Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - January 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY J J         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
MY BOY STRYKER         (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 20.00    
QUID PRO QUO         (brown ronney)BATISTA A 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  SMALL PAW         (jackson ange)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 7% 14.10    
A FAREWELL YODEL         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80 39% 1.50    
ROCKET BALLAD         (myers larry)LIMA FELINO 117 20.00    
JACKSON MAN         (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 124 2.00    
 
CT-2   01/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IAMTHEBESTTOO         (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 10.00    
HOLLYWOOD BROWN         (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 1.60 22% 3.50    
LA RUFINA         (calvert)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 15.00    
NOT FOR GOLD         (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00    
FLIRTING FUHR AVIE         (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
MOJO MATTERS         (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 7% 13.80    
MISS MORGANTOWN         (brown w)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
MEET MS BOBBI RAE         (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 4.50 22% 3.60    
SONDEOFF         (brown a)SIMPSON JASON 120 8.00    
 
CT-3   01/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETE THE BEAST         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
COWBOY AT HEART         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00    
LIKE SEGAL         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
SEVENTY EIGHT         (acevedo israel)MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00    
BIG BROWN SHOES         (englehart )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
SHOW ME THE BEST         (acevedo isra)ROMERO GREGORY 115 10.00    
JAIME JAMEL         (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 20.00    
PERTH AMBOY         (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
CT-4   01/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARNED THE SHOT         (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
LADY KAZA         (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00    
COURAGEOUS GRACE         (ramire)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 8% 11.00    
CHIT CHAT GIRL         (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
HARDSCRATCH         (shanley timoth)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHERIFF'S KID         (frock a)ACOSTA D 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
ZIG         (joy j)MCKENZIE CONNIE 112 12.00    
BEND THE KNEE         (cain c)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 10.00    
JUST A BIT SASSY         (carson laura)MARRERO R 122 8.00 6% 14.70    
10  CHINA CAT         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  INTOXICOLOGIST         (rogers mich)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00    
 
CT-5   01/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCUSES EXCUSES         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
OFFICER SLEW         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
MY SISTER PAM         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50    
LOVETHEONEYOUGOT         (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00 22% 3.50    
NORDIC DANCER         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 34% 1.90    
SCR  CURVE APPEAL         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
KOM HERE GIRL         (craig e)MARRERO R 122 10.00    
FULL MOON LOVER         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00    
CHICA PICANTE         (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
10  WAGER WORTHY         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
11  GOODNESS GRACIOUS         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
 
CT-6   01/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTA         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
BEVERLY PARK Jan02         (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
AWESOME BUZZ         (scott l)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
MARTIN MAN         (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
TOM TERRIFIC         (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
KINGSTON PIKE         (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
COMMAND THE CAT         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 5% 18.50    
FIRE DOWN BELOW         (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
KING NEKIA         (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  WALL         (tuomisto cliffor)MAYHEW W 120 20.00    
11  HONOR LIFE         (cain c)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 20.00    
SCR  SWING WEST         (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   01/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE THE JOKER         (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
TOY TIGER         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00 18% 4.70    
QUEEN OF KANTHAROS         (cipriano robe)MARRERO R 118 15.00    
TWO STEP SALLY         (malgarini ma)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN BOUND         (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00    
I B NASTY         (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 118 20.00    
MISS CENTRAL         (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
REIGN ON AND ON         (huet k)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
PREPAREFORTAKEOFF         (maldonado )ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.50 10% 9.50    
10  HOLLY'S PERSUASION         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 20.00    
SCR  CALIFORNIA SUZY         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 20.00    
 
CT-8   01/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNTIL NOW         (gazzier)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 8.00    
SCARLET TANAGER         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
PRACTICALLY DIZZY         (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 122 2.50    
BRANDYURAFINEGIRL         (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
CHRISTINE'S COSMO         (brown w)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
MY EXPENSIVE GIFT         (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
DEEMED ESSENTIAL         (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
MY BEST FRIEND         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
GARY DOING BIZ         (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BARBSGRAY LION         (mangual ma)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
SCR  COMPETENT         (tomczak mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 15.00    
SCR  HUFFLEPUFF         (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 6.00    
SCR  MAKE IT A DOUBLE         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 27% 2.80    
 
CT-9   01/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE'RE FROM BRISTOL         (meyers mad)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 7% 12.80    
NEW SOUTH         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
INDIANA RED Jan01         (mitchell jer)BATISTA A 124 12.00    
HEROIC DEED         (pickett c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 30% 2.40    
POSTINO'S STORY         (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 124 3.50    
SWEET ASHLEY         (austin steve)ROCHA WLADIMIR 119 12.00    
VITO ANDOLINI         (lane j)MARRERO R 124 8.00    
FASHIONABLE         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
NOW I'M BROKE         (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 8.00    
SCR  HURRICANE AMIGO         (dollinger-s)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00    
11  FOR ARTS SAKE         (davis russell)MARRERO R 124 20.00    
SCR  DUNN DEAL Jan04         (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS         (buckley rick)BATISTA A 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  DUNE DUNE         (volpe j)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.