Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - January 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET NONE         (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
1A  NORTHERN ALLIANCE         (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 120 2.50    
SCR  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Jan01         (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
BLUES MARY         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
DOUBLE DARE YOU         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN DUDETTE         (ramirez luis)DIAZ RENE 115 6.00    
RANK AND FILE         (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.50    
SCR  LOVE AND LEMONS         (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
 
FG-2   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENSAS VIRGINIA         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
BEANIE         (gelner scott)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
ZUMRA BAYOU         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 4.00 8% 11.20    
EASY ACES         (ladner herman)VEGA L 120 12.00    
COME ON BIRDIE Jan02         (wells)MONSERRATE A 120 12.00    
PAT HAND GIRL         (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
STOP SHOP N DROP Jan01         (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 6% 16.20    
BODE'S CONNECTION         (hodges e)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
 
FG-3   01/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOURRISTA         (harrison cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 11% 8.20    
ZANDREA'S         (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00    
PAYTONSATTHEPLATE         (alonzo howard)COTTO L 121 1.80    
JUDY'S WAY         (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
WATRUGONNADOKAREN         (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 121 4.00    
SCR  SARIAH SARIAH         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
 
FG-4   01/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUSTY BOY         (perron gera)MORALES ROBERTO 121 15.00    
SCR  OUR BLUE JAY         (antwine mich)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00    
BEHEMAH STAR         (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 1.60 8% 11.60    
SHANGHAI RONNIE         (delahouss)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 57% 0.80    
DRILLING REPORT         (cuccia j)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
MARTINIZED         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
FG-5   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZ TROUBADOUR Jan03         (forster t)GRAHAM J 125 4.50    
PI YO PRINCESS         (alonzo howard)SANJUR SANTO 125 3.00 20% 4.00    
CANDY ANNE Jan03         (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 6.00    
TAPPIN'TIME         (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 125 8.00    
SWEET BAY         (faucheux ron)SUAREZ ANGEL 125 3.50 44% 1.30    
CANDY CALL         (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 125 8.00 10% 9.50    
TALENTED TAPPER         (glover tr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 10.00    
HELLO HERO Jan03         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-6   01/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHATON ROUGE         (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 116 20.00    
AUNT RUTH         (campbell donal)SUAREZ ANGEL 116 20.00    
ZEN (IRE)         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 120 6.00    
CLARA BELLE         (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 51% 1.00    
BEE RIGHT         (maker michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
LADY MAEVE (IRE)         (scherer gary)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00    
LADY CLARE         (block chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
SWIZZLECITY         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 8% 11.90    
ALLOCATE         (drury jr)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
FG-7   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CHOPPER         (gelner scott)GREEN AUBRIE 119 4.50    
COSMIC TRAIN         (delhomme jerry)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 24% 3.10    
MORE MEMORIES         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE         (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 119 10.00    
BRON AND BROW         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 0.80 30% 2.30    
CHEROKEE TAKEOVER         (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00    
MY HEAVY SON         (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
 
FG-8   01/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRIKE ME DOWN         (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
COLTONATOR         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
MAY HOUR         (robbins ha)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 117 12.00    
GRAY ATTEMPT         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
HOPE AND DIGNITY         (maker j)PARKER L 120 6.00 5% 18.90    
BEACHCOMBING         (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
LAMARTINE (BRZ)         (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
HIGH LIMIT ROOM         (camejo m)DIAZ RENE 115 4.50 13% 6.80    
JACK THE UMPIRE         (morley tho)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
10  SEVEN SCENTS Jan06         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
SCR  QUARKY         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
 
FG-9   01/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF DIALED         (wells)MONSERRATE A 121 20.00    
PHILLY WINS         (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
LIL ADEAU         (culotta ray)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00    
SPEEDY DUDETTE         (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00    
MRS. JUDY         (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SUMITUP         (caldwell delmar )RIQUELME J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
RUE LALA         (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
MAGGIE'S RETURN         (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00    
OUR SOUTHERN GIRL         (foster m)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
10  RONNIE'S PESO         (schwandt e)MARQUEZ L 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
11  BRAVE NUGGET         (pujol b)DIAZ RENE 116 12.00    
12  STEPH'S SPIRIT         (gelner scott)PARKER L 121 4.50    
SCR  CONNIE BABY         (stemmans do)MORALES ROBERTO 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.