Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Friday - January 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO BERBS         (brown john )MARTINEZ R 124 15.00    
DYNAFORM Jan01         (lopez e)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
HERACLITUS         (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
SLICK AS ICE         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
GEH SCHNELL         (fiesman robert)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
KADESH         (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
BUCKY         (guciardo robert)RIVERA R 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
WILLY'S CASTLE         (sweazey)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
FIRE FOR EFFECT         (jackson jame)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD KARMA         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
LITTLE MATILDA         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 8% 11.60    
LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE         (richa)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 6.00    
WILDWOOD MAGGIE         (campbell joel)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00    
SCR  UNTAPPED ENERGY Jan01         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
HAPPY BEE         (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
PAO DE QUEIJO         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 35% 1.80    
KENNEDIE SKY Jan01         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
BACKSPLASH         (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
 
MVR-3   01/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT DADDY         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
UNCAPTURED SOLDIER         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
FOREST CHATTER         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 6% 15.80    
MY MAE DAY         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DOCTOR LEE         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
WIZARD WILLIE         (johnson gary )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
MON CAMO         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
RESCUE FIVE         (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
SPINSTER ROAD         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
10  KEYED ON TOP         (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
 
MVR-4   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY WRITER         (yoder d)LEON SONNY 124 10.00    
SCR  ATTUCK         (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 11% 7.80    
KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE         (anderson su)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.00    
ADHHAR         (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
HOVER         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
RED HOT DEVIL         (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TV TIZ GORGEOUS         (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 6.00    
CABARET FLEUR         (overholt )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 20.00    
GOLOSA         (romero jose )WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 10.00    
I'M JAC'D         (vazquez ivan)LEON SONNY 126 4.50 28% 2.60    
DADDYS LITTLE FLAG         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
TIDAL ROCKET         (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
COMO ROSE         (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 126 15.00    
SMALLTOWN CAT         (maddox rachae)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 20.00    
OPHA MAY         (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00    
10  GIMME CLEARANCE         (silva f)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 20.00    
11  NOT JIMMY'S TOY         (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 20.00    
12  MILA MINUTE         (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 20.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  EAT MY DUST         (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONGLIVEJUSTICE         (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
BEACH FRONT         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAMANRASSETT         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
SAMMY DA BULL         (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00    
SHANGHAI PRINCE         (cline c)LEON SONNY 126 10.00    
JUSTENUFFTUFF         (chatterton ger)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
KING RICHIE         (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
BEAT THE DEALER         (zielinski r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 10.00    
TO WIN         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 1.40 36% 1.80    
10  STAR HAWK         (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
MVR-7   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIFT FROM MOM         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00    
LOVELY LADY LINDA         (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
MY BELLE MICHELLE         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ADVENTURE LAND         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
UCANTKEEPUP         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
BEACH BABE         (murillo rodrigue)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
SCR  BLANCONIA         (fernandez a)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 10% 9.10    
MISS TREATED STAR         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
HEIDI'S BACK         (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
10  CUT RATES         (trevino stephen )LEON SONNY 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
MVR-8   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE         (maddox rachae)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00    
DANCING GRACE         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
NAN'S ROSE         (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 6% 14.40    
CHARDON         (inirio carlos)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
SCR  MILWAUKEE CAT         (feebeck h)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
OHIO STORM         (brown glenr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
SONGSTOPSHELF         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
HIGH CUPPER         (brown gle)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 17.50    
PSYCHOANALYST         (brown john )MARTINEZ R 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-9   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGE IT ALL         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 124 8.00    
SCR  ILLUSIONS OF LOVE         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
DREAM TO WIN         (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC ICE         (baez sergio)LEON SONNY 124 15.00    
SCR  FRANKIE'S GIFT         (skelton cha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00 6% 16.70    
PAINTED ROCKET         (kocijan marcus)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
CARDIOVERSION         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
BIRDIE BLUE         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
SHANNON'S GIRL         (murillo rodr)WISEMAN ISAIAH 126 8.00 8% 11.30    
10  MAVI         (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50    
11  DUDES LAWYER         (urieta johanna)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 7% 14.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.