Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE STAR CREEK         (rarick lynn)BOWEN ROCCO 122 20.00    
GOLD WING         (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 122 12.00    
HOT AND HEAVY         (wilson tony)GARCIA A 122 10.00    
SOURCESANDMETHODS         (russell ra)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 10.00 11% 7.80    
MR. EDGAR         (cruz jesus)PANAIJO JORGE 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
I KICKN         (schistl )GALLARDO A 122 1.40 34% 1.90    
SUNSHINE CHARLIE         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00    
 
TAM-2   01/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 F PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STERLINA         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00    
READY TO RUMBLE         (woodard walter)CASTANON L 120 12.00    
BEAUTIFUL ROSALIA Jan02         (negrete javie)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 6.00    
ANAHIYA'S DREAM         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 6% 17.10    
QUEEN'S BEST         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
DOLCISIMA         (amado enrique)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
BALLYMENA (GB) Jan02         (negrete ja)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 8.00    
SECRETIVE MISS         (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
 
TAM-3   01/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH PAUL         (lecesse michae)CASTANON L 123 6.00    
PONGO LOUIE         (sims n)JUDE JOHN 123 30.00    
TUTANKHAMUNATCHA         (mckanas)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
JOE PHILLIPS         (sweezey )GALLARDO A 123 4.00    
KING FORCE         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.50    
ASSERT DOMINANCE         (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 15.00    
RAMIRIN         (rodriguez ang)ARROYO MIGUEL 116 30.00    
POSEIDONS MYTH         (ubide max)MORALES PABLO 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
GRUNDER         (stewart j)BISONO J 123 5.00    
10  CREATIVE CHOICE         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SHIPWRECK         (knoll d)WALES GARY 123 10.00    
SCR  BLACK LIMO         (hayford jennifer)SPIETH S 123 8.00    
SCR  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE         (mcgoey monica)WALES GARY 123 15.00    
 
TAM-4   01/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTLE KING         (bowersock maria)FERRER C 120 6.00 17% 4.70    
STRONG ENDING         (mcgoey monic)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
HIMELSTEIN         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
POSEIDEN Jan01         (smith g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
SAINT BENEVOLENCE         (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 120 15.00 9% 9.60    
DRAMATIZED         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 15.00    
OVERPRAISE         (banks chris)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 10.00    
SARASOTA BOY         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00    
 
TAM-5   01/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAP THE MOMENT         (barron rory)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
IN ITALIAN (GB)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  HIT THE WOAH         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.00    
JOYOUS TIMES         (lerman )DE CRUZ 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
JEAN V'S LEGACY         (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
KITTEN TALES         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 123 12.00    
WORLD TOUR         (delacour arnau)CASTANON L 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
TAM-6   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROSPETTIVA D'ORO         (marrero nesto)VALDES ALEXIS 120 30.00    
GONE DREAMING         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
PALMGIRL         (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 120 2.00 10% 8.90    
THATS JUST HEARSAY         (mccar)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
TRULY AMBITIOUS         (husted rachel)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 4.50    
IZSHEFROSTED         (carrascojr victor)BISONO J 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
DE PURA SANGRE         (cahill f)BOWEN ROCCO 120 30.00    
LYRICAL         (acker d)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
 
TAM-7   01/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEWEL OF WINTER         (parra herna)GARCIA A 120 30.00    
ENDLESS         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00    
CAPETOWN CANDY         (avila carl)CENTENO E 120 4.50    
SONG OF THE HEART         (negrete ja)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00    
WICKED GAL         (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
BIG TENTATIONS         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 4.00    
SCR  GOLD WATCH         (einhorn skip)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  MURUMBI         (bennett ge)URDANETA J 120 8.00    
GOLDEN ROCKET         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
10  RIPLEY EFFECT         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
 
TAM-8   01/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA CASTIGLIONE         (axmaker )GALLARDO A 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
HUSH Y'ALL         (arnett f)CENTENO E 121 6.00    
SCR  SHACKADELIC         (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00    
DR. ANN         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
SPIN CLASS         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 20.00    
NOTHINS FREE         (bowersock mar)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 8% 11.30    
LEA ME ALONE         (foley thomas )VALDES ALEXIS 121 20.00    
MIZZEN AIR         (ward dennis)FERRER C 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
TAM-9   01/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREEOHTWOCASSIE         (mazza joseph)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 20.00    
CROI MOR         (clark to)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 11% 8.30    
JOJO'S DREAM         (baxter georgi)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 8.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  CATCHING FISH         (delgado gust)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  FLOWMOTION         (cibelli jane)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
JUPITER BLUES         (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
GO HIPPO GO         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 30.00    
TOSS         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 7% 14.10    
KING ANDRES         (poole a)FELICIANO R 120 15.00    
10  MINNESOTA LUCKY Jan02         (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.