Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Friday - January 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-2   01/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANTAL         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
PLUMA         (belvoir vann)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
BONES AND ROSES         (loftin lind)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
XYLOPHONE         (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
SEVEN POINTS         (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 5.00    
PREDETERMINATION         (story chad)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
UNUSUAL DANCER         (dillenbeck)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 9% 10.00    
SLEW SOUTH         (george cy)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
BACK TO BUSINESS Jan06         (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 15.00    
 
TUP-3   01/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN GAMBLER         (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 8% 10.90    
TURN AT TED'S         (gibbs tyler)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
MR CHARLIE KING         (garcia gene )GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00    
LITIGATOR         (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
FRED         (dennison da)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
AUTISM CAN DO         (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 124 5.00 13% 7.00    
LIMITED OFFER         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
ROUGE SUNSET         (nelson amy)OSUNA MARTIN 124 6.00    
BIG TONY         (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANTASTIC DAY         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
ARABIAN STORY         (ferguson chad)CORBETT W 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
WHIDBEY PRINCE         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 20.00    
MARDEN         (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00    
REELFOOT Jan03         (wheeler tr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAUSE AND EFFECT Jan03         (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 122 6.00    
MYSTIC REALITY         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.00    
AZEE RULES         (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 122 5.00    
 
TUP-5   01/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOSE DIAMOND         (story chad)ZUNINO L 120 12.00 19% 4.40    
K P ALL SYSTEMS GO         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 6.00    
BEDROCK (GB) Jan05         (christian b)SCRIVER L 120 20.00    
ZUMURUDEE         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
MAJESTIC EAGLE         (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.50    
TIGER DAD         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50    
RAAGHEB Jan01         (matt l)CORBETT W 122 5.00 11% 8.50    
ZOFFARELLI (IRE)         (mullins je)VAN DRAYDEN 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
JACKS OUTLAW         (brinson clay)MAWING A 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-6   01/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZING MISS JOJO         (schnel)FLETCHER D 124 6.00    
UH OH LUCY         (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 6% 14.50    
BRASTIKA Jan04         (gomez alejan)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 15.00    
EUROROPER         (coughlin chr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00    
KEEPINMYPROMISE         (van d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
BLUE GESSAMI         (bazurto ramo)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00    
NO KITTEN         (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00    
WAR MAIDEN         (nelson amy)OSUNA MARTIN 124 20.00    
AWESOME GALAXY         (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
10  OLD WEST         (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
 
TUP-7   01/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODY TWO SIOUX         (garcia gene )GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00    
STREET FLYER         (silva l)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
TICO TIME         (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
BULLICIOUS         (scott larry )SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00 6% 14.60    
FINISHED MY P H D         (ku)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 14% 6.30    
LOVELY LINDA         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00 7% 13.00    
COSMIC TRIPSTER         (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 124 15.00    
EMPRESSIVE CAT         (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
MORNING BLURS         (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
SCR  OUT OF THE SKY         (es)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
11  BEAUTY BLACK         (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
12  THECHAMPISFLORING         (bullene mic)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
 
TUP-8   01/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COVER VERSION         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
MY CRAFTY GAL         (leon priscilla)MAWING A 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  SHORE BREAK (IRE)         (drysdale neil)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
FLYING TO THE LINE         (hernandez m)SCRIVER L 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  RIGHTEOUSLY Jan02         (ruiz loren)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 120 12.00    
CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE         (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
BROOKE (CHI)         (mccarthy m)VAN DRAYDEN 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
MAD GRACE         (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
SCR  DANCE SHOES         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00    
10  ZYDECO MAMA         (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
SCR  LADY COMMISSIONER         (evans justin)VERGARA P 122 10.00    
SCR  GALILETA         (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.