Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/14/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROJO TORO         (woodard walter)CASTANON L 120 4.00    
BROADWAY RUCKUS         (wilson tony)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50 6% 14.40    
CAPTURED DREAMS         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
GIVE IT A GO         (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
HEAVY WEIGHT Jan02         (negrete javie)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 12.00    
HICKORY COURT         (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 6.00    
CUPID'S GHOST         (ali alnaz)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 20.00    
 
TAM-2   01/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE         (lawrence dalto)HENRY WESLEY 120 6.00    
GRAND MAMOO         (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
BE BOP A LOLA         (nunn dougla)GARCIA A 120 3.00 10% 9.40    
BELLARIFIC         (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
CASANOVA QUEEN         (munoz carl)URDANETA J 120 10.00    
SHANGHAI KIMMY         (s)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 6.00    
JARA         (davis richard)PANAIJO JORGE 120 2.50    
 
TAM-3   01/14/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MERICATHEBEAUTIFUL         (skelton dawn)REEVES F 122 6.00 9% 9.70    
UPPER SPEED DS         (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 8.00    
AMERICAN EMPRESS         (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
MAY BEAU         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 10.00    
C'EST PARTI Jan05         (cotrone denis)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
TIZ LOTTIE         (schistl)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
MALIBU LIFE         (carvajal luis)PANAIJO JORGE 122 20.00    
PASS THE SALSA Jan05         (nunn douglas)BATISTA A 122 4.00 8% 12.30    
 
TAM-4   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL TALE         (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 8.00    
BERHANU         (morzan javier )CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
NICK THE CARDSHARK Jan01         (delgado jose )MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
CREEKMORE Jan02         (nunn dougla)GARCIA A 120 2.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  ONE FAST         (minguet )MARTINEZ A 120 6.00    
DOODLE HOPPER         (rigattieri jo)ALVARADO JR 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
TONY SMALL         (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 110 5.00    
 
TAM-5   01/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN CHANNELS         (lewis)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
FEBRUARY SON         (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
PIRATE PARADE         (pimental i)FERRER C 120 15.00    
ABUMPINTHEROAD         (lecesse )GALLARDO A 120 20.00    
SCR  THOMOND PARK         (ryan s)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
MR. KRINGLE         (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
COMMENCE         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 15.00    
ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 28% 2.50    
CARPENTERS CALL         (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-6   01/14/2022 5400ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.5K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AULENTI         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
APPALACHIANHEIGHTS         (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 10.00    
RESTORATION         (barbazoniii l)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00    
WINGSPUN Jan01         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
CHROME SAVAGE         (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 120 10.00    
LATIN NIKKITA         (schistl raf)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 5.00    
PEACEFUL SURPRISE         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
TAKE A STAND         (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-7   01/14/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON GAL         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 119 15.00    
PROPER MANNERS         (galvan baltaz)ALVARADO JR 119 6.00    
SCR  TUNSTALL         (viands gregor)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 20.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL GRACE         (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 2.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BAHAMIAN MOON Jan05         (ward dennis)FERRER C 123 8.00    
SILVER TUNES         (bagwandeen)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
MOANAS POWER         (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 119 8.00    
BILLYJANE         (hall philip)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
SISTER RULER         (boyce m)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 16% 5.20    
10  POSEIDON'S PASSION         (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  ADRIATIC ROSE         (gory mark)FERRER C 119 20.00    
12  TRIPLET         (lanum crys)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
 
TAM-8   01/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENELAO         (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
PROFESSOR J         (woodard h)WALES GARY 120 15.00    
BALLOT BOX         (mcgaughe)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
BRUCE BANNER         (campbell michae)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHINNECOCK HILLS         (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
CHROME'S RIGHT Jan02         (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
MEAN JOE BRO         (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 20.00    
GIANT'S FIRE         (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
MACALLAN         (pletcher a)CENTENO E 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
10  EXXEL         (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00    
 
TAM-9   01/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S JUST QUALITY         (alvarado diane)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 20% 3.90    
STARSHIP MISSION         (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 123 15.00    
CECI'SAPRILHOTTIE         (negrete javier)FERRER C 123 6.00    
BRAMBLE BUSH         (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00    
PRETTY DEVIL         (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 12.00    
FIRST LADY DI DA         (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
PHONE A FRIEND         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 121 30.00    
AS IT SEEMS         (dominguez lui)ARROYO MIGUEL 116 30.00    
FORBIDDEN DREAM         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
10  TWELVE RED ROSES         (banks chris)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 10.00    
SCR  VARSITY KICKLINE (IRE)         (escobar alison)BISONO J 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.