Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAYANOTHERPRAYER         (landry jaco)MORALES ROBERTO 125 20.00    
SCRAPPY         (ney john)GRAHAM J 125 4.00 28% 2.60    
HUSHED COURT ROOM         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 125 6.00 8% 12.30    
RECKLESS SERGEANT         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.50 19% 4.30    
SUPER ET Jan01         (hatcher d)DIAZ RENE 112 3.00    
ABSOLUTELY MINDY         (thompson kevin)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00    
CRAFTY PRINCESS         (arndt the)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 12.00    
SWEET JACKIELEIGH         (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 125 4.50 8% 10.80    
 
FG-2   01/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLA FLO         (cash norman)GUTIERREZ REYLU 114 8.00    
RITHMICALLEA         (gelner scott)PARKER L 119 8.00    
COSTELLO'S KITTEN         (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
CAUSE TO CRUISE         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 119 1.60 43% 1.30    
VISION BOARD         (joseph saffie )SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50 30% 2.40    
WATSONS BAY         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
SILENT TAP         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 119 8.00    
SCR  EXCLAIM         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
 
FG-3   01/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESOTO'S WAR         (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
FAMILIAR WAYS Jan02         (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00    
MISTS OF TIME         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 122 0.80 68% 0.50    
FORMAL ORDER         (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 109 8.00    
PLEMMONSTON         (leonard i)PARKER L 125 8.00    
FLASHY RICHIE         (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
SCR  RUNNER         (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 122 15.00    
 
FG-4   01/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIAM'S CAUSE         (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00    
GUT FEELING         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 6% 14.80    
IBERVILLE         (amoss thoma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 27% 2.60    
MASQUERADE BALL         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 10.00    
FIGHTVILLE         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 6% 14.80    
UNINVITED GUEST         (margolis steph)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
RULE THE EMPIRE         (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
SILVER NUGGETS         (silva miguel)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
SCR  CRYPTIC CODE         (margolis s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  GUNFIGHTER         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
FG-5   01/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVERI EVER AFTER         (duke steven)RIQUELME J 119 12.00    
MISHPACHAH         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
MEDLEY         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.60 44% 1.30    
MY FRIEND MR. JIM         (mouton patrick)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00    
LOVE RAN RED         (russell b)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
DREAMING OF NEANY         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.00 6% 16.60    
 
FG-6   01/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO ROLL (IRE)         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 40% 1.50    
WINE TO ROSES Jan05         (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 114 20.00    
FUTURE PERFECT         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 8% 11.90    
NO SLO MO         (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
LONG AND STRONG Jan02         (wilson sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
ULTIMATE IRONY         (stidham michael)DIAZ RENE 115 4.50 15% 5.60    
FILIPPO         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
COURAGEOUSLY         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
FED MONEY         (baker james)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 7% 13.20    
10  HOT STOVE LEAGUE         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
 
FG-7   01/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHACKLEFORD STRONG         (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
STARBURST         (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
SUPREMACY         (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
SUPER COMET         (casse mar)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
SANTA CRUISER         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 4.50    
SNOW HOUSE         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
 
FG-8   01/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALEYS SAILOR         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
SILVER N LAI         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
ATTORNEY TIM         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
PINE KNOLL         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
GENTLE SOUL         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
FENWICK STATION         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
FOREVER MO         (morley thoma)CARROLL DECLAN 120 10.00    
IOYA AGAIN         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
BIG AGENDA         (maker j)PARKER L 120 3.50 70% 0.40    
10  THE LAST ZIP         (maker mic)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50 5% 17.60    
SCR  WARRIOR IN CHIEF         (flint bern)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
 
FG-9   01/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY AIM IS TRUE         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
BIRD EMPRESS         (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 6% 14.80    
ICE MAIDEN         (casse mark)MOJICA O 120 10.00    
PRIMA BALLERINA         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
GUN SLINGIN         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
BOMBARRA GOLD         (scherer gary)DIAZ RENE 115 6.00    
CHARDONNAY         (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.