Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - January 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG PAPA STEVE         (france reid)BAZE C 122 6.00    
WORSE READ SANCHEZ Jan01         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 1.80 14% 6.00    
FORE FLAG         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 1.60 57% 0.70    
EREBUS Jan01         (solis walther)MALDONADO E 122 20.00 6% 14.80    
JACK SIXPACK Jan01         (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 3.00    
PHILOSOPHER'S TONE Jan01         (metz jeffrey)CURATOLO RYAN 122 20.00    
VANISKY         (bonde jeff)DESORMEAUX J 122 12.00    
 
SA-2   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTEM         (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
TIZZY TWISTER         (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
CAUSE SHE'S A LADY         (puype mike)FREY KYLE 122 1.20    
BELLE MY BELLE Jan02         (periban jo)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 10.00    
BLONDE BOMBSHELL         (winick debbie)BLANC B 122 12.00    
WARREN'S SHOW BIZZ         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
SCR  EQUIVALENCE         ( )TBA null      
 
SA-3   01/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLAND GHOST         (jauregui j)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
SIPPIN N KISSIN         (solis walther)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
FAST DRAW MUNNINGS         (mullins je)VAN DRAYDEN 124 4.00 10% 9.20    
FINNEUS         (solis walther)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50    
STRAIGHT UP G         (baltas ric)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 0.80 57% 0.80    
AGADOR SPARTACUS Jan01         (brinkerhoff val)BAZE C 124 20.00    
 
SA-4   01/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUARE CAT         (koriner brian)BAZE C 124 3.00 14% 6.40    
LIMITED HEATWAVE         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
PARTYOFSIXTEEN         (brinkerhoff)HERRERA A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
HAIL FREEDOM         (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
SAWASDEE         (winick debbie)BLANC B 124 20.00    
SCR  MASK OFF         (alvarado r)VAN DRAYDEN 124 10.00    
REALLY BIG NEWS         (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
LEMON SUSHI         (brinkerhoff val)MALDONADO E 124 5.00    
 
SA-5   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG EVENT         (periban jorge)VALDIVIA JR 120 10.00    
BIG GUN         (yakteen ti)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
MAKE MINE WINE         (wong jonath)HERRERA A 115 3.50    
STAY LIT         (yakteen tim)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
SMILING GOODBYE         (pederson dean)CEDILLO ABEL 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
REAL POUCH         (deleon rafael)FRANCO CESAR 120 30.00    
DON DANIEL         (periban jorge)CURATOLO RYAN 120 12.00    
ARTHUR SPOONER Jan01         (hanson ryan)ESPINOZA V 120 3.00    
 
SA-6   01/15/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOOPING JAY         (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARGOT'S BOY         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
ALIGATO Jan01         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50    
LUVLUV         (sadler w)BAZE C 120 12.00    
CAMINO DEL PARAISO         (jauregui o)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
BIG FISH         (hofmans dav)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00    
FERRARIANO         (koriner brian)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00    
INDIAN PEAK         (alvarado rube)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
 
SA-7   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADMIRABLY         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 119 4.00 10% 9.50    
SCARY FAST SMILE         (glatt mark)BAZE C 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
ROOKIE MISTAKE         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 12.00    
GATES OF HEAVEN         (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 9% 10.70    
SUZIE QZZ BROTHER         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00    
BRACE FOR IMPACT         (headley karen)BRAVO J 124 6.00    
ALPINE THUNDER         (hernandez jose )MALDONADO E 124 20.00    
CRASH CORRIGAN         (ruiz loren)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
 
SA-8   01/15/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALICE MARBLE         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
CALIFORNIA KOOK         (alvarado rube)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 6% 15.00    
SUPER GAME         (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 122 10.00    
NARDINI         (mathis andy)DESORMEAUX J 122 12.00    
SMILING SHIRLEE         (koriner brian)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00    
REBALATION         (mccanna tim)FREY KYLE 124 15.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  NICE ICE         (alvarado ru)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
GOVERNOR GOTEVEN         (solis walther)BAZE C 124 20.00    
WARREN'S SHOWTIME         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
10  SEDAMAR         (ruis shelbe)BRAVO J 122 6.00    
11  EDDIE'S NEW DREAM         (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 15.00    
12  LEGGS GALORE         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
13  SHE'S DEVOTED         (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 10.00    
 
SA-9   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIFEY Jan01         (stute gary)BAZE C 120 15.00    
PEACEFUL TRANSFER         (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
BRICKYARD RIDE         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 16% 5.30    
POSITIVITY         (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
LOUD MOUTH         (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 124 10.00    
LETSGETLUCKY         (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCIPE CARLO         (barocio libr)DESORMEAUX J 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
COLT FICTION         (spawr william)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
SA-10   01/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG NOVEL         (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
ELLAMIRA         (specht steve)BAZE C 124 20.00    
VIVACIOUS VANESSA         (mandella g)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
MUNNY PENNY         (solis walther)CEDILLO ABEL 124 30.00    
MADIHA Jan02         (solis walther)FREY KYLE 124 20.00    
ELEUTHERA         (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
PROFESSORS' PRIDE         (truman eddi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
DENDERA         (sadler john )DESORMEAUX J 124 12.00    
PRECIOUS INSIGHT         (solis walther)ESPINOZA V 124 20.00    
10  LA DEUXIEME ETOILE Jan08         (o'neill doug)BRAVO J 124 20.00    
11  ROSE DAWSON         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
12  VAPING ANGEL         (rondan felix)SMITH E 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.