Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Monday - January 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/17/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEWPARK (IRE)         (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 6.00    
2  ELUSIVE TREAT (GB)         (mullins jeff)BAZE C 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
3  TIGERHON (FR)         (glatt mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 ★    
4  MUCHO DEL ORO         (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
5  GOLD PHOENIX (IRE)         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  I'LL STAND TALLER         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  NOBLE REFLECTION         (baltas richard)MALDONADO E 124 5.00 7% 12.80    
8  RUN SNAPPY         (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 124 12.00    
 
SA-2   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCREAM AND SHOUT         (yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 124 0.80 39% 1.60    
2  TIPPY TOP         (psarras andreas)BLANC B 122 15.00 30% 2.30    
3  HAPPY TRAILS         (brinkerhoff val)BAZE C 124 3.00 ★    
4  SEASON TO REMEMBER         (wong jonat)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 3.00 ★    
5  WILD ARCH         (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 122 6.00 ★    
 
SA-3   01/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN JOURNEY         (baltas richar)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 ★    
2  FLORAL ESSENCE         (mullins jeff)BAZE C 124 3.00 ★    
3  LADY MACARENA         (mccarthy mi)HERRERA A 117 4.00    
4  TWIRLING GRACE         (capestro paul)ESPINOZA JUAN 115 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  WITCH MOON         (spawr william)SMITH E 124 3.50 9% 9.80    
6  ACOUSTIC SHADOW         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
SA-4   01/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BOSS HARTY         (harty eoin)BRAVO J 124 8.00 ★    
2  BIG WELL         (hanson ryan)CURATOLO RYAN 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  CARELESS KITTEN         (brinkerhoff )DESORMEAUX J 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
4  TOM BOMBADIL         (mccarthy sean)BLANC B 124 12.00 ★    
5  ROCKETCENT         (puype mike)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
6  VERRAGIO         (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  DUTCH BUS         (heap blake )HERRERA A 119 5.00    
 
SA-5   01/17/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE HEARTED         (eurton peter)DESORMEAUX J 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
2  SOARING SKY (IRE)         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
3  CLOSING REMARKS         (gaines carla)BRAVO J 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
4  FEARLESS GIRL (IRE)         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
5  CIDER APPLE (GB)         (mullins jeff)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 7% 12.70    
6  BUZZ OF NEW YORK (IRE)         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
7  SOMMER DAISY (FR)         (gallagher patr)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00    
8  DERBY QUEST         (gomez ruben)RAMIREZ RICARDO 115 50.00    
 
SA-6   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK STORM         (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 117 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES         (hanson ryan)BAZE C 120 6.00    
3  NO MORE FIREBALL         (morfin serg)HERRERA A 117 5.00 ★    
4  SATANTA Jan02         (france reid)FREY KYLE 122 5.00 ★    
5  STARSHIP CHEWBACCA         (treece charles )MALDONADO E 124 3.50    
6  STORMINSIDE         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  STREET VISION         (herrick joe)LOCKE W 120 12.00 17% 5.10    
 
SA-7   01/17/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEIGE BLANCHE (FR)         (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 0.40 54% 0.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BIANCA NEVE by GIACOMO)
2  DISAPPEARING ACT         (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MAGICIAN (IRE) out of FELICIDADES by CONGRATS)
3  FROSE         (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 20.00 ★    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FORESTRY'S MAGIC by FORESTRY)
4  REIWA         (wong jonath)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00 ★    
  (by JAMES STREET out of OH MOLLY BRANNIGAN by UTOPIA (JPN))
5  SCHERZO (GB) Jan02         (badilla manuel)FREY KYLE 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by GOLDEN HORN (GB) out of LABISE by AZAMOUR (IRE))
 
SA-8   01/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBROKEN STAR         (puype mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 20% 3.90    
2  TEMBO         (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.50 ★    
3  BIG BUZZ Jan07         (kitchingman a)PYFER JESSICA 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
4  BUTTERED NOODLES         (ortiz sr)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
5  GOING WITH STYLE         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00 ★    
6  SLY         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 122 5.00    
 
SA-9   01/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE BYE BERTIE Jan09         (powell leonard)ESPINOZA V 124 4.00 ★    
2  CLEARLY GONE         (wong jonath)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  OVER ATTRACTED         (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 119 12.00    
4  A NEW PEACE         (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 15.00 11% 8.00    
5  TRICKLE IN Jan01         (hanson ryan)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
7  NICE ICE         (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 14% 6.00    
8  ZABAVA Jan08         (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
9  KLEEN KARMA         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  GOLD INCLUDED         ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.