Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - January 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BISTRAYA Jan01         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
EPIC (ARG)         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 12.00 15% 5.70    
DEALIN' STELEN         (toups brent)STOKES J 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
BUXTERHOOTER         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
HIGH POWERED         (devereux patrick)KENNEDY TY 123 4.00    
CHAOSMOS         (richard russe)SMITH J 123 15.00    
INVASORS WIND         (westlye ken)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00    
SCR  HOODOO BROWN         (dixon tim)BIRZER E 123 10.00    
 
DED-2   01/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SUCKERFORAGREY         (white )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
SCR  BIND ON EARTH         (white dale)STOKES J 123 4.50    
ROARING QUINN Jan01         (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
SCR  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Jan01         (averett ronni)SMITH J 120 15.00    
ITSNOTMYJOB         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
TOTALLY GRACE Jan01         (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  GRILLIN         (harrison cor)JOURNET JARRED 120 15.00 6% 15.40    
ROSE CROWN         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
WILD MALLORY Jan01         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 1.60 29% 2.50    
 
DED-3   01/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIMESTONE KID         (west henry)BURNINGHAM J 123 10.00    
PALANTE         (landry ray)STOKES J 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
IT'S A BIRD Jan05         (ali anci)MCMAHON J 123 3.00    
PAJEAUX'S CAT         (mason gary )RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 12.00    
SCR  JUSTA BUSTER         (cormier houston)POMPELL L 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
SADIE'S LIGHT Jan05         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00 6% 15.60    
JUST INDISCREET Jan05         (godfrey edmo)JOURNET JARRED 123 6.00    
 
DED-4   01/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SMILES         (schultz robe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
FASHION MOON         (morris rowdy)SMITH J 120 12.00    
FIRSTSLATE         (melancon do)FLORES S 120 5.00    
AIKEN TO BE         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 1.80 64% 0.60    
SAINT KENNEDY         (antwine mic)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00    
MISS MESS         (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 8% 11.20    
SHE'S SEVENTEEN         (gonzalez v)KENNEDY TY 117 12.00    
SCR  AFLEET OKIE         (dixon tim)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
 
DED-5   01/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AS THUNDER HEART         (mojica a)THORNTON G 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
1A  LUCK OF THE STARS         (mojica a)BACA L 118 3.50    
NATE'S REVENGE         (gelner scott)ROMAN KEVIN 121 6.00    
SCR  SAINT A. J.         (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
CABRO TORO         (beavin judy)STOKES J 118 10.00 13% 6.40    
SPIN TOWN         (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
ORPHAN CREEK         (breaux samuel)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
DREAMER'S DELIGHT         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
DED-6   01/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT BIG MONEY         (larrosa a)BIRZER E 117 8.00    
DIAL EM IN         (cormier houston)BENAVIDES D 117 15.00    
LADY RAD         (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00    
HURRICANE TIZWAY         (turner patt)FLORES S 120 20.00    
C C'S BABY GIRL         (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
OH MY OH         (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 120 4.50 12% 7.00    
FRIENDLY AND KIND         (gonzalez is)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
MOORAC Jan06         (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
BREW CASA         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
DED-7   01/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A SPECIAL STAR         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
BEAUTY BOY         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
GIMMEASOUND         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
LITTLE CAN         (patt jr)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 21% 3.90    
MR. CURLIN         (mojica a)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
BIG BAND'S LUCK         (milburn kat)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00    
DIABLO CAT         (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 6.00    
PIONEER PRIDE Jan05         (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
DED-8   01/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCH         (vance w)ROMAN KEVIN 115 4.50    
TURN ON THE MAGIC         (richard chris)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
MIDNIGHT REVOLT         (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 19% 4.10    
WAR ROGUE         (roberts roy)BACA L 115 20.00    
END ZONE         (cox l)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 43% 1.30    
ICE CRUSH         (guillory jam)JOURNET JARRED 118 20.00    
POPPI IS SMILING         (zeno benjamin)POMPELL L 118 12.00    
OCTOBER SURPRISE         (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
MY CALL         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 2.50    
 
DED-9   01/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA DANTA         (cormier houston)BENAVIDES D 123 15.00    
MACKENZIE'S HALO         (thibod)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
BLAMEITONTHEJOCK         (vance terry)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00    
SCR  LA SMOOCHIE         (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  ALLOFOURDREAMS         (cangemi daniel )MCMAHON J 123 4.50    
JULIO CHOICE Jan01         (huval brian)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.50 21% 3.80    
ELLIE'S A WILDCAT         (broussard j)LEDET THEODRICK 120 6.00    
UNTAMED MONEY         (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRACE'S VISION         (derousselle )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
10  JUST A WIN         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.