Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - January 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUD PUPPY         (zito p)HARR KELSI 123 3.00    
1A  CALL OF HONOR         (villafranco fre)VAZQUEZ A 125 3.00 30% 2.40    
CHASE TRACKER         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 10% 8.60    
AFRICAN WARRIOR         (prather j)TORRES A 115 10.00    
INTO ORBIT         (hornsby tammy)QUINONEZ S 118 15.00    
TRAIL DRIVER         (frazee larry)TOHILL S 122 20.00    
AXIS         (puhl kim)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
DEMIGOD Jan07         (mcbride burl )CANCHARI ALEX 115 15.00    
BEHAVIN MYSELF         (manley steve)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
GRAVES MILL ROAD         (ros)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
10  OREGON COUNTY         (hornsby tammy)WALES T 118 15.00    
 
OP-2   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NISI PRIUS         (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ANTHROPOLOGY         (jones larry)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00    
LET'S CRUISE (NZ)         (robertson mcl)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 10.00    
PREMIER WISH         (gar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00    
BITTER VIXEN         (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.50    
CAUGHT LOOKING         (combs bentley)HIRALDO JOHN 117 12.00    
HARD STREET         (mcknight norman)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
SIMONA'S CHOICE         (milligan )TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  MONTGOMERY PARK         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
OP-3   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHI O'SHI         (mat)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
1A  HOPTOWN HONEY         (matthews randy)HIRALDO JOHN 114 4.00    
LICHITA         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
PRINCESS LILLI BUG         (wilson m)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
MONGOLIAN LOTUS Jan07         (rosin w)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00    
TAKE CHARGE ERICA         (shorter a)TORRES A 124 3.00    
DONTMESWITHDISCAT         (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00    
SCR  WAR BALLAD         (moysey chelse)CANCHARI ALEX 119 20.00    
MY BOSS LADY         (villafranco )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 10.00    
GIRLS A BULLET         (vance r)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 5.00 38% 1.70    
10  DUTCH TREAT         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 114 8.00    
 
OP-4   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY STRIPES         (hollendor)TORRES A 117 8.00    
PRESSURE         (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00 17% 4.80    
AMERICAN XPERIMENT         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 117 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT         (stewart dalla)CABRERA DAVID 117 4.00 22% 3.60    
SWIFT TAP         (hollendorfer )PEREIRA TIAGO 117 12.00    
BACK TO NORMAL         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 4.50    
 
OP-5   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT TUB HOTTIE         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 121 8.00    
AIN'T SHE A PISTOL         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 6.00    
FASHIONABLY QUICK         (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 10.00    
DISTORTED SECRETS         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
VITA BONA         (witt ii)CANCHARI ALEX 121 30.00    
FUNTIMEGIRL         (prather j)TORRES A 121 30.00    
PRINCEDREAMCESS         (mason ingrid)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 10.00    
FIGHTINGTEMPTATION         (calhoun william)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  ROWDY DAISY         (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
10  ARGUMENTAL         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 4.50    
11  RACEDAY ATTIRE         (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50    
12  BLAME NELLIE         (jones larry)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
OP-6   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDCRACKER Jan01         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 10.00    
BIG BOSS BEN         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 117 12.00    
ERNIE BANKER         (broberg karl)VAZQUEZ A 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
WHEREVER HE IS         (riecken bruce)WALES T 125 30.00    
SCR  OUTASITE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
FIVE DREAMS         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
WISE KHOZAN         (puhl kim)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 30.00    
AMERICAN CHAOS         (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROAD BIBLE         (villafra)SANTANA JR 123 4.50    
10  SPECIAL PRYCE         (swearingen t)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
11  APPRAISAL         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 30.00    
12  THAT'S SOMETHING         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 123 30.00    
 
OP-7   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST LANE         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
KUPUNA         (calhoun )SANTANA JR 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  KING DOODLE         (maker mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
SCR  LIFE ON THE NILE         (hollendorfer )PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00    
LITTLE FRAPPUCINO         (milligan )TORRES A 120 15.00    
SKATE TO HEAVEN         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
PAID IN FULL         (hartlage gary)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 30.00    
PINCH HITTER         (von do)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 12.00 5% 18.80    
KENTUCKY BOURBON         (creighton brett)BOREL H 120 20.00    
10  BLUE NORTHER         (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00    
11  STOCKPILER         (peitz c)HIRALDO JOHN 115 15.00    
12  SWITZER         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
13  ROME         (anderson doug)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00    
SCR  COASTAL CHAOS Jan02         (cash l)COURT K 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-8   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOMAS SHELBY         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00    
RATED R SUPERSTAR         (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00    
SNAPPER SINCLAIR         (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 25% 2.90    
NECKER ISLAND         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.50    
CONCERT TOUR         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
ATOKA         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00    
LONG RANGE TODDY         (stewart dallas)COURT K 115 10.00    
SILVER PROSPECTOR         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 115 10.00    
MUCHO         (ortiz a)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50    
 
OP-9   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLDING PATTERN         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 125 20.00    
MO CHOCTAW         (prather h)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.50 38% 1.70    
PRIVATE LAKE         (martin n)TOHILL S 122 15.00    
RUBIGINOUS         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
DATA STORM         (martin ti)TORRES A 122 15.00    
STOMPING HOTROD         (jacquot gene)CANCHARI ALEX 122 30.00    
CITRUS BAY         (tranquili)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 116 30.00    
NAVY SEAL (IRE)         (knott s)BOREL H 122 5.00    
CAPTAIN DON         (von do)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
10  IMA BLING CAT         (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00    
11  GOODNIGHT ARCHIE         (hor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
12  GAR HOLE         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MO BETTA         (warpool shane)QUINONEZ S 122 20.00    
SCR  DUSTY HILL         (dixon tim)COURT K 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.