Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   01/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHWEET PERSUASION         (arnett f)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
CORT'N ASONG Jan01         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
CANDY CRUSHEM         (nunn douglas)FERRER C 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
PAINTER'S PRIDE         (mazza w)ALVARADO JR 120 15.00    
YAK         (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 115 4.00    
KILLEEN Jan01         (arnett susan )GARCIA A 120 5.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Jan05         (mcgoey monica)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
 
TAM-2   01/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWINGIN FRIAR         (blair jordan)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
VALID EXCHANGE         (mcgoey )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
OPTIMAL COURAGE         (cruz jesus)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 9% 10.40    
RHOMBUS         (burns a)HENRY WESLEY 120 30.00    
RUNNING VIOLENCE Jan01         (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 123 3.50    
PELUCHIN CHIN Jan01         (munoz carlos)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 8.00    
PAPA LUKE Jan01         (raymond rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00    
 
TAM-3   01/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOVELERA         (delgado h)MARAGH TONY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLOURISHING         (casse mark)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
LAP OF LUXURY         (cruz jesus)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
READY TO FILM         (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
I'M BUZZY         (dini mike)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
MISS Z         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 120 4.00 6% 14.90    
SUMMER HELPER         (adorno l)FERRER C 118 6.00    
MOLLIES HOPE         (wilson noel)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
 
TAM-4   01/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGING RENEE Jan05         (o'connor )DE CRUZ 119 4.00    
CRYSTAL ORB Jan05         (mc john)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50    
R TENDERONI         (bennett ge)GALLARDO A 119 1.60 71% 0.40    
MELANCHOLY BLUES         (wilson tony)GARCIA A 119 8.00    
LADY MIDAS         (cotrone denise)VALDES ALEXIS 119 20.00    
RENNINAS ROSE         (falk jacqueline)JUDE JOHN 119 20.00    
CSILLA Jan05         (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 119 6.00    
FROST WARRIOR         (cruz jesus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 10.00    
 
TAM-5   01/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MANHATTAN         (escobar aliso)GARCIA A 123 8.00    
AWILDAS TREASURE         (cordero antonio)BISONO J 123 15.00    
PURTIZ         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
SWEET TINA         (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 70% 0.40    
KIZZY Jan02         (mcgoey monica)BATISTA A 123 12.00    
KITTENS MISS MOJO         (dobber w)WALES GARY 123 30.00    
CHA CHA MISSION         (caramori c)GALLARDO A 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
SARATOGA LULLABY         (wirth b)JUDE JOHN 123 6.00    
IDAKA         (barker r)CASTANON L 123 3.50    
10  CHIACHIARONE Jan09         (wasiluk peter)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 20.00    
SCR  TAMI'S ORCHID         (rigattieri)GALLARDO A 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STARSHIP SARATOGA         (ferraro antho)VALDES ALEXIS 123 5.00    
SCR  FAST FASHION         (dini mike)DE CRUZ 123 3.50    
SCR  EMMA LIVE         (sims n)JUDE JOHN 123 20.00    
 
TAM-6   01/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP DANCE FEVER Jan08         (bennett g)DE CRUZ 118 5.00    
CLAY'S MOON STONE         (arnett f)CENTENO E 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
BAHAMIAN MOON Jan05         (ward dennis)FERRER C 122 4.50    
CAUGHT UP IN YOU         (raymond robert)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
GRAMERCY         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50    
FEELING MISCHIEF         (campbell michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
TAM-7   01/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITUAL KING Jan05         (nunn dougl)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
YES SIR ROBERT         (blair jordan)CASTANON L 120 8.00    
CALL BROS         (carvajal luis )BATISTA A 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
BEE BY THE SEA         (mccarthy brend)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
BRIDGEKEEPER         (russo victor)GARCIA A 120 8.00 12% 7.00    
THENORTHREMEMBERS         (mckanas j)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
MONTAUK SUMMER         (dini mike)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
BRILLIANT JOURNEY         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 15.00    
ALABAMA SLAMMER         (russell randa)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
 
TAM-8   01/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTOR'S DESTINY         (wright michael )HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50 15% 5.70    
STRIKING HEIR Jan05         (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
CLIFFY Jan01         (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 119 15.00    
ROCKYSBUCKAROO         (pimental i)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
WILD WINTER         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 119 20.00    
MR LIGHTNING BOY Jan05         (feliciano be)ROWLAND MADELINE 109 6.00 5% 19.00    
OLD TIMER'S DAY Jan01         (cahill f)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
OHIO MUNNY         (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
RUMPOLE         (arnett susan )GARCIA A 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-9   01/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT JUNIOR Jan05         (parra hernan)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 5.00    
FINAL VALID         (smith robert )SPANABEL SKYLER 120 12.00    
JUPITER RAIN Jan01         (seyler douglas)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
STRONG EAGLE         (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 8.00    
PLAYING GOLD Jan05         (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00    
WONDER WATER         (richards renal)BATISTA A 120 3.50 79% 0.30    
THE DUNGEON         (foley d)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
FERGUS         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00    
SCR  EYE ON THE CANDY         (alvarado dian)GARCIA A 120 4.00    
10  ANGEL'S MAGIC         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00    
SCR  RACHEL DREAM Jan05         (duncan chris)MITCHELL RICHARD 115 15.00    
SCR  SUMMER BOSS Jan07         (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
SCR  WINTER'S GHOST         (ali alnaz)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 8.00    
SCR  COLORS         (machado)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.