Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - January 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREETTALKINHOTTIE         (melancon do)FLORES S 120 12.00    
LEA'S PRINCESS         (gelner scott)POMPELL L 120 3.50    
TEXAS MAMA Jan01         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.00 41% 1.50    
LIL EVA JANE         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 1.80    
MALARTACH         (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 8.00    
TWN TAWFEERS PARTY         (shamsie randy)BURNINGHAM J 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET AMELIA         (derousselle pete)MELANCON G 117 5.00 22% 3.60    
 
DED-2   01/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  I'LL RAISE YOU         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 1.80 41% 1.50    
SCR  DOUBLE BARREL MAN         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 1.80    
BORN AGAIN GEORGE         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
ALTERANA         (charles keith)MELANCON G 120 2.00    
MIDNIGHT BAYOU         (gelner scott)KENNEDY TY 120 10.00 6% 14.70    
KNOCKALITTLELOUDER         (vance w)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00    
FAREWELL TIME         (white dale)FUSILIER C 120 3.50    
 
DED-3   01/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTRO FLASH         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 2.50 36% 1.70    
MERCEDES DOME         (guilbeau charles)DAVID J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPORT PALACE         (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 121 6.00    
HALOS ALARM         (breaux samuel)FUSILIER C 121 12.00    
ZIPITY         (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
ROSEISALWAYSRITE         (hebert dori)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 5.00    
TOOSIE         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
ORDER UP ANOTHER         (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 121 4.50    
MISS EMMA JEAN         (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 121 15.00    
 
DED-4   01/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIAN'S IRON MIKE         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 1.40 23% 3.30    
HOME VISIT         (delhomme jeff)COTTO L 115 6.00 18% 4.60    
DONNIE BOY         (ramirez rosa )PUSAC ALBERTO 113 10.00    
SIMPLY WICKED         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 18% 4.50    
DANCIN WITH ANGELS         (brinkman brett)KENNEDY TY 116 3.00    
GHOST COWBOY         (briley lonnie)BIRZER E 116 8.00    
 
DED-5   01/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYCRAFT Jan06         (husak j)STOKES J 123 8.00    
SCR  TROY OUNCE         (dixon tim)BIRZER E 123 12.00 16% 5.30    
SUMMER APPEAL         (bernard )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
FROM NOW ON         (huval brian)THORNTON G 120 4.50    
SCR  ZIPZAPTIME         (grudzien ry)LEDET THEODRICK 123 8.00    
LADDIE BOY         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 123 2.00 62% 0.60    
SECRET LIFE STYLE         (guillory henr)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
NIPPY RED         (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
 
DED-6   01/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAYPOINT         (larrosa a)BIRZER E 120 3.50    
KING NATE         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
RED BUFFALO         (nelson r)BURNINGHAM J 120 12.00    
FLAT OUT LOVE         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 6.00 10% 8.80    
PAT ME DOWN         (fuselier jona)SMITH J 117 15.00    
PERFECT MISTAKE         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
HE HAD A SECRET         (guillory henr)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
CAPE TOWN WILLY         (antwine mic)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00    
 
DED-7   01/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF A BITE         (white )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 10.00    
PARK RIDGE BENNY         (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
SWEEPING EDGE         (holden mark)SMITH J 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
PARLAY PETE         (gonzalez v)MELANCON G 120 5.00 11% 8.10    
PREACHER         (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 120 12.00    
B B MOODY         (barnes davi)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 8.00    
LOVETHATCAUSE         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
CABOT TRAIL         (klopp randy)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
 
DED-8   01/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNFATHOMED         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 3.50    
FAST VERDICT         (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
SCR  TOE BANDIT         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 10.00    
SCR  KINLEE'S SONG         (kanhai joseph)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
HUFFS TAZ A BOO         (sam w)KENNEDY TY 118 4.00 6% 14.70    
WISE ANCHOR         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
THAT'S D 'CAT         (white )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 41% 1.40    
FRIENDOFTHECOURT         (henry eric)MCMAHON J 118 8.00    
 
DED-9   01/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LULLABY BANDIT         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00    
TENPINS TERRITORY         (thomas lee)SMITH J 120 20.00    
HIGH PRIORITY         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 4.00 45% 1.20    
CLEVER PRINCE         (bonin jr)STOKES J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SASSY'S PROSPECTOR         (sam w)KENNEDY TY 120 3.00 13% 6.70    
TOOCAN DANCE         (lara jorge)GUZMAN JORGE 120 8.00    
LOUISIANA TRIP         (sturrock billy)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
SCR  AW HECK         (white dale)FUSILIER C 120 10.00    
TDZ WHAT A DREAM         (flugen)RUIZ GARCIA 120 6.00 8% 11.50    
10  CYBER GUN         (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  M AND M'S CUSTOM         (hebert)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING HARBOUR         (degeyter rand)SMITH J 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.