Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT-12:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITZRAYIM Jan02         (arnett f)CASTANON L 122 5.00    
GO TIME         (caramori)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
BETTING ON RED Jan08         (schistl rafael)FERRER C 122 3.50    
CHINOMADITO         (es)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 122 8.00    
PHILO         (crichton roh)BATISTA A 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
WHISTLE ME HOME         (guciardo ka)GARCIA A 122 10.00    
PICCADILLY BEAU         (gatis chris)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-2   01/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK SHOELACES         (wilson tony)CENTENO E 122 6.00    
ABOVE PAR         (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SPLASH CASH         (arnett s)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL GRACE         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00    
RAY AREWETHEREYET         (carvaja)DE CRUZ 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
NIGHT CAP         (raymond robert)CASTANON L 118 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
TAM-3   01/16/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE CHANCES         (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
BUSTER         (harney heat)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
ZAGREB         (palacios mol)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
HIGHJUMP CHARLIE         (mcgoey monic)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
MERCEDES JOE Jan01         (lecesse mi)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 12.00    
HEAVEN'S TALE Jan01         (e)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 3.50    
AND THE OSCAR GOES         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 122 30.00    
RAL COPPERHEADROAD Jan01         (russo victor)PANAIJO JORGE 122 6.00    
 
TAM-4   01/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDAR BEACH         (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
MOON SECRET         (machado anton)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00    
BALI BEACH         (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
SHINBORO         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
PAYITO         (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00    
RUNAWAY TOM         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
THEJIGISUP         (carrascojr victo)FERRER C 120 8.00 7% 13.70    
KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Jan01         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
TAM-5   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRETIVE MISS Jan12         (rodriguez ang)ARROYO MIGUEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
BRASS BAND Jan02         (laurato mic)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00    
BUFFALO DANCER         (terranova jo)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00    
SCR  BLUE NEITH         (sanner daniel )CASTANON L 119 4.00    
BELLAVALENCIA         (duncan chri)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00    
VEGAS SLIPPERS Jan05         (nunn dougla)GARCIA A 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
MISS LADY L         (ryan s)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 34% 1.90    
DIAMOND ROCK         (reardon m )URDANETA J 119 3.50    
SCR  LIBERTALIA         (granitz anth)BATISTA A 119 8.00 7% 12.90    
10  AMAZING MSKITTY Jan06         (gulick jam)ALONSO LUIS 119 4.00    
11  JUDGE JUDITH         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 20.00    
SCR  YO YO MON         (kintz s )GALLARDO A 119 10.00 7% 12.50    
13  A TOUCH OF SPADGET         (mccarthy d)JUDE JOHN 119 20.00    
SCR  REAL GOOD VYBZ         (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 119 8.00    
 
TAM-6   01/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHIER CHECK         (barboza victor )CENTENO E 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
ONWARD AUSTIN         (acker s)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
OVER IT         (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
LAYNES KNIGHT         (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
TRIPULANTE Jan01         (bennett ge)URDANETA J 122 2.50    
SHED A TEAR         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
VOLBEAT         (engler jeff)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 51% 0.90    
JUST PLAIN ORNERY         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 5.00    
 
TAM-7   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEGLA         (jehaludi moh)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00    
CHARGE IT JENN         (hayford jen)GARCIA A 120 15.00    
NANCY WORK         (glyshaw tim)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
SCR  STARRY HOPE         (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
WHISTLER DIXIE         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
WICKED MIAH         (holder tedston)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00    
SIP'N DIP         (mc joh)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
SPEAK ENGLISH         (clark a)PEREZ EDGAR 120 12.00    
ROSE E HOLIDAY         (carvaja)DE CRUZ 120 4.00    
10  TAKE ME AS I AM Jan01         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  SAYOH         (ryan s)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
 
TAM-8   01/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BEAST GOES ON         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
GOLD DUCAT         (bordis robert)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ TRIUMPHANT Jan05         (bennett)DE CRUZ 122 4.00    
LIL BULL         (wirth b)JUDE JOHN 120 15.00    
GIVE ME TWO STEPS         (miller rory )BATISTA A 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
IRISH MAIL         (tsirigotis j)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00    
STAR DEPUTY         (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
SIAKAM         (hall phi)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
DENY Jan08         (o'connor ro)GARCIA A 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
TAM-9   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 12.00    
SIDNEY SUE Jan07         (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 15.00    
DR KAAK         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
SCR  PARDON MY HEART         (casse mark)FERRER C 120 2.50 8% 10.90    
SCR  SCHATZI         (ryan s)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 10.00    
THEUNCAPTUREDLADY         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
ASTERS D'ORO Jan02         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  TOWERING GAZE         (carvajal)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  TUDOX ROADSTER         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00    
SCR  INDEPENDENCE LAW         (wilson tony)CENTENO E 120 4.00 12% 7.20    
11  PEACELOVENKARMA         (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 3.00    
12  ASPROPODIA         (cruz jesus)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  MISS GHISLAINE         (richards r)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
SCR  MOMS LOVE         (bowersock mar)ALVARADO JR 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.