Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - January 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE IS ETERNAL         (geist w)FLORES E 122 6.00    
2  PEACEARELLA         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  MY DIXIE LASS         (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 6% 17.10    
4  QUEEN CADENCE         (gonzalez cl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.00 ★    
5  LAST OFFENSE         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 ★    
6  TIMEISGOLDEN         (viands r)CORA D 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
PEN-2   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTING JENNY         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
SCR  KITTEN'S PEEBLES         (moreno tito)FLORES E 122 6.00 ★    
3  DISCREET SISTER         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
4  FAIR LASSIE         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
5  ALLISON K Jan07         (valdez mois)CAMILO D 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
6  HILL VALLEY         (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDING GENERAL         (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  FOR THE MOMENT         (smith thomas )DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIR ROCKPORT         (moreno tito)FLORES E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  A T M AWESOME         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00    
5  YES IT'S ROO         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 6% 16.50    
6  FIX ME A SANDWICH         (gonzalez claud)ROSADO JOHAN 118 8.00    
7  FIZBO         (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
8  SEPICATO         (wames j)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
9  WHERE U B         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00    
10  STROLL SMOKIN Jan02         (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
PEN-4   01/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERINO WOOL Jan04         (rojas eduardo)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
2  LANA Jan04         (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 122 4.50 ★    
3  MIA ANGELINA         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 12% 7.10    
4  JUSTIN TIME Jan04         (agnew naoise)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
5  TEACHER DRAMA         (salinas jos)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
6  BONITA LASSIE         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 38% 1.70    
 
PEN-5   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI         (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
2  DETERMINED LOVE         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  NORA RADD         (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  WILL TAKE ROSES         (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00    
5  STORMY SPELL         (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 10.00 ★    
6  TRIPP ROAD         (sells rac)VARGAS L 120 12.00 ★    
7  HONORABLE LILLY         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
PEN-6   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTKISSMYGRITS         (stites w)WHITNEY G 120 5.00    
2  MOVIE SCORE         (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 ★    
3  SWEET MESA         (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 ★    
4  MOONSAFE         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  PRETTY EDGY         (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  LAURA'S ANGLE         (nichol kevi)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
7  MOONROCK         (gonzalez cl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISTER GARY         (carpio erin)CORA D 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
2  GREY QUEST         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 124 3.00    
3  DOMINANT FACTOR         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  BOOK OF DELANCEY Jan11         (hillegass a)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
5  KINDA CLASS'Y         (albright amy)FLORES E 124 12.00    
6  VOODOO CAT         (hillegass al)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00 6% 16.60    
7  BEST AND FINAL         (mileni nic)KING MARIE 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
8  PAULINO         (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIP TOP TAPPER         (shea timoth)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
2  SHETALKSTOMUCH         (coletti ed)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 8.00    
3  KATESALUCKYGIRL         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
4  SOCIAL EXCLUSION         (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 122 10.00 11% 8.40    
5  MADE TO HUSTLE         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
6  SISTER SADIE         (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 8.00 ★    
7  ROSES FROM HEAVEN         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
8  GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL Jan07         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
 
PEN-9   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUNNY CALL         (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 5% 18.50    
2  R CHERRY         (mick r)FLORES E 122 20.00    
3  GLOSSY MADRINA         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  HONESTA         (jacavone john )CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 ★    
5  BUSTINMYGROOVE         (chichakly am)HARKIE K 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  MISS ALEX Jan03         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00 8% 11.70    
7  NORMANS GIRL GAYLE         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00    
8  MIZSHIPMAN         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
9  REAWAKENED         (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.