Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - January 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARISHIONER         (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 9% 9.80    
QUANAH         (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
MOTIVATED SPEAKER         (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
SMELLSLIKEMONEY         (perez e)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 2.00    
FLASH OF DAY         (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ANALYZE ME         (mckee d)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
ABOUT TO RAGE         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 9% 9.80    
LASCIATEMI CANTARE         (brown ronney)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
 
CT-2   01/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUBBY WARRIOR         (shanley mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 15.00    
LOOKIN BACK         (butts mik)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00    
DEW DAT         (joy j)PELTROCHE F 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
DAMISELA         (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 120 4.00    
COLETTE'S SPIRIT         (pyke joseph)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
GRANDMA SCHNUR         (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
WHO'S YOUR DADDY         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
MOSLER'S TOUCH         (greaves ve)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
CT-3   01/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE NEWS         (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 15.00    
SLEWING         (groves janice)LARROSA G 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
TUESDAY TOO         (kopecki sara)DIAZ JR 124 1.60 59% 0.70    
EX RATED         (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00    
TAPIT CAT         (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.00    
CHARITABLE PRIZE         (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
COOK THE BOOKS         (straugh)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 30.00    
 
CT-4   01/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZZURRA         (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
NAJWA         (davis russel)MORALES KELVIN 120 12.00    
SECRET CASTLE         (brown w)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
SHERWOOD LADY         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00    
DUBAI WAS LIT         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  GRACE ELIZABETH         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  COACH RUBE         (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
CT-5   01/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEARCAT KITTEN         (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 124 20.00    
SINGANOTHERSONG         (johnson fred)DIAZ JR 122 10.00    
BUCKED TOOTH         (king yolonda)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
SCR  PECULIAR SENSATION         (lane sc)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 15.00    
IMPETUOUS         (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
CASTLE FIVE         (tuomisto )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  NITRO TIME         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
SOMERSET BAY         (joy j)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
UNION GRACE         (boys cynthia )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
10  SILVER CASTLE         (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00    
11  WON DOZEN BANKS         (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
CT-6   01/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEESE LOUISE         (brown w)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00 7% 14.40    
DISTORTED SPLENDOR         (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 117 10.00    
LUNAR PRAYER         (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
LADY SPARROW         (myers larry)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 30.00    
UNDENIABLE TOUCH         (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 124 10.00    
THISLILLIMEOFMINE         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
AT THE HALF         (walters david)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
SASSY BABE         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 6% 14.50    
RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW         (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
10  MISS WAVE         (brown ronney)BATISTA A 124 1.80 30% 2.30    
 
CT-7   01/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVATIANO         (malgarini ma)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
SCOTTSDALE         (velez irvi)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
TITAN'S WILL         (garibay s)ACOSTA D 120 8.00    
NO CHANGE         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 2.50 16% 5.10    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
TAPPING THE GLASS         (capuano g)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
SING A VERSE         (espinosa vict)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
SCR  RIGHTEOUS MAN         (sewell lenworth )MAYHEW W 120 30.00    
BOBBYFROMTHEPALM         (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
SCR  JOSEF IS REAL         (figgins l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   01/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAINO BOYZ         (davis bill)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 6.00    
KUKULKAN (MEX)         (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
FREEDOM IS RINGING         (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
INSPIRING JUSTICE         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
I GOT A ROCK         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
UNNAMED SOLDIER         (king yolonda)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
SCR  FAST LOADED         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOSS BOSS         (joy j)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
STORM BOARDER (CHI)         (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 124 0.80 65% 0.50    
 
CT-9   01/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARITABLE VISIT         (mangual manol)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00    
OWEN'S WAY         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  MEAN TO AMEND         (tobin edwin )ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 8.00    
CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE         (schottroffe edwa)MAYHEW W 122 12.00    
JACOB T         (bass w)WHITACRE B 122 12.00    
SCR  CARTER'S RUN         (mangual ma)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
TWOBITSARIDE         (pennella )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
TRUE CROSSING         (knoblauch-perez)LIMA FELINO 115 8.00    
CASTLE BOUND         (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
10  NAZCA MYSTERY         (gazzier)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.