Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Thursday - January 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   01/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 45 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANI SURPRISE         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.80 30% 2.30    
SCR  ZIPSTER         (dunaway k)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 4.50 18% 4.40    
INFINITE MORO         (roberts joe)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
CASH AND TIME         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00 14% 6.00    
RUNNING JESSE         (k)DE CRUZ 123 3.50    
CRAZY RIDGE         (k)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 30.00    
FEARLESS PRINCE         (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 2.00    
 
HOU-2   01/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIZZY B         (stidham micha)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.20 59% 0.70    
MISS EMPIREMENT         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 10% 9.10    
SUFFRAGETTE         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 8.00    
TEXAS TIDELANDS         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 6% 17.00    
PROUD FOOT         (hall john)TRIANA JR 123 4.50    
SCR  JAGO         (hunt james )MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
 
HOU-3   01/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DA BEST WIFE EVER         (villafranco m)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  LOOKING WEST         (biehler m)TRIANA JR 122 12.00    
LOTS OF GOLD         (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
MIA BABY         (silva miguel)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 20.00    
KIMBELL'S STRATEGY         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50    
POW POW         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 12.00    
THOUGHTSANDPRAYERS         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50    
PROMPTLY DONE         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  ARAGON (GB)         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 122 12.00    
10  GRASS QUEEN         (eoff terry)MONTALVO C 122 20.00    
 
HOU-4   01/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACY JAYCEE         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
G'S ALILCRAZY         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  KITTY'S QUEEN         (clary jaylan)SORENSON D 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
CAUSE SHE'S MINE         (pruitt jody)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
PRINCESS ARANTZA         (silva miguel)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 15.00    
FIELD DAISEY         (williamson br)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 4.00    
DORITA'S HEART         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 4.50    
 
HOU-5   01/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD PROSPECT         (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 123 12.00    
MALIBU MIDNIGHT         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
DADDYMADEMEDOIT         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 11% 8.50    
SCR  MISS B         (broberg karl)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
HAILEY'S MELODY         (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
MAGICAL SOUL         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
GASTOWN         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
TWILIGHT CURFEW         (cravens i)MONTALVO C 123 8.00 7% 14.30    
 
HOU-6   01/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET PRAYERS         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  UNBURNT         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50    
LEMON ROSES         (love alan)PEREZ E 123 15.00    
TOO MUCH IRISH         (pish danny)LUZZI J 123 5.00 5% 18.20    
MISS AMERICANA (PER)         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
A GIRL LIKE ME         (hall john)TRIANA JR 123 4.00    
DIPPING IN         (ashford ray)SORENSON D 123 10.00    
TAHITIAN BREEZE         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 123 12.00    
SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT         (villafranco mart)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
SEEING DOUBLE         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-7   01/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3 F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERKEO         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
PUT A BLING ON IT         (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 122 6.00    
T. K.'S JOKER         (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
LILLY'S BIDNESS         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
BECKY'S TATTOO         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
MERCURY HEAD         (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 122 3.50    
TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 10.00    
 
HOU-8   01/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL TAP         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
TURNSANDCONDITIONS         (villafranco marti)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
RECKLESS RED         (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
GHOST ART         (gustafson austin)MONTALVO C 122 2.50    
TIMED EVENT         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
LAST ROO         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 122 1.40 41% 1.50    
DEVIL EYED DEXTER         (pish danny)SORENSON D 122 12.00 9% 10.50    
 
HOU-9   01/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEIRD YEAR         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
LAB RAT         (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00    
TEXAS SKYWALKER         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
GOLD N SILVER         (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00    
DARE TO BE WILD         (clary jaylan)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
MESABI         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
TATANKA         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 122 4.50    
TIME TO MEDDLE         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 122 6.00    
DURANGO JESS         (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.