Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - January 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLINT STROLL         (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 124 5.00    
DANIEL'S MAGIC         (harty eoin)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 12.00    
RIO OCHO (IRE)         (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 32% 2.20    
ONCOMING         (hofmans dav)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00    
FLINTMORE         (d'amato phili)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
JUST ABOUT ENOUGH         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
 
SA-2   01/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISSA COURT         (blacker danie)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
BIG MAMA SUE         (aguirre paul)DESORMEAUX J 124 3.00    
ROSE'S CRYSTAL         (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
GOTTA BE LUCKY Jan07         (saldana reed)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
SECRET SQUARE         (mulhall kristi)CEDILLO ABEL 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
DELTA WIND         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
SA-3   01/16/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAURA MARS (IRE)         (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
VIGILANTIA         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
WHAT A FEELING         (wong jonathan)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
MENDHAM MILL         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
M IS FOR MAGIC         (eurton pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
SHE SHOT ME DOWN         (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 124 12.00    
SINNERS SAINTS         (baltas richar)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
 
SA-4   01/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING FAST         (spawr william)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
SOMETIMES ALWAYS         (knapp steve)CURATOLO RYAN 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
PERFECTO AMOR         (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00    
GERLACH'S         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
MONGOL ALTAI         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 10.00 14% 6.40    
BOLD VOYAGER         (knapp steve)HERRERA A 119 3.50    
 
SA-5   01/16/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAI CON (FR)         (baltas richard)CEDILLO ABEL 124 1.80 12% 7.20    
STING LIKE A BEE         (stutts charles )BARNETT A 124 30.00    
EXIT ROW         (gaines carla)BAZE C 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
MY SUMMER DREAM         (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00    
DIXIE'S TWO STENTS         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
WEEGEE         (quinonez rola)VALDIVIA JR 122 12.00    
CARDOZA         (cortez e)ESPINOZA JUAN 115 30.00    
 
SA-6   01/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MISS ELLIE         (cerin vlad)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
LITTLE RACHEL         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
DEL MAR DRAMA         (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
SCR  SUPERSONIC FLYER         (powell leonard)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 7% 13.60    
SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH         (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00    
ROSES R BLUE         (knapp steve)HERRERA A 119 5.00    
 
SA-7   01/16/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3 F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM'S DOVE         (alvarado rube)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50    
ROCK THE BELLES         (mendez luis)HERRERA A 117 5.00 24% 3.10    
BABY STEPS         (hanson ryan)ESPINOZA V 122 5.00    
GRACELUND GRAY         (zucker l)BAZE C 122 15.00 13% 6.50    
VIRULENTE (FR)         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
IMPEACHD ALEXANDER (IRE)         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00    
SHES BOUT A MOVER         (callaghan )HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
HALF PAST TWELVE         (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00 7% 13.20    
 
SA-8   01/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LI'L GRAZEN         (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
SMITTEN BY KITTEN         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
MUCHA WOMAN         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
SHANGHAI SUNRISE         (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 122 8.00    
SATURDAY HEIST Jan02         (brinkerhoff val)MALDONADO E 122 3.00    
HOT RAGEOUS         (baltas richar)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00 34% 2.00    
WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE         (puype mike)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00    
 
SA-9   01/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLY TO MARS         (alvarado rube)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
CONSTITUTIONAFFAIR         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
HAPI HAPI         (azcarate dan)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
IRISH HEATWAVE         (puype mike)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50    
LIBERAL (IRE)         (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
NILES CHANNEL         (barocio libr)DESORMEAUX J 122 6.00    
FLY NIGHTLY         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
SCR  TEMBO         ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.