Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Saturday - January 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   01/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCTOBER TIME         (engler jeff)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
MOON AT MIDNIGHT         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
STARSHIP WIZARD         (dwoskin stev)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 20.00    
TRAVEL GUIDE         (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
ALABAMA JAMMA         (pompay terri)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
SOLAR TAP         (stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
BOGGIEMIESTER         (maragh)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 7% 12.90    
QUANTUM THEORY         (clement christo)JARAMILLO E 120 4.50    
TREPID         (pita daniel)REYES R 120 30.00    
 
GP-2   01/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT-12:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARA'S LADY         (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
MADAME CLAUDE (IRE)         (sano anton)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
RESTLESS EYES         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 17% 5.10    
STORMIN' COUGAR         (o'dwyer jeremia)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
DEL REY DOLLY         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
SCR  ADIOS DIXIE         (pita daniel)REYES R 120 12.00 8% 11.00    
HANNITA'S EMPIRE         (sano antonio)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
VANISHING FAITH         (cioffi antonio)OLIVERO A 120 20.00    
 
GP-3   01/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY TOUGH         (hills a)JARAMILLO E 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
CONGRATS AGAIN         (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
SIR TERRE         (amaya gustav)MORELOS E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SUPERPOSITION         (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
CONGLOMERATE         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 32% 2.20    
CLAUDE RAY         (ditter susan)ARROYO S 122 30.00    
SHIMMERING LIGHT         (sanchez lo)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
PERPETUAL CHANGE         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00    
 
GP-4   01/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEMONTEER         (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
CAUSALISTIC         (alvarado d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 7% 13.80    
P H FACTOR         (rivelli larr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.60 66% 0.50    
AEQUOR         (russo )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  COLONIST         (escobar alison)RIOS M 120 30.00    
POPPY'S BOYS         (winebaugh ch)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
STRIKE THE TOP         (fuentes mau)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
POCO CHARLIE         (lutchman padar)MARAGH RAJIV 120 15.00    
EMBRACE MY UNCLE         (depaulo mich)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
 
GP-5   01/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($41K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY LYON         (crichton )LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
HEZA KITTEN         (eppler e)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
THRESHOLD         (drexler mart)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  EMBOLDEN         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50    
UNCLE CURLY         (walder pete)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
FREEDOM MATTERS         (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.50 56% 0.80    
SIR SEAMUS         (david a)JARAMILLO E 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
BENELUX         (davis christ)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
CASTAGNO         (klesar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
 
GP-6   01/15/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR OLLIE         (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 17% 4.70    
BIG VENEZUELA         (tessore bruno)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
SHAMROCKET         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 124 1.20 24% 3.20    
NACHO PAPA         (fuentes maur)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 15.00    
BRACCIO DI FERRO         (d'angelo jos)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
HERCULES         (alv)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00    
GLORY OF FLORIDA         (cazare)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
GP-7   01/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANURA         (tagg barc)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
COPACETIC         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 29% 2.40    
BLACK SAND (GB)         (brown c)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
MARIA'S REVENGE         (sancal)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00    
STARSHIP UNICA         (hess b)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 20.00    
QUEEN OF LIES         (sti)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 10.00    
VENTRILOQUIST         (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
FAST AS FLIGHT         (lynch brian)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
GP-8   01/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINFROMWITHIN         (engler jeff)LANERIE J 120 8.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  SAVVY         (danner)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
PROVEN STRATEGIES         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.00 12% 7.30    
JOURNEYMAN         (klesaris ste)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
MIRA MISSION         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 55% 0.80    
ABSAM         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
THE PROGRAMMER         (girten)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
HOT BLOODED         (david carlos)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
HAWKISH         (toner j)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00    
10  VOW ME NOW         (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00    
 
GP-9   01/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY DIPLOMACY         (walsh brenda)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 8% 11.80    
CAPOCOSTELLO         (gutierrez fa)MORELOS E 120 12.00    
AMERICAN PRINCE         (nicks e)JARAMILLO E 122 4.50    
SCR  VINDICTIVE         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00    
OLYMPIAD         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50    
LOOKIN AT ROSES         (precia)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 11% 8.00    
HIGHEST HONORS         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
GP-10   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL QUEST         (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 47% 1.10    
PUDDING         (dobles eliza)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  LUGAMO         (sano antonio)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00    
POPPY'S PRIDE         (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 20.00    
GATSBY         (david a)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
BOCA BOY         (winebaugh ch)ARROYO S 124 15.00    
LEGAL DEAL         (david carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
CAJUN BROTHER         (hess b)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
 
GP-11   01/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCIPE D'ORO         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
LAST DAWN         (cox)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00    
DREAM OF A DAY         (tagg barc)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SKYLANDER         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50    
GRAND DAVID         (barboza vict)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
ROMANICHAL         (arnold)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
BORDER WAR         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
MALIBU TIME         (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
10  LA MAQUINA         (gargan)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
11  SIMMS         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 10.00    
12  MOMS MOON         (arnold r)JARAMILLO E 120 20.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  STRAIGHT TIME         (trombetta )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.