Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGMENTING ASSETS         (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 126 6.00 9% 9.60    
SWEET EMPIRE         (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00    
YOU NAME IT         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 5.00    
SCOOBY ROO         (anderson su)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 3.00 19% 4.30    
MARGARITA CINCO         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50    
INDELIBLE IMAGE         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 126 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
MVR-2   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNYIELDING         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  EMPTY TALK         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.00    
SOUTHERN SPIRIT         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00    
2B  UNCLE MOMO         (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 28% 2.60    
SELLING OUT         (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
WHERE YA GOIN OWEN         (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
SILENT TIGER         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 3.50 6% 15.80    
SCR  ANECHOIC         (herrington cally)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
GIVIN UP NONE         (hughes w)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
 
MVR-3   01/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARITONE         (jackson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
1A  DOUBLE DEEP Jan04         (jackson james )DIAZ I 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
SMASH         (sweeting craig)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 14% 6.00    
NOD TO PERSIA         (urieta johann)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00    
SHELL FIRE         (fletcher we)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00    
ENJOY BASEBALL         (zielinski r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  SAINT GOAR         (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
STORM RISK         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
GILES         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50    
KOSCIUSZKO         (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY BALL         (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.00 44% 1.30    
CLASSIC MO         (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
ROSCO P. COLTRANE         (smith larry)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00    
PRIVATE DRIVE         (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 124 2.50 10% 9.30    
MISTER MOBIL         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
OVER ICCE         (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   01/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSE DOWN GREY         (galloway khad)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00    
LAS ANA         (castro raque)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
DOM CAETANO (ARG)         (matthews dou)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00    
SCR  WOOPIGSOOIE         (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
O'HAIRE         (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 8.00    
SUGAR DOG FOX         (paquette ra)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
MUSICAL MAN         (miller)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
DRAMATIC KITTEN         (hughes w)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
SEMI CHARMED DAY         (chatterton geral)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
10  SKYLIME         (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
MVR-6   01/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE SAGE (IRE) Jan01         (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
1A  ROSE KNOWS         (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 116 3.50    
PEACEBETHEJOURNEY         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 126 2.50 20% 3.90    
TESORINA         (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  WAITING ON WILLIAM         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00    
MISS BETTE LUTE         (paquette raym)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
QUEEN STREET Jan01         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 9% 9.70    
LIAM'S LASS         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 5.00    
LADY ITCH         (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-7   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MAN CAN Jan05         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 6% 15.00    
1A  GRAD BASH         (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 3.50    
CAPTAIN RILEY Jan05         (spiess m)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
CHIEF BIG HEAD         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 4.00    
BUCKITITLEWAVE         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
THIS MAN CAN Jan05         (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
OLE WATASHI         (trevino steph)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00    
ATTACK ANGLE         (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
MVR-8   01/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH EQUATION         (norris stepha)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 20.00    
MR. CAT         (hay r)MUSARRO JOE 126 3.50 31% 2.20    
FLEET RUN         (trevino stephen )LEON SONNY 126 6.00    
PLEA BARGAIN         (barnes a)AVILES YAN 121 20.00    
TWO STEP SLEW Jan05         (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 8% 12.00    
BOATSWAIN         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 34% 2.00    
HENNESSY FIRE         (crumley j)KAUFFMAN L 126 10.00 5% 17.90    
CANTANKEROUS BOBBY         (alamo miguel)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.