Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - January 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/19/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUKES SECRET         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
BACK INTHAT ACTION         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 117 6.00    
WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jan01         (klopp randy)POMPELL L 120 4.00    
AGIRLNAMEDSYD Jan01         (latour)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 15.00    
ANGEL ARKIE Jan08         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
DIANNA'S JET         (guillory henry)BURNINGHAM J 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
BEAUX TOX         (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00    
MISSGREELEY'SSONG         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 5.00    
 
DED-2   01/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR LIBERINA         (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00    
ARROGANT GIRL         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00    
VALTESSE         (landry ra)POMPELL L 121 4.00    
SCR  FLASHY MEG         (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
MADAME JANE         (landry ray)STOKES J 121 1.80 35% 1.80    
MY SWEET SOPHIA         (chatters bena)SMITH J 121 8.00 18% 4.70    
 
DED-3   01/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A MILLION LIGHTS Jan01         (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 121 4.50 11% 7.90    
WHIPLASH WILLY         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHAPEL OF DREAMS         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 121 6.00 5% 18.80    
G'S STORM Jan01         (dixon tim)BIRZER E 121 8.00    
SCR  FLASHBACK WIND         (westly)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 121 12.00    
SCR  OAK HILL SOLUTION Jan01         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
BIT PART Jan06         (richard ru)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 121 20.00    
GENERAL EISENHOWER         (fuselier jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
MO CREDO         (modica oscar)MELANCON G 121 2.50    
10  JEFFROW         (hebert)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
DED-4   01/19/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY WICKED WISH Jan01         (martin e)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
DARK SARCASM         (ramirez rosa )PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
CLOCKED IN TYME Jan08         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 6.00    
CAJUN SHOTS Jan02         (zeno benjamin)MCMAHON J 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN EXPRESSO         (toups brent)JOURNET JARRED 117 10.00    
C. F. SHELAUH         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
EBONY BAY         (richard chris)MELANCON G 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
FLAT OUT FLIRTY Jan01         (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
HEATHER DIVINE         (landry ray)STOKES J 117 5.00    
 
DED-5   01/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY BOW         (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 121 5.00 9% 10.60    
BOURN Jan08         (amoss m)KENNEDY TY 121 1.80 15% 5.70    
BRINEE         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 121 8.00    
HURRICANE SIREN Jan07         (breaux samuel)STOKES J 118 10.00    
CHARMING KAT         (toups brent)JOURNET JARRED 118 8.00    
I LOVE YOU MORE         (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
CERTAINUNCERTAINTY         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 121 20.00    
RAVENS BLING         (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
SHE'S GOT CHROME         (dixon tim)FLORES S 121 20.00    
10  ANGIE AT THEOFFICE         (courville )BROUSSARD ASHLEY 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
 
DED-6   01/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN COME ELEVEN         (predium ray)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 20.00    
GIFTED TALENT Jan05         (beavin judy)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
ALBERTA MOON         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 4.50    
DEVASTATING BEAUTY         (west henry)BURNINGHAM J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
CRIDER CHASE Jan05         (zeno ben)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
ABIGAIL G         (castille n)STOKES J 120 12.00    
WHO DAT GREY         (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
DAD'S STAR CAT         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
EMMAS RULER         (de al)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 10% 9.50    
 
DED-7   01/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAYLORS BABE         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 121 4.50 23% 3.30    
MOMMASGOTTARUN         (amoss m)KENNEDY TY 121 1.60 34% 1.90    
SISTER SIS         (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 8.00    
SCR  SARAH'S GOLDEN         (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 118 20.00    
DISTORTED VIEW         (berndt joel)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
CAJUN TWO STEP         (fuselier jonah)THORNTON G 118 12.00    
SCR  MYDEALOFTHEDAY         (constantine)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 15.00    
PUT A BOW ON IT         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00    
MOUNTAIN HEART         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
 
DED-8   01/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ZYDECO MUSIC Jan08         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  DOBBY SUE         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50    
A. K. A. GRAMS         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 15.00    
BIND ON EARTH         (white dale)FUSILIER C 118 3.00 5% 17.90    
OLD FASHION AMOUR         (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 5.00 6% 16.80    
ENDURING PEACE         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 8.00 22% 3.60    
ONETWOMANYROCKETS         (meaux will)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 118 15.00    
HEART THAT BINDS         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.50    
AMERICAN REBEL         (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 118 15.00    
MOLLY GOLIGHTLY         (meyers e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
10  BYANYMEANS         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 118 8.00    
 
DED-9   01/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA' HOPPER         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 8% 11.20    
CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Jan05         (castille rickey)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 6% 15.20    
PRODUCTION TIME Jan07         (celestine ch)ATEMPA LIANDRO 120 20.00    
LOUISIANA LEE         (flugence henry)LEBLANC C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
DA'MONEY ALARM         (breaux samuel)KENNEDY TY 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
KANNON WITH A K         (charles jon)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00 7% 13.60    
PREOCCUPIED         (toups brent)JOURNET JARRED 120 20.00    
RODESSA FLASH         (gomez rafael )PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
BOUJIE ONE Jan07         (roberts roy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 6.00    
10  HELLO HEARTBREAKER         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
11  JACKIE MOON Jan03         (white dale)STOKES J 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.