Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - January 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   01/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIPPY Jan02         (cordero-lopez )MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 26% 2.90    
1A  MOON LAUNCH         (cordero-l)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.00    
TAOS         (paquette raym)CANUTO THIAGO 113 8.00    
RECKLESS L J         (haehn r)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
SAMURAI SAINT         (esquivel jesus)FELIX E 120 4.50    
UGLY DUCKLING Jan02         (ashcraft davi)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 10% 9.50    
FIRST DEPUTY         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
HIGHER AUTHORITY Jan02         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00    
SCR  CHRISTIAN C         (reavis l)BAIRD T 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
 
TP-2   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C F V WICKED RED         (gonzalez lilia)FELIX E 122 15.00    
SCR  DO YOUR BEST         (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 115 8.00    
AMES MISTER         (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 9% 9.90    
DANTRUM         (mckeever and)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
PHARAOH'S KITTEN         (hanc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 30.00    
MAXED UP         (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 112 50.00    
DUEL FUEL         (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 122 4.50    
DUVEEN         (murphy conor)BURKE JULIE 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
POWERFUL POINT         (handal ray)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 6% 16.10    
10  MR. SLATE         (godsey marsh)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
 
TP-3   01/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANITE CANDY         (esquivel jesus)FELIX E 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE         (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00    
CUPP OF CLASS         (capps steve)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
MAMA LOU         (miller kenny)RAMOS D 120 5.00 46% 1.20    
CRUZIN TATUM         (goodman c)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
DULCIMER DAME         (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
ANOTATION         (rodriquez reg)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 6% 15.10    
ESCAPE FUND Jan02         (cash l)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
EASY SILENCE         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50    
UNWANTED INPUT         (manning john )CANUTO THIAGO 113 30.00    
10  NARROWS BRIDGE         (jarvis kat)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
11  MOMMY BERTA         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 10.00    
12  ESPECIALLY YOU         (shif)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 10.00    
 
TP-4   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAWNDO         (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCHENECTADY STAR         (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
MADELYNS HEAT         (nihei mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
TONKAWA SPRINGS         (mckeever andrew)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT J J         (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 16% 5.10    
POST WAR         (kendall elise)MCKEE J 120 30.00    
OVERTHOUGHT         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00    
STORM ATTACK         (beckman whit)ROCCO S 120 3.50    
NEWTOWN         (ortiz a)MAYTA J 120 20.00    
10  SARGEANT BARGER         (pitts c)RAMOS D 120 30.00    
11  ORDER OF THE DAY         (asmussen )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
12  HATCH (GB)         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED         (lyster s)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
SCR  HE REIGNS         (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
 
TP-5   01/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DALTON'S LOVE         (greenhill je)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
SCR  FUR BIZ         (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 120 50.00    
SENSEOFEXCELLENCE         (asmussen )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00    
BYZANTINE         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
STORM KISS         (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
ALWAYS CONNECTED         (weaver george)ROCCO S 120 6.00    
CONSTITUTION GAL         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00    
JAG WARRIOR         (sims philip)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
VACCINE OF HOPE         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
10  MY LILY MAE         (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 110 10.00    
11  KRISPY RICE         (walsh ryan )PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
SCR  QUIST AND SHOUT         (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
13  Q BOND         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
14  LISCOLVIN         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
 
TP-6   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE         (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HABOBANERO Jan01         (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 123 3.00    
LOVE THE POWER (FR)         (nocero carm)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 50.00    
HIDENSEEK SALLY         (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 3.50 10% 9.20    
MAGNA G FORCE         (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00    
THAT'STHEWAYTODOIT         (barkley jason)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
HEY HEY         (candelas bl)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 12.00    
RADIANTRITHYM         (danner dou)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
JAZZ BRUNCH         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50    
SEAPORT STORM         (butcher malco)CANUTO THIAGO 116 30.00    
10  SEDUCTIVE (IRE)         (short j)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
SCR  SUPERSTAR DIVA         (zawitz joel)LEON SONNY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  HELEN MAE'S SONG         (watkins m)MCKEE J 123 12.00    
13  FIRST SQUADRON         (reid r)CENTENO ALEXIS 123 12.00    
 
TP-7   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOOD CURDLING         (hernandez rey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
MY MY MUNNY         (foster eric)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
LA TOURISTA Jan01         (vasquez ger)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
BEAM OF LIGHT         (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
PETER'S KITTEN         (maker michael )ROCCO S 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
PAIGE ANNE         (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
MYEERAH         (sims a)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
NATALIES CHARM         (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00    
AUNTIE MABEL         (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
10  CALIFORNIA LILY         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 4.00 14% 5.90    
 
TP-8   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAXIMUS IMAGE         (zawitz joel)LEON SONNY 120 30.00    
EMPEROR'S GOLD         (fernandez edwa)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 10% 9.20    
KEARNY COUNTY         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 113 15.00    
DOWN HOME KITTEN         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 21% 3.90    
CHA VEZ         (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT SWAP         (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
ARMY SCOUT         (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
BOBBY BABY Jan02         (navarrete a)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 12.00    
CROWN TO THE GOLD         (calderon en)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
SCR  AMANI'S KITTEN         (casti)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 15.00    
11  THE BOSS FACTOR Jan01         (contreras ciprian)FELIX E 123 3.50    
12  COMFORT ME NOW         (reid r)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 8.00    
SCR  HONORABLE HERO         (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.