Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Saturday - January 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBY JANE         (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.00 43% 1.30    
MICHIGAN GIRL         (west m)KEISER CHELSEY 126 10.00    
KIKI'S LULU ROSE         (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00    
PUDDLE STOMP         (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 118 2.50    
SCR  PEACH BELLINI         (norris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
TUFFIAN         (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 18% 4.40    
LEX K         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 118 3.50    
ORBIT BOUND         (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
MVR-2   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED PULSE Jan01         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
1A  LEND AMERICA         (urieta joha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
BREEZY MONEY Jan04         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 2.00 13% 6.90    
MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE         (cowans d)RIVERA R 124 1.60 65% 0.50    
LEWD         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 113 15.00    
GRAND DEAL Jan04         (haehn terry)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00    
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD         (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 116 6.00    
CENTSOFWANDER         (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MISSISSIPPI MUSE         (elliott michel)DIAZ I 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  BITTERSWT SYMPHONY         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 3.00    
YARMA D' BOSS         (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00    
RUN KITTY         (salcedo r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
WILDCAT DREAM         (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 20.00    
HIGH HEAVEN         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
GRAY FASHION         (ewell s)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.50    
MY D'VALENTINE         (casali)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00 10% 8.70    
WHAT'S SO FUNNY         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 122 20.00    
SCR  SLICKSNEAKYANDFAST         (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-4   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAROLINA'S THING         (romero jos)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 30.00    
QUEEN OF THE TILES         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
LEMON SLUSH         (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00    
PAYTON PRETTY         (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00    
HIDDEN PRIDE         (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.20 44% 1.30    
SANIBEL         (murillo rodrigue)LEON SONNY 124 1.60 28% 2.50    
WELLOILEDCAT         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIPOSA D'ORO         (miller)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 8% 11.10    
FLOWZANO Jan05         (norris st)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00    
COMPANYS COMING         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
SHELLEY'S GEM Jan01         (johnson gary )BRACHO A 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE         (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00    
MAYAN QUEEN         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  FRIDAY Jan05         (bailey ricardo)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
ULTRA RAYS         (murillo rodrigue)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
TICKETY BOO         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
10  INDY PRINCESS KOKO         (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   01/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J P'S SONG         (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 35% 1.90    
AWESOME OX         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
EXCLUSIVE DONALD         (murillo rodrigue)LEON SONNY 124 10.00    
ASTROMAN         (spiess shane)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00    
STARSHIP TAXI         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
HIT THIS TOWN         (buttigieg kev)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
JOE COOL         (baker rebecc)HALDAR J 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
SHARINGTHEJOURNEY Jan01         (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 3.50 13% 7.00    
 
MVR-7   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRINK POINT         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
UPGRADE AL         (smith larry)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00    
LUCKY STREAK         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
BIG AL'S EXPRESS         (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 7% 13.40    
GIFT OF OAK         (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
ONE CRAZY RIDE         (brown glenroy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00    
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE         (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
WAPAKONETA PHIL         (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 1.60 67% 0.50    
MANGA MAN         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 4.00    
 
MVR-8   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLY BEACOUP Jan05         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 4.50    
CARSON'S ROCKET         (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 126 2.50 60% 0.70    
REACHING FOR GOLD         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00    
DEVINE PRIDE         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 20.00    
WESTERN HOPE         (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 126 10.00    
BRILLIANTBENNY         (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
DANCE MOVES         (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 126 20.00    
ZVOLUME         (faulkner joshua )RIVERA R 121 3.00    
VOLUME LEADER         (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.