Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - January 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE THE BOSS         (hendriks ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
SASSY LAD         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00    
AWESOME WOLF         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
SCR  WISH FOR PEACE         (stites fl)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
BLO MY BUDGET         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
 
PEN-2   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'SMYRISENSTAR Jan03         (riviezzo ralp)MILAN GERARDO 122 8.00    
BRYNBELLA         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 4.50    
ORIGINALY FROM DOT         (riviezzo ralph )BOWMAN ADAM 124 8.00    
DISCREETLY TOUGH         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
KIT KAT KATIE         (sanchez-pinero )BEATO INOEL 120 4.00    
SCR  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
RUSSIAN MELODY         (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-3   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S GO DANZING         (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 124 4.00    
SCR  FALSE RULING         (farley j)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
SMART TART         (kravets m)OTERO P 124 6.00    
DANCE A LITTLE JIG         (albright amy)FLORES E 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
VALENTINA'S CUPID         (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
SCARLET LILY         (kreiser t)VARGAS L 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
MEEMOO Jan04         (kravets bruce)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
MISS JUNEBUG         (albright r)LLOYD W 124 30.00    
NIKKIS KITTEN Jan04         (harigeorgiou kons)BAKER J 124 15.00    
10  EMILIA STRONG         (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 15.00    
SCR  SPILL THE TEA         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  WINNIPEG WONDER Jan03         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
PEN-4   01/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALBONNIELEGACY         (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00    
BETTER YET         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00    
LIL MISS HOTSHOT         (bedard a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 2.50    
NOTE TO SELFIE         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
COLOR FORCE Jan04         (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
IL MIO AMORE         (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
CARMELTINI         (riviezzo ral)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROTON ST SCOUT         (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 20.00    
PROMISE OF JOY         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
LITTLEBITALILY         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 1.80 25% 3.00    
SNIFF         (huertas nirka)FLORES E 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
FIRST FOREVER         (martinez )VARGAS L 122 3.50    
CUTEFACECHUBYWAIST         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
 
PEN-6   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN'S SOLUTION Jan04         (chircop steven)LLOYD W 120 10.00    
SCR  CHEEK TO CHEEK         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
WAHOOWA WAHOOWA         (lingenfelter )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
TORAZO         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
PEANUTS PERFECTION         (rogers michael)CORA D 120 12.00    
HEY CONGRATS         (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
NAUGHTY PRINCE         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
VENOMOUS STATE         (stowers m)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
HIS NAME IS SUE         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
10  READY AND RICH         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
 
PEN-7   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THINKIN OUT LOUD         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
NICE WEATHER         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
GANDI         (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 2.00    
LTL BEAR SALOON         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 10.00 15% 5.60    
CHAIN REACTION         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00    
ADY'S MUNNY         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 15% 5.60    
ORASHI         (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 30.00    
NAZARENO         (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 14% 6.10    
 
PEN-8   01/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITESSE         (johnston rob)CORA D 120 3.50 8% 11.40    
WHERE'S THE BEN'S         (meister s)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00    
MASTERFUL TOUCH         (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
BIFF         (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00 51% 0.90    
TEMPTING THE TIGER         (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 120 8.00    
ASK NEAL         (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 2.50    
OSCAR WINNER         (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
VISHNU         (ferreira )RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
PEN-9   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETORT         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
FUEL THE BERN         (rogers michael)CORA D 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  LOVE THAT JAZZ         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
RANDOM THOUGHTS         (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00    
CUMBERLAND GAP         (shea timoth)INIRIO J 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
PETTINBERG         (moreno-barban lea)OTERO P 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
STONE SCULPTOR         (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 124 30.00    
DISCO'S BRIDGE Jan05         (flores-co)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
PAGE DOWN         (crane f)WHITNEY G 124 30.00    
10  EXECUTIVE DECREE         (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 20.00    
11  AMERICANO         (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.