Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - January 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   01/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN MAMIBELLA         (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 120 15.00    
BLAME THE MEDIA         (braddy)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 12.00 9% 9.90    
WE'VE HAD ENOUGH Jan16         (tharrenos wi)ARROYO S 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
CUPID AUSTIN         (acker scott )MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
LADY YOUNES         (minguet )MARTINEZ A 120 4.00    
GOLDEN ISLE Jan06         (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
UNCAPTURED FAITH         (pinchin jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 12% 7.30    
MIAMI SOUVENIRS         (collazo henry)SUTHERLAND C 120 8.00    
 
GP-2   01/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO PRINCES         (cibelli jan)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.50    
SPIN RATE         (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
KING SLEW (ARG)         (duco luis)BORACO DAVID 122 12.00    
CHROME FINISH Jan02         (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
BOLDNESS         (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
METEORITO         (reviriego jua)LUGO D 122 4.00 8% 11.60    
 
GP-3   01/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YORK'S FINEST         (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.00    
FOREST SURVIVOR         (belsoeur yvon)PANICI LUCA 122 6.00    
SCR  IMPERIAL KING Jan08         (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRAN MALBEC Jan08         (brooks ger)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 8% 11.50    
HARD BELLE         (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 120 10.00    
STAR WEAVER         (budhoo stev)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
NO NAY MAYBE (IRE)         (bre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00    
RECONFIGURE         (drexler martin)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 49% 1.10    
 
GP-4   01/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLDING COURT         (winebaugh ch)ARROYO S 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
ICE LOVE         (biancone patri)SUTHERLAND C 120 10.00    
SCR  PRINCESS LEAN         (avila carl)JARAMILLO E 120 6.00    
FERMINA DAZA         (davis chris)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES         (hiles a)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
DISCO QUEEN         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 3.00    
 
GP-5   01/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE RO         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  JEZEBEL'S KITTEN         (davis chris)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
INTO VANISHING         (thomas jonathan)JARAMILLO E 120 12.00    
UNDISTURBED         (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 10.00    
HAVANA LOVE (IRE)         (walsh bre)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50    
INGRASSIA         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
STARSHIP NTERPRISE         (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
SCR  STOLEN HOLIDAY         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
GP-6   01/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUBROVNIK         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
STORMY PATTERN         (joseph saffie )SUTHERLAND C 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
MACHISTO         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 7% 12.90    
POSEIDON'S SON         (negrete javier)RAMIREZ R 120 10.00    
KING TSUNAMI Jan14         (trombetta micha)JARAMILLO E 120 5.00    
CARNIVORE         (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
 
GP-7   01/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE'S KINGDOM Jan12         (orseno f)PANICI LUCA 120 20.00    
SCR  RAISON THE GLASS         (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
CACTUS KITTEN Jan01         (amado enriqu)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Jan01         (williams andre)BORACO DAVID 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
KENTUCKY PRIDE         (hess b)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 6.00    
PERFECT KIMBERLY S Jan01         (dwoskin stev)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 21% 3.90    
ENGLISH CHARMER         (trombe)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
EAGLE EYE         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
 
GP-8   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN COMMANDER         (yates michael)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
AERONAUT         (russo j)SUTHERLAND C 122 3.00    
CREATIVE CLOUD         (hennig mar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
DEMOCRACY         (sano antonio)REYES R 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  FRIAR TUCK         (cibelli jan)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00    
BIG DADDY DAVE         (nicks e)JARAMILLO E 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
GP-9   01/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VANDALIA Jan01         (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
SUNSTRIKE (IRE)         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 27% 2.60    
PALMACH         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00    
FISH MOONEY Jan02         (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00 11% 8.30    
MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER Jan01         (engler jeff)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
EASY COME EASY GO         (braddy)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SISTER NELL         (pletcher to)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
GP-10   01/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYOR REMO         (fuentes mauri)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
EXCHANGE DAY Jan06         (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
TIGER         (david a)JARAMILLO E 120 6.00    
SUPER DESIGN Jan06         (ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
MISTER LEONARDO         (maragh a)MARAGH TONY 120 6.00    
TIMMY M. Jan01         (mcgoey)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00 13% 6.50    
FEAST         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
ASTROTURF Jan02         (sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.