Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EZ GUESS         (dennison )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 5.00    
2  GATO SICILIANO         (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MR FREEBIE         (dillenbeck bruce)ZUNINO L 121 15.00    
4  SILVERBULLITBADGER         (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 ★    
5  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY         (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 7% 12.60    
6  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE         (rollins scott)DEONAUTH P 116 8.00    
7  DRISKILL         (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 121 4.50 ★    
8  WREXHAM         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 116 12.00    
9  CREME DE LA CHROME         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 68% 0.50    
 
TUP-4   01/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS         (hop mike)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 10.00 ★    
2  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY         (jimenez miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
3  FULL DRAW         (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 2.50 ★    
4  CLAVICHORD         (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
5  PROVOST         (mccartney ja)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR         (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
7  THE BEAT         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
TUP-5   01/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO PASA NADA         (buechler simon )WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
2  BROTHER ROBERT         (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
3  REBEL WAR         (brinkerhoff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 ★    
4  HIT THE SEAM         (wong jonathan)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.00 ★    
5  GOLDENEYED         (brown jared)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
6  SOMETHING SUPER         (ferguson c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MYSTIC REALITY         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  FENESTRA         (cerin vla)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
9  MR NAVIGATOR Jan04         (silva rod)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
 
TUP-6   01/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAQUET         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 9% 10.40    
2  BLANK IT Jan04         (hodgson barry)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  FAMOUS ROCK STAR         (barraza ra)VERGARA P 124 10.00    
4  SMOOTH PAPA         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
5  MR VIEW         (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 3.50 ★    
6  VALLEY WILDCAT         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 14% 6.30    
7  OVER EZ         (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
8  CURRENTLY KRAZY         (oliver victo)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00    
SCR  STONE CREEK         (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   01/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME IMAGE         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  GATO DE RAYO         (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAPITAL REEF         (rollins michael)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
4  VIX HERO         (christian bil)LOPEZ E 124 20.00    
5  JOEJOE'S KINGDOM         (gale bryce)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 15.00    
6  PUT YOUR PANTS ON         (barraza ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 7% 13.40    
7  A NEW TREND         (wong jonathan)VERGARA P 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
8  BUCKLEY BAY         (toye joe)MAWING A 124 10.00    
9  ZOMBIE ALAN         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 124 12.00    
10  READY TO FORGIVE         (espinoza l)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
11  WRITE ITINTHE DUST         (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
12  MO GEE         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   01/13/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY STEPPER         (weaver gordon)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
2  HOT AUGUST STORM         (homer jason)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
3  APRILINTHEPINES         (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
4  KANDI SPUN         (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 ★    
5  WINTER STAR         (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 122 4.00 6% 14.80    
6  SILLY NOTION         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
7  CALLMEJESSIEJAMES Jan04         (silva jose )SCRIVER L 122 12.00    
8  SPICY SOMMELIER         (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 10% 9.20    
9  FOUR SCORE         (stubblefiel)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00    
10  CHICKS DIG MUNNY         (gale bryce)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.