Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JESTER'S SONG         (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 12.00 ★    
2  LABARDE         (depaz horac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
3  IMPROPER         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  FROMANOTHAMUTHA         (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60 45% 1.20    
5  STJAMES         (gyarmati lea)SAMUEL L 120 15.00 ★    
6  KEEPING THE EDGE         (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 7% 12.50    
 
AQU-2   01/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHALIMAR GARDENS         (depaz horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.20 31% 2.20    
2  LEFT LEANING LUCY         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 15.00 ★    
3  DESTINATIONWNRSCIR         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  THAT IS KEY         (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00 ★    
5  MASHNEE GIRL         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
6  VOICE OF SPRING         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-3   01/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXTAIL         (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
1A  INDIAN BELLA         (kan)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.00 ★    
2B  SUBIACO         (vazquez ca)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
SCR  QUASAR         (vazquez ca)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80    
3  ANNIKA GOLD         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 120 4.50 6% 15.10    
4  LADY BY CHOICE         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 15.00 5% 18.40    
5  GRINGOTTS         (goberdhan ch)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
6  WAIT A MINUTE         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
7  STEFANIE ON FLEEK         (depaz horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   01/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORMAN QUEEN         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 ★    
2  SABREEN         (asmussen steven)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
3  VIVAZANO Jan02         (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
4  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS         (kimmel c)MENA E 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
5  LUCKY GIRL (IRE)         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 21% 3.90    
6  STEPPIN' HAWK         (hosang olive)HARKIE K 122 10.00    
7  BAVARIAN CREME         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
8  OUR JESSICA         (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 3.00 11% 8.50    
 
AQU-5   01/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLITTER UP         (hills timot)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 ★    
2  CONTINENTALCONGRES         (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
3  CHAMPAGNE POETRY         (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  MOSTLY HARMLESS         (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 12.00 15% 5.50    
5  BELLESHAZZA         (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 ★    
6  PARAPLUIE         (mak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
7  CUPIDS GIRL         (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  DOLCE SERA         (delauro edward )MENA E 120 20.00    
 
AQU-6   01/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATOULA         (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
1A  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jan06         (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 11% 7.80    
2  A RING THING         (vazquez c)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
3  JASMINESQUE         (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 6% 16.70    
4  KHALI MAGIC         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  PENDOLINO         (jon)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00    
SCR  TO A T         (joseph sa)VARGAS A 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  BASTET         (barker edwa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 16% 5.30    
 
AQU-7   01/13/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINGAL         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
1A  GIOCARE         (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 4.00 36% 1.80    
2  PIER FORTY         (vazquez ca)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 5% 18.00    
2B  JOHNNYPUMP         (vazquez j)VARGAS A 123 8.00 ★    
3  BLU GROTTO         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  SANDRO THE GREAT         (qui)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 20.00 5% 18.70    
5  LIAM'S FIRE         (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 15.00    
6  HIGH TIDE         (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 11% 8.30    
7  ROYAL TRYST         (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50    
SCR  MISTER CANDY RIDE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
 
AQU-8   01/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SOUND         (jerkens a)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  GREEN LIGHT GO         (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 ★    
3  LIL COMMISSIONER         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 ★    
4  HANALEI'S HOUDINI         (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
5  MAJESTIC DUNHILL         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-9   01/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY CODE         (gonzalez claudi)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 ★    
2  PRINCIPALITY         (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 20.00    
3  ILLUSTRIOUS         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
4  PIT STOP MAN         (allard t)MENA E 120 15.00 ★    
5  RVINDICATED         (kei)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
6  PONY SOPRANO         (falcone rob)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 6.00    
7  THE COLGATE KID         (lynch natali)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
SCR  R BOY CHEEKUM Jan06         (thompson mar)HOWELL TALBERT 120 30.00    
9  DONTBELATE         (donk dav)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 20.00    
10  DR. LEVY         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00 54% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.