Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - January 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   01/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDY GLO SAL         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 2.50    
OUR SWEET PEA         (saville n)CARRASCO R 124 12.00 8% 11.50    
IAMPROUD Jan11         (cuprill l)RODRIGUEZ E 124 6.00    
SKY OF DREAMS         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
HAPPYWIFEHAPPYLIFE         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
SPILL THE TEA         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00    
 
PEN-2   01/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL FIGHT         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
MR. WALSH         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50    
PIGGYBANK Jan07         (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00    
GOOGLE IT         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 8.00    
SCR  BREITHORN         (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
TAKE IT TO SCALE         (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 14% 6.10    
 
PEN-3   01/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMI'S LINK         (chircop ste)INIRIO J 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  MINESHAFT MAGIC         (ashton patrick)CORREA JULIO 120 15.00    
TOMARIE Jan03         (bouchard leslye)BOWMAN ADAM 120 8.00    
CAPABLE         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
MINDING MILLIE         (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 2.50 14% 6.30    
COOL SOCIETY         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
ANNA ROCKS         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
QUEEN ROSEMARY         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   01/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA WILDCAT         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 4.50 16% 5.30    
BROWN EYED BOY         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50    
AGAINST THE ODDS         (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 8.00    
NEVERLOOKBACK         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 9.60    
AUTOMATE         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00    
YOU GO BOY         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-5   01/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E J'S REVENGE         (dunham )BERRIOS JOSEPH 124 3.50    
CATTLE DRIVE         (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
BUILT THAT WAY         (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 9% 10.80    
SOLAR WARMING         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  SACRED MOUNTAIN         (santaella)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00    
SPIN CYCLE Jan07         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
FLEET IRISH         (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 12.00    
 
PEN-6   01/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE A. PLUS         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
MEET ME AT MUNDIS         (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
COLONEL MOORHEAD         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 3.00    
NEWSTOME         (trombetta mich)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
TUDOX EXPECTATIONS         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00    
BREEZY GUST         (velazquez dani)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
PEN-7   01/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIDE IN THE BIZ Jan04         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
SCR  WAVERLY SUNSET         (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
GRACEYGAB Jan04         (miller marlin )CONNER TYLER 122 20.00    
MOMENTS TO SAVER Jan04         (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00 9% 10.60    
TUXEDO LEMON Jan04         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
INTOXICOLOGIST         (rogers michael)CORA D 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
ROYALBONNIELEGACY Jan12         (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
THANXFORLASTNITE         (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 122 5.00    
 
PEN-8   01/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JEBOLOGIST         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
ST. PADDY'S DADDY Jan07         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
RIPPOLINO         (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
SWEEPIN HARD         (jacklin s)FLORES E 120 30.00    
JOJOMAR         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
TRENDING UP Jan04         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 4.50    
THIS ILL DEFEND         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
PRATT Jan07         (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-9   01/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER BELLE         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
COUNTESS SHANAKILL         (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 4.50    
ABOVE THE LINE         (miller a)CORA D 120 4.00    
GRAY LOLLIPOPS         (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50    
QUEEN'S DREAM         (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
KIRBY         (morris kenton)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 6.00    
MAGICALLYDELICIOUS         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.