Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - January 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINI MAGS         (jensen loren)MAWING A 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  ADRIENNE'S PROGENY         (leon priscilla)CARTER KYLE 124 4.00 ★    
3  REDHAWK         (lavanway d)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 12.00    
4  INFO'S TREASURE         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.40 33% 2.10    
5  RATIONAL         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 124 10.00 ★    
6  PRINCESS SOIREE         (krasner cind)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
TUP-4   01/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRY TO CAPTURE         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 0.60 57% 0.80    
2  MARINO HEAT         (lucas j)BARNETT A 124 8.00 ★    
3  ROADSIDE         (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00    
4  FLYING CHARLIE         (jensen kent)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
5  THE THIRD RING         (chattong v)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 12.00    
6  BID IN THE BACK         (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 124 10.00 ★    
7  LOTSA LENA         (moore joh)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 119 15.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   01/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME DANGEROUS         (mitche)FLETCHER D 124 12.00    
2  RED NOVA         (george cynthia)VERGARA P 124 5.00 ★    
3  DON'T RUB IT         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 ★    
4  SHES GOT THE POWER         (bozell alan)LINDSAY CHAD 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
5  BOLD REY         (hernandez migue)CRUZ M 124 1.20 50% 1.00    
6  WISHFUL WON         (homer jason)MAWING A 124 6.00    
7  LA ROSA DRIVE         (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   01/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAUL VINCENTS POEM         (lucas j)BARNETT A 124 5.00 ★    
2  AUTISM WARRIOR         (elston bren)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00 ★    
3  ENOUGH NONSENSE         (jimenez miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50    
4  MR. FIREBALL         (essex char)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
5  MAJESTIC STREET         (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 2.00 ★    
6  LINCHPIN STORM         (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-7   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WICKED WEAVE         (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  BONITA DIXIE         (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 10.00    
3  MUCH ABOUT ONE         (eikleberry )CONNING CRYSTAL 121 12.00 17% 5.00    
4  MYRICKLESDOHAPPEN         (ku)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 10.00    
5  KIKI MY STAR         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 5.00    
6  MALIBUENA         (chambers mike)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 ★    
7  FACE OF GRACE         (scott jr)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHACK'S CHICA LOCA         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-8   01/07/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THORN HILL CAT         (asprino alf)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
2  MR. PICKLES         (buffalo marvin)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
3  REAL GLITTER         (sharp j)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 8.00    
4  GORDY'S RULES         (mccartney jack)CORBETT W 124 6.00 ★    
5  TRASK         (mckinney kyndra )MAWING A 124 12.00    
6  EL BORRACHO         (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
7  GABO'S MACONDO         (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 9% 9.60    
8  PLAYOFF BOUND         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
9  CREATIVE PLAN         (rarick wa)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.