Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Saturday - January 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-5   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL BLAZE         (martin steve)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 4.00 ★    
2  REVOLT AND RIOT         (cross gary)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  EL GRAPPLER         (smith pa)BENN J 121 10.00    
4  NORWOOD         (marlin joy )CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
5  FORT STANTON SCOUT         (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 ★    
6  SUPER HUNK         (eliott roger)CARRENO J 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
7  KIRBY DERBY         (smith a)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 8.00    
 
SUN-6   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT SPIRIT (IRE)         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 3.50 ★    
2  HOLLYWOOD BOUND         (gonzalez sal)VILLANUEVA C 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LA DIAMANT         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAMIE'S WARRIOR         (lambert)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 5.00    
5  MISS ABILITY         (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.50 ★    
6  CORRINA CORRINA         (cross gary)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  SHEZACONSTANTSONG         (cross gary)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 4.00    
 
SUN-7   01/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MITHQAAL         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  ARIMONY         (armstrong sherry)MEDELLIN A 123 3.00 8% 11.40    
3  LEATHERNECK         (gonzalez jos)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 10.00    
4  DISCREET TIGER         (rich)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00 19% 4.20    
5  BRAZILIAN SUMMER         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 7.00    
6  COWBOY COOL         (green greg)PEREZ A 123 6.00 ★    
7  DIRT ROAD RED         (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
8  OFFENSIVE         (cross gary)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
 
SUN-8   01/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY ON THE RUN         (armstrong sherr)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00    
2  FLYING ROLLEX         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 12.00 ★    
3  LARIAT         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  AISLE RUNNER Jan09         (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 20.00    
5  CHEESE TRAY         (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 2.00    
6  TUCUM         (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.50    
7  FRANCHISE TAGGED         (fincher tod)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 6.00 11% 8.50    
8  CERVEZA         (fincher lero)FUENTES A 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
9  DESERT REWARD         (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 15.00 9% 9.70    
 
SUN-9   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($11.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL STEAMED UP         (lambert clifford)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
2  MY INSTIGATOR         (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
3  OUR ISLAND GIRL         (riddle)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00 ★    
4  FI FI D'ORO         (vaughn lonnie)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  STORM N GOLD         (marr h)FUENTES A 124 4.00 55% 0.80    
6  YOUNG'UN         (young a)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
7  CORNERSTONE         (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  TEMPEST CREEK Jan02         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 124 8.00    
9  MOURN THE STORM         (marr ge)FUENTES T 124 8.00    
10  MS HIGHSPEED         (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
11  REBEL RYETTE         (barrios bernadet)MEDELLIN A 124 20.00    
12  MARILYN MONEYROLL         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.