Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Sunday - January 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   01/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOM'S LAST GENERAL         (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00    
MR. FLATTERY         (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 111 20.00    
RANDELLO         (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
EL PIQUIN         (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 120 10.00    
CORNBREAD HILL Jan01         (locker timoth)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00    
THIRSTY OWL         (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 39% 1.50    
BY GEORGE         (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00    
SANDOR CLEGANE Jan01         (bush georg)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00    
 
TP-2   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINED FOR HONOR         (hughes g)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00    
SCR  MY HOT TODDY         (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00    
FLIGHT TO PARADISE         (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
OXWOOD         (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 115 20.00    
STOKED (AUS)         (greenhill je)RAMOS D 121 5.00    
TROPICAL TORNADO         (west w)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
RACARINO         (gonzalez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00 6% 14.80    
COMMAND CENTRAL         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00    
DASTARDLY DEEDS         (candelas blanca)FELIX E 122 20.00    
10  SEATTLESWAY         (orm mike)ORM CORY 122 30.00    
11  INCITATUS         (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
12  LIGHTNING ROD CARL         (walker c)MCKEE J 122 30.00    
 
TP-3   01/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCH FLYER         (watkins m)FELIX E 120 30.00    
LAPIS STORM         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 15.00    
SUN DRESS         (roberson de)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
MY DARK SECRET         (grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
SHIMMERING DREAM         (ewing a)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
TRICKIZAR         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
SCR  HAMPTON SPRING         (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00    
SCR  BEE WINGS         (montano wilfrido)OUZTS W 120 30.00    
JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL         (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  DELTA GAMMA CATS         (west w)BEJARANO R 120 1.40 21% 3.90    
 
TP-4   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMUGGLER'S GHOST         (greenhill jeff)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 19% 4.40    
NEW YEAR'S LUCK Jan02         (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 12.00    
HEART IN HAND         (cordero-lopez )MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
CEDUNA         (upton m)MOJICA JR 123 8.00 5% 18.80    
TORNADO BOY         (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 3.00    
REMEMBER THE MAINE         (campbell joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00    
IRISH DECLARATION         (morey e)FELIX E 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
GRAY HOPE Jan01         (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
LIZZY'S LURE         (locker timo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 12.00    
10  TRY TRY AGAIN         (hernandez javie)ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00    
 
TP-5   01/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BETTER STORY         (hernandez rey)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
CALIFORNIA FLIRT         (leitch dani)PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00    
PERUVIAN LUCKY         (correas )GUTIEREZ ALEJANDRO 120 12.00    
LIVINGONTULSATIME         (sims a)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
FAITHFUL RULER         (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
SHANNONRUN         (doua)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
SWISHAWISH         (coontz ar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
GIANT NOVA         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
MAJOR CAM         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
10  LORD GATLING         (morey wil)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 10.00    
11  SOUTHERN SENSE         (romans dale)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
12  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY         (veinot trudy)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HE REIGNS         (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00    
SCR  MAKIN BANK         (mcgaughey reev)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
 
TP-6   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($64K) 3 F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN SKY         (royal madely)RAMOS D 118 15.00    
VALENTINA DAY         (colebrook)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
MISS CHAMITA         (cash l)MCKEE J 122 8.00    
DECK OF CARDS         (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.00 49% 1.10    
LIZY D         (mckeever andrew)BURKE JULIE 122 15.00 7% 13.20    
ANNAGANGSTA         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00    
QUEEN JUDITH         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50    
 
TP-7   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL MONEY         (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
SPECTACULAR GEM         (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
INCORRIGIBLE         (esquivel jes)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
BEATBOX         (morey e)BEJARANO R 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
CELERITY         (cundiff waylon)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
GIGGING         (cash l)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
FORT MOULTRIE         (mcgaughey)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  EXPRESSED         (lauer michael)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
BEAR ALLEY         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00    
10  GALLANT GUY         (gonzalez reina)MILLER CHASE 120 15.00    
11  KINGMEISTER         (asmussen )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
12  PRINCE MAIOR         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
SCR  JUNGLE WARFARE         (romans dale)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
 
TP-8   01/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOBE BEACH Jan02         (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 120 8.00    
ARCHIE CAN'T SELL         (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 8.00    
BAHAMIAN BEAT Jan01         (cordero-lopez )MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
TEQUILA FLATS Jan01         (helmbrecht )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
FARZIN Jan01         (sandy s)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
HESITATION BLUES         (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 20.00    
SCR  PLATINUM MAC Jan02         (helmbrecht wi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
KING BING HAWK Jan02         (shetron phy)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
AUTOPILOT Jan04         (bright derric)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 17% 4.90    
10  SIROCCO Jan02         (butcher malco)CANUTO THIAGO 113 5.00    
11  MR SUPERB Jan02         (young trace)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00 6% 15.60    
12  TURFY         (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  CLEVELAND SIMPSON         (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.