Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - January 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST EMPRESS         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  TESUQUE Jan13         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00    
HARLONS COMMISION Jan01         (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50    
GEE GEE Jan06         (cox l)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 7% 14.20    
MEMORY MAGIC Jan01         (white dale)FUSILIER C 115 4.50    
GIRL THIRSTY         (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 10.00    
LOVE TO LEARN Jan06         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
ORB'S SOUL         (holland me)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 118 10.00    
 
DED-2   01/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL POWER         (noel dane)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
LUKE'S CAJUN STAR         (sam w)KENNEDY TY 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
ALL OUR TIME         (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
GALAXY BUILDER Jan06         (white dale)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00 13% 6.70    
MY PAL MATTIE         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 1.80 13% 6.60    
TONI'S STAR         (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00    
 
DED-3   01/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART ANALYSIS         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 3.50 50% 1.00    
STRUTTIN APRIORITY         (thomas lee)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 121 6.00    
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER         (roberts ken)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 20.00    
BIG ACE         (klanfe)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
MAJESTIC ARTIE         (pike l)THORNTON G 121 8.00    
WICKED ROSE         (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 121 4.50 5% 17.60    
HARD KINGS         (ladner herman)STOKES J 121 15.00    
KING OF CONTRABAND         (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
R T'S D'ORO         (sam w)KENNEDY TY 121 20.00    
10  DUDE DROP KID         (dixon tim)FLORES S 121 6.00    
SCR  BOSTON BUSTER Jan08         (dodson clif)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 8.00    
SCR  HEARTTHROB HALO Jan08         (morris rowdy)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
 
DED-4   01/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD EMINENCE         (gelner scott)POMPELL L 121 4.50    
SCR  DEAL WITH HIM         (landry ray)STOKES J 121 6.00 14% 6.00    
ZOEY'S HIPPIE Jan08         (fontenot curley )FUSILIER C 121 2.00 23% 3.40    
PETEY Jan08         (baker cebur)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 10.00    
CHEERFOR MSHAWISH         (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50    
TIME TWISTER Jan08         (breaux samu)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 5.00    
K R TARGET         (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
DED-5   01/21/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORY TO ME Jan01         (meza mar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 5.00 21% 3.80    
WORLD PARTY         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.00 13% 6.60    
I GOT WINGS         (zeno benjami)MAGNON H 118 10.00    
GUAPA CHICA         (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
US SECOND CUTE PIE         (zeno benjamin)MELANCON G 118 6.00    
PALM COURT         (berndt joel)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.50    
PRIDDIS         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
DED-6   01/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAVE RUNNER         (larrosa juan )PUSAC ALBERTO 123 12.00    
MY KIKI Jan06         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
FEDERAL COURT         (singh s)BURNINGHAM J 123 8.00 7% 12.90    
HAPPYGOBUCKY Jan06         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
CAMP HALO Jan05         (robbins han)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00    
C C CROWN'S CHOICE Jan06         (huval brian)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00 7% 14.40    
MOLLYS FLYIN HIGH         (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
SURE BABY         (richard chris)MELANCON G 123 3.50 5% 18.50    
BIGJIM'S SILVERGAL Jan06         (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 20.00    
 
DED-7   01/21/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLET SHADOWS Jan02         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
MISS TONALIST         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 121 8.00    
OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS         (black mauri)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 15.00    
TEASIN' TESLA         (brinkman brett)KENNEDY TY 121 6.00    
ANGEL AND ME Jan05         (west henry)BURNINGHAM J 121 12.00    
SMOKEY ANN Jan05         (gelner scott)POMPELL L 121 5.00 14% 6.00    
GIMME CANDY         (amoss m)THORNTON G 121 1.80 14% 5.90    
BARLEYGIRL         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
AMERICAN REALITY Jan05         (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-8   01/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY ROGUE         (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 120 8.00    
HOSTILE AFLEET         (haywood vann)MCMAHON J 117 10.00    
DUST EM         (delany sarah)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
WARRIORS GEM Jan06         (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 8.00 7% 12.50    
JAZZ IT UP         (white dale)FUSILIER C 120 5.00    
LOVER BOY Jan05         (richard chris)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00    
LIMBO'S PROMISE         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
SPANKHURST Jan08         (pomier chase)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
BACKSHOT         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
10  DREWZANO         (briley lonnie)STOKES J 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  DUSTY HILL         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
 
DED-9   01/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SVENGAIL         (nelson eric)FLORES S 123 6.00 10% 8.70    
MY AVANI         (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00    
THAT IS AWESOME         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
BRENDA'S DOLL         (kanhai joseph)BURNINGHAM J 120 15.00    
BELINDA         (walker phill)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 6% 15.20    
BABY LOCKOUT         (davis veronic)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 10.00    
SIMPLE SUNDAY         (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 36% 1.70    
HALF A BELL         (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SLEWPY'S HALO         (klopp randy)BIRZER E 123 15.00    
10  CUSTOM MADE         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  DEBS GIRL Jan05         (einerson)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
SCR  SHE CAUSED IT Jan06         (mason gary )RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.