119 4.00    
QUARKY         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
HARD ATTACK         (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 119 5.00 9% 9.80    
10  SILENCE D'ORO         (keen da)GONCALVES R 119 10.00 8% 10.90    
 
HOU-9   01/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT-11:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROEXIT Jan08         (villafranco mart)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
SCR  WITH THE BAND Jan06         (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 9% 10.70    
I'M MONEY Jan08         (short w)DIAZ CARLOS 123 15.00    
MAU MAU (BRZ) Jan08         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 3.50    
CASCADE KING         (lucarelli fr)RICHARD RONALD 123 4.50    
SHANGHAI'S DREAM         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
HULEN Jan06         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
HOU-10   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT-12:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL         (moreno carlos)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00    
SPEEDOMETER         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
SUMMER CAT         (eoff terry)MONTALVO C 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
FARM GIRL         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 122 20.00    
DREAM PIRE         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
SUPER EMPIRE         (offolter jo)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00    
BEER EMPRESS         (pish da)GONCALVES R 122 10.00    
SANGRIA CITY         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
GET OUT TONIGHT         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
10  MIDNIGHT FLYER         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.