Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEETEN         (delany sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
BINDING         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
THIRTYSIX G'S         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50    
POWER JET         (calhoun willi)VARGAS P 121 2.00 36% 1.70    
GREELEY WENT WEST         (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
LUCKY STREAKER         (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 116 8.00    
CAEUS IN PASADENA         (zenon char)MARQUEZ L 121 20.00    
 
FG-2   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IBEAM         (core )MONSERRATE A 120 12.00    
WISH UPON A STAR         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50    
SCR  NOW NOW MAN         (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
SCR  MOMENT OF STARDOM         (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
WE NEED A FIVE         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00    
CPRIORITY         (thomas lee)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 120 6.00    
BALLINONABUDJET         (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 71% 0.40    
BITSY'S OTHER HALF         (patt jr)RIQUELME J 120 10.00    
RANCH BADGE         (hodges e)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
10  GREY SLOAN         (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00    
 
FG-3   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUB SODA Jan03         (sharp joe)VARGAS P 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
WILL KNOWS         (tracy greg)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00 24% 3.10    
CHAPEL BARN         (rodriguez edua)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50    
JACK THE RIPPER (FR)         (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00    
JURISDICTION         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
THE GRAY BLUR Jan03         (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
MURDO Jan03         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
LEMON AND DIEM Jan02         (cano m)MORALES ROBERTO 121 3.50    
 
FG-4   01/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRING MAGIC         (walsh p)PARKER L 120 10.00    
PORONUI         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
CECILITA         (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  TREASURE OF WAR         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
ZISISIT (IRE)         (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
SCR  SHISHITO (IRE)         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
CHOPIN DRIVE         (bauer phi)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 11% 8.10    
GIRLS HOUSE         (shirer a)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
HONEY RUN         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 6% 14.80    
SCR  HAZY COMMAND         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  GREAT ADVENTURE         (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
 
FG-5   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELTA TRAVELER         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 125 1.80 39% 1.60    
BOX OF PICTURES         (camejo jose)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
FUHR MEO         (maturin ch)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 125 12.00    
SCR  MRS. NECAISE         (ladner herman)VEGA L 117 12.00    
MERCEDES LADIES         (duke steven)CULP BRIANNE 120 6.00    
THAT'S MY MAMA         (noel dane)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 4.50    
SCR  LADY CHURCHILL         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 125 8.00    
 
FG-6   01/15/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I HEAR YOU         (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 6% 14.80    
MAGICAL PEAPOD         (foley gre)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN MAFIA         (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.00    
APPLE DAPPLE         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
SCR  CLARA PEETERS (GB)         (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  POSTNUP         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
JOY OF TREASURE         (margolis stephen)PARKER L 120 8.00    
STROLLIN THE BAYOU         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
SCR  PERFECT CHOICE         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  MISTY VEIL Jan07         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
FG-7   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT SUMMER DRESS         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 1.80 64% 0.60    
SCR  TIZAFEELIN         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 119 1.80    
MALLOY         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 8% 11.20    
HONORIFIQUE         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50    
GREEN MONSTER         (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 10.00    
GIANNA'S GIFT         (miller f)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
READY SEEKER         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
 
FG-8   01/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($47K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOW YUS CANT LEAVE         (rubley kelly)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  GO BIG GREEN         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GAMBLING CAT         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
BLOSSOM ROAD         (lovell michelle)DIAZ RENE 115 20.00    
MO NORMAL         (rubley ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
SCR  DRAWN TO RACE (GER)         (stall albert)CARROLL DECLAN 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
MUCHO MACHO MOMMA         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
HANA ROAD         (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
YOUENS         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 12.00    
SCR  BELIEVING (IRE)         (maker j)RIQUELME J 120 12.00    
SCR  SCARLETT LACE         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
SCR  FOREVER DREAMING         (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
SCR  I'M FINE         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 4.50    
 
FG-9   01/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALADI         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50    
1A  LINE CHANGE         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 62% 0.60    
CANDY LANDING         (walsh p)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 5% 18.20    
BODOCK         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.00    
PESO IN MY POCKET         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  HOIST THE GOLD         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 8% 12.00    
STRAVA         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.