Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - January 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   01/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRESTO CHANGE O Jan10         (wilhelm jennie)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
SCR  JADE DELTA         (linder louis )OCASIO M 124 3.00    
I'AM A UNICORN         (gallim)TORRES O 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
DESERTED         (st lewis)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
TOUCH ME NOT         (diaz jorge)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 8.00    
DREAMINOFDASIES         (shaw j)NUNEZ Y 121 8.00    
RISEN CHANGE         (hogan william )ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
POSSEINEFFECTTOO         (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 5.00 18% 4.60    
HOLIDAY RAID         (perez ruper)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
PRX-2   01/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIES SAFARI         (brown howa)SANCHEZ J 121 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  TATE         (velez irv)VARGAS A 121 5.00    
ALONZO MOSELY Jan05         (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 20.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  OUR LUCKY MAN         (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 4.50    
SCR  SECRET PATH         (linder j)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00    
SCR  HOISTTHEMAINSAIL Jan05         (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 124 6.00    
HARD STING         (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 3.50    
IRISH HONOR         (taylor joseph)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
ONE NATION (GB)         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN null   49% 1.00    
 
PRX-3   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JARLIAN         (catalano l)RIVERA D 121 15.00    
JUDICIAL MANDATE         (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 121 4.50    
SCR  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Jan08         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 121 8.00    
TIP FOR TAP         (reid j)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 6.00 11% 8.10    
JEOPARDY JAMES         (delacour ar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
MIDLANER         (arce josue)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
FORE HARP         (reid e)RIVERA EDWIN 124 4.00    
SCR  JEBOLOGIST         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00    
 
PRX-4   01/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STOPIT         (whylie o)CECIL Y 121 15.00    
VISUAL ARTIST Jan01         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
GOLDEN SPOKE         (hogan willia)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 6.00    
LAWLESSNESS         (riviezzo ralp)RIVERA D 121 12.00    
STRUM AND PLUCK         (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 20.00    
SAPONARA         (allen randy)OCASIO M 121 12.00    
DOUBLE THE HEART         (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 4.50 10% 8.60    
SCR  DR ZRADA         (mccaslin john)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00    
THE REIGN MAN         (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  RESPECT FOR ALL Jan08         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 121 8.00    
 
PRX-5   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO FOOLING DUDE         (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 124 8.00    
LAWN BOY (GB)         (romero alexi)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
REFI         (wyner h)BERRIOS JOSEPH 121 10.00    
KING'S HOUSE         (ashton patr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 10.00    
COBH         (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50    
IRISH COLONEL Jan05         (perez ruper)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
LOVERBOY LOU Jan05         (dandy j)RIVERA EDWIN 121 8.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY         (tessore bruno)ACOSTA D 124 5.00    
SCR  R GOODTIME CHARLIE         (flores-coba f)OCASIO M 124 4.50    
 
PRX-6   01/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN RUNNER         (leung carlos)BURKE JERMAINE 121 6.00 8% 11.40    
HACHACHA Jan04         (lee r)RANGEL JOEZER 121 15.00    
I SAW IT ALL Jan04         (mccaslin john)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00    
EXTREME FORCE Jan04         (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
MASTER OF WAR         (martinez al)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAILOR AGAIN Jan03         (bedard alan)OCASIO M 121 4.50    
E T'S DEUCES WILD Jan04         (kirby john)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
CALL ME G Q Jan03         (flores-coba fe)RIVERA EDWIN 121 5.00    
HEATED BATTLE Jan04         (aro c)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
SCR  SCOTCH ROCK'S         (montoya mary)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 3.50    
11  CAUSE I SAID SO         (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  SECRET MAGICIAN         (bedard)TORRES O 121 15.00    
SCR  BEDAZZLING         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 121 6.00    
SCR  TRIPLE AMERICANO         (trujillo elvi)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
SCR  THE METHOD Jan07         (sanchez-piner)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 12.00    
SCR  STAND MY GROUND         (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 121 15.00    
 
PRX-7   01/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AULD LANGE SYNE         (diaz jorge)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 15.00    
EXIT RIGHT         (pino v)CASTILLO A 121 4.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  THE ROBERT         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
SCR  MONTE NE Jan03         (wilhelm jennie)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
KID MACHO         (farro patrici)RIVERA D 121 6.00    
HOLIDAY BONUS         (ness ja)BERRIOS JOSEPH 124 5.00    
JAMMIN JIMTOWN         (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 4.00 56% 0.80    
BLUGRASCAT'S SMILE         (dandy j)RIVERA EDWIN 121 3.50    
OFF THE MEDS Jan10         (brown howa)SANCHEZ J 121 6.00 9% 9.90    
10  AHSAD         (hawthorne bobb)CORREA JULIO 121 10.00    
 
PRX-8   01/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY NINETEEN         (guerrero c)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
SCR  SONG OF HONOR         (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 3.50    
TONAL VISION         (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 121 6.00 6% 15.10    
ELUSIVE AMELIA Jan05         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
BARISTA VIXEN         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00    
QUASAR         (soto c)VARGAS A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
DISCO DEJA VU         (reid e)RIVERA EDWIN 121 8.00    
AEGEAN SEA         (brown r)CASTILLO A 121 10.00 31% 2.30    
PETTIGO GIRL         (contessa gary )ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00    
 
PRX-9   01/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO BOSS         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 10% 9.50    
LA WAUN         (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD JET         (milian carlos)OCASIO M 121 6.00    
MILTON THE MONSTER         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 4.50 13% 6.70    
SHANE'S JEWEL         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 49% 1.00    
HONOR THE FLEET         (allard edw)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
EVENT PARTY         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00    
BIG CITY BOB Jan04         (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 121 6.00    
BOLDISH         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00    
10  MOJOVATION         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
SCR  TOWN JAK         (bedard alan)ADORNO ABNER 121 15.00    
 
PRX-10   01/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D T GOODIE         (arce josue)PENNINGTON F 121 5.00    
IN EQUALITY         (abrams r)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
PRETENDANT Jan03         (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 12.00    
FOREST FIRE Jan05         (padilla-preci)MILAN GERARDO 121 4.00 13% 6.80    
COLOUR GUARD         (guerrero me)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 6.00 62% 0.60    
GRAND OASIS Jan03         (lee r)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 20.00    
IMPACTFUL Jan10         (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50    
METHODICAL         (hawthorne bobb)CORREA JULIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIZ VALENTINO DAZE         (perez ruperto )RIVERA EDWIN 121 20.00    
10  LEGACY'S PRINCE         (brown r)CASTILLO A 121 15.00    
11  STAYNSIDETHECIRCLE         (christman ki)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 15.00    
SCR  BIG CITY RALPH         (ashton patr)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00    
SCR  SON OF A SAINT         (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 121 4.50    
SCR  WILLIAM CROTTY Jan03         (d' a)NUNEZ Y 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.