Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Tuesday - January 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   01/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALICHE         (soto r)MEDELLIN A 120 3.50    
WARRIORS MARK         (fincher tod)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 1.20 52% 0.90    
I AM THE JUAN         (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPINNING RED         (chavez arturo)REYES FRANK 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
CASH CRUZER         (cross gary)COATES R 120 5.00    
QUINTON'S CHARMER         (munoz guadal)VILLANUEVA C 120 10.00    
 
SUN-2   01/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIO         (lambert case)FUENTES A 124 2.00 12% 7.50    
SOUTHWESTERN HOPE         (sedillo e)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
DADDY WHAT IF         (cross gary)COATES R 124 6.00    
SCR  KRIS WHO         (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
AZTEC EMPEROR Jan04         (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 4.50    
PERTY DIRTY DUDE         (torres d)MARQUEZ ANGEL 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
 
SUN-3   01/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN SUMMER         (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
LIFE ON THE ROAD         (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 5.00    
SEXY DEXY         (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 5.00 13% 7.00    
SUN TREADER         (van rober)CARRENO J 123 6.00    
MAGIC MOSCO Jan01         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
A CEE DOO CEE         (aldavaz jaime)REYES FRANK 123 6.00    
 
SUN-4   01/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWN HEAT         (gonzalez sal)REYES FRANK 121 10.00    
CHIPPSTER         (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
DIABOLICAL STORM         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
MAGNUS WHO         (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00    
DISCOVERY N SIGHT         (marr joel )FUENTES A 121 6.00    
PANCHO LEFT ME         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 7.00    
RIGHT ON TIME         (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 4.50    
CHARLIE DYNASTY Jan09         (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 8.00    
 
SUN-5   01/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF DIXIE         (van rober)PEREZ A 121 8.00    
MIDNIGHTONTHENILE         (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
MISS LUCKY LADY         (cross gary)COATES R 121 4.00    
ACTION POTENTIAL         (marlin joy )CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 3.50    
BROADWAY ROMANCE         (riddle e)CARRENO J 121 10.00    
CALI         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 3.50    
ALI ALLEY         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
SUN-6   01/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIOT         (marr h)FUENTES A 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
DIGGER'S GOLD         (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00    
ATTILA'S FLAG         (vega v)MARQUEZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
B A CHAMPION         (collier jim)CHIRINOS ROIMES 122 8.00    
COMING ABSTRACTION         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 122 3.00    
RIGHT JAB         (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
TRUST MANDO         (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
SUN-7   01/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.2K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. MERCEDES         (fincher todd)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
RUN LIKE THE WIND         (danley i)JUAREZ J 116 4.50 24% 3.10    
ARROGANT PUNCH         (douglas)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00    
LAUGHING STORM         (gutierrez j)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
CHA CHING CHARLIE         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN SOLO         (gonzales james )REYES FRANK 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
QUARTANO         (sedillo ton)GUERRERO A 121 8.00    
CRAIGS VICTORY         (lambert cli)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 12.00    
GO RED RASCAL         (munoz guadalup)VERA GERARDO 121 10.00    
10  THE LAST CHARLIE         (aldavaz herm)BEVERLY JR 121 12.00    
SCR  DYNASTY SMOKE         (munoz guadal)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 15.00    
SCR  AX 'S SHORE         (barrios bern)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 20.00    
 
SUN-8   01/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL PRIDE         (marr h)FUENTES A 123 4.00    
AUTUMN TOUCH         (chavez arturo)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
ATILL I CHIME         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
CAYCEE'S MARK         (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 6.00 10% 9.00    
DANCINSTARDUSTLADY         (gomez-barraza da)MEDELLIN A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DESTINY WHO         (rojero c)CARRENO J 123 10.00    
FILL THE BILL         (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
OUR SOARING ANGEL         (fincher tod)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 10.00    
DIXIE JEN         (archuleta ad)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 20.00    
 
SUN-9   01/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MICKEYS GOLD         (lambert t)CARRENO J 123 4.00    
GAMBLING COWBOY         (olguin ever)SIGALA ALFREDO 123 15.00    
NEAR GENIUS         (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
W F RIP TIDE         (lucero r)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00    
SWEET BEAU ROLL         (rust terri)JUAREZ J 124 12.00    
SMOOTHING IRON         (gonzalez carlos)REYES FRANK 123 20.00    
IMPUTED         (cross gary)COATES R 124 6.00 6% 16.40    
ESTEEMED         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
ATTILA'S LEGEND         (douglas)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 30.00    
10  WAYLAY         (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00 7% 13.90    
11  ILIKEROLLIN         (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 3.50 13% 6.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.