Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Tuesday - January 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   01/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN ON ME         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 3.50    
SCR  SISTER JUNE         (feliciano m)MONTERREY R 122 6.00    
VACCINA         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN         (hillegass a)INIRIO J 122 6.00 13% 6.40    
SIMPLE JUSTICE         (mick r)FLORES E 122 12.00    
TINA BURNER         (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 6.00    
ZEALACIOUS         (gonzalez clau)ALVELO C 115 2.50    
 
PEN-2   01/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RONA         (vick timoth)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00    
MELODIA         (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 15.00    
BOUND BY TRUTH         (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 2.50    
LIME SQUASH         (mileni nic)KING MARIE 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
IAMPROUD         (cuprill l)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00    
REGAL JORDAN         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00    
CAPRICHOSA         (cuprill ma)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-3   01/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLING PALISADES         (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
HERE'S WALDO         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 120 5.00 6% 14.70    
CARGO SHIP         (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 8% 11.40    
MR HOOVER         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
SURFER BOY GEORGE         (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 120 30.00    
PAPA TONY         (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
ROYAL SUSPECT         (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 120 12.00    
DOLLARIZATION         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  JAYJAYDEE         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  KID D'ORO         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES FOR LESS         (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 12.00 12% 7.60    
EYES OF ZEUS         (salinas jose)RODRIGUEZ E 120 20.00    
EQUAL JUSTICE         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 2.00 62% 0.60    
RISING STORM         (castillo mich)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50    
SHADOW BOAT         (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 5.00    
ROYAL'S INVASION         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 120 12.00    
TUCKABUCKAWAY         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 3.50    
MARKET         (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   01/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CRAZY BLUES         (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 8.00    
MIZZEN MONEY         (shea timoth)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
GHOST GAME         (meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00    
ICOMEFROMDOWNTOWN         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
MEMORY BOUQUET         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 1.60 65% 0.50    
TORPEDO MAX         (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 2.00 12% 7.10    
 
PEN-6   01/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSCODE         (hillegass a)INIRIO J 120 4.50    
FLASHINTHENIGHT         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  FOR THE MOMENT         (smith thomas )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 45% 1.20    
SPEEDY MOONLITE         (albright amy)CORA D 120 2.50 14% 5.90    
HESASMOKIN         (hillegass a)NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
KUDURO         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
I SEE THE STARS         (mick r)FLORES E 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   01/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BEST CANDY         (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 8.00    
POCOPSON STATION         (ippolito mark)LLOYD W 124 4.50    
MESSY BAKER         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
TOP HAT TREASON         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  BOAT OVER THE HILL         (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 5.00 11% 8.10    
SMIRK (GB)         (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
GEMS MINESHAFT RVF         (kravets m)OTERO P 124 8.00 13% 7.00    
CAMGO         (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00    
 
PEN-8   01/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER ARANGUIZ         (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 124 30.00    
DON TATTO         (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 10.00 21% 3.70    
TOUCH OF PRINCE         (kreiser t)VARGAS L 124 6.00    
GOLD FELLOW         (gonzalez clau)ALVELO C 117 5.00    
SCR  PREFONTAINE Jan04         (ashton patri)BURKE JERMAINE 124 12.00    
SUPER HOUDINI         (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 1.80    
VATICAN MOON         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
BOOK OF DELANCEY         (hillegass a)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.