Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Monday - January 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/17/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORING DRIVE         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00    
RONALDS GATSBY         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 117 10.00    
OLE STUD MUFFIN Jan06         (ladne)MONSERRATE A 123 20.00    
HALF CAPPUCCINO Jan08         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Jan05         (richard ru)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 125 3.00 12% 7.50    
BATTLE OF WILL Jan03         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
CATCHIN DRAMA         (morrell cynthi)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
INTO WISHING         (flint ste)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.50 16% 5.20    
BLAZE OF GRAY         (brinkman brett)DIAZ RENE 112 12.00    
SCR  RUNWILDWITHDREAMS Jan06         (duke steven)LAVIOLETTE S 117 10.00    
 
FG-2   01/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE APPEAL Jan08         (broussard c )BONNET CHESTER 125 20.00    
SCR  FUNKYLITTLESHACK         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 1.40 37% 1.70    
KELLIE MAE         (stemm)MONSERRATE A 117 20.00    
MRS. DELLA         (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 120 4.50    
MAC LEGACY Jan08         (ladner ra)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 4.50 13% 7.00    
DISTORTED KITTY Jan08         (constantine ca)GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
BOTH OURS Jan09         (richards coral)COTTO L 117 8.00    
TUGBOAT Jan07         (besancon danny)VEGA L 117 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
FG-3   01/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYFORPEACE         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
LUNAR ROCKET         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
MIZZEN MAN         (flint bern)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
B D VALESKI         (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
CYCLONE         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 12% 7.70    
BET HE'S READY         (asmussen stev)VARGAS P 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
FRAMED (GB)         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  VINTAGE VINYL         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
 
FG-4   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THETRUTHISTHETRUTH         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
PLATINUM QUEEN Jan03         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 121 3.00    
HOTMOLLY Jan03         (scherer gary)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
THE MISSING PIECE         (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 121 5.00    
OURPERFECTPRINCESS         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 13% 6.90    
EVE'S DELIGHT         (goins)MONSERRATE A 121 12.00    
SPEAK TO ME         (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
FG-5   01/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING TUFF         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
GRAN MUCHACO         (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00    
MRTANDROSEYSBOY         (foley greg)DIAZ RENE 115 20.00    
MARQUEE RIDE         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 10% 9.50    
ZIPPIN GIGI         (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 54% 0.80    
LUCKY CRUSADER         (stidham mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
OLD FORTY FIVE         (morley thomas)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL         (scherer gary)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
OVERANALYTICAL         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
10  LIONESQUE         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  VASILEVSKIY (IRE)         (casse w)CARROLL DECLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  WHISKEY GENT         (brinkman br)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
SCR  HERO DRAGON Jan07         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 20.00    
SCR  MATH MAN Jan09         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
 
FG-6   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR GIANNIS         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  ALEBRIJE Jan02         (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 117 6.00    
FIRST GLIMPSE         (silva h)MOJICA O 117 5.00    
FLYING CURLIN         (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
INVINCIBILITY         (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 9% 10.50    
ONCOMING TRAIN         (habeeb do)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 13% 7.00    
 
FG-7   01/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY CITY         (gelner sco)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  BRUNSON         (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
KEYS INCLUDED         (alonzo howard)SANJUR SANTO 117 6.00    
LAPIS LAZULI         (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
MOSH PIT         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
TWENTYONE N CHANGE         (silva miguel)MOJICA O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LORD ZED         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 19% 4.10    
STREET N SOUR         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 8.00    
SCR  PLANTERS PUNCH         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
FG-8   01/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG AL'S HONOUR         (thompson kev)LAVIOLETTE S 117 20.00    
CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST         (ney john)DIAZ RENE 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
DOCTRINAIRE Jan06         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 125 4.00 20% 3.90    
PRIORITY POINTS         (dussette al)MORALES ROBERTO 125 20.00    
PERMANENTDETENTION Jan06         (williams kevin)CULP BRIANNE 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
HOLDEN PASS         (woodley c)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00    
R AND R STAR Jan03         (boxie s)GRAHAM J 125 8.00    
SCR  ARGYBARGY BUCK Jan03         (ladner ra)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
CATALINA LATRINA Jan01         (thomas lee)MOJICA O 117 20.00    
10  CONQUISTADOR GOLD Jan03         (richard ru)MARQUEZ L 125 8.00    
11  FORTY THREE         (camejo m)ROSENDO J 117 5.00 15% 5.50    
12  REACHFORTHESABER         (ladner shane)COTTO L 125 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.