Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER BOSS         (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
GUS K         (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00    
TAP FIRST Jan01         (baxter georgi)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 1.80 56% 0.80    
BUBBA DREAMS         (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
TONE ELISE         (philipp)DE CRUZ 115 2.00    
SCR  TAPINTOYOURBEER         (ubide max)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00    
 
TAM-2   01/07/2022 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($31.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS PRINCIPAL         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
BOITANO         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  EMMANUEL         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 0.80 39% 1.50    
GOLDEN GLIDER         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
TRIGGER HAPPY         (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
CLOUD PLAY         (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
 
TAM-3   01/07/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIOVANE'S PROMISE         (schistl rafae)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
COMMANDER KEITH         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00    
SCR  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE         (mcgoey monic)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 1.60 22% 3.60    
BEACH BANDIT         (tsirigotis j)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 5.00    
BYRON'S GOLD         (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00    
SCR  RED DUBONNET         (lanum crystal)ARROYO MIGUEL 115 10.00    
SUPER SHOES         (wilson tony)GARCIA A 124 1.50 45% 1.20    
 
TAM-4   01/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIGO         (o'connell kat)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
SUPER EDGAR         (lawrence dalto)HENRY WESLEY 123 4.00    
DOHKO         (mc john)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00    
MISTA DONZELLA         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 8.00    
STAGE DOOR         (arnett j)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
KATHERN'S JOY         (arriaga)DE CRUZ 123 4.50 40% 1.50    
SAMARONTI         (delgado gust)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
TAM-5   01/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREE SPIRIT         (mejia in)MORENO ANGEL 122 30.00    
LE COSTE         (carvajal lui)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
MICROPHONE (IRE)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 28% 2.60    
NINTH OF APRIL         (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 122 20.00    
KANAAN         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00    
HARPOON HARRY         (blair jordan)CASTANON L 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
TARAASHOQ         (escobar alison)BISONO J 122 20.00    
 
TAM-6   01/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUSIKIN         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
SALSA RITA         (richards ren)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
SUNDRENCHED         (poole a)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
ATLANTIC PRINCESS         (bennett)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 7% 13.50    
ORNERY ANGEL         (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SING ALONG SUZY         (arnett j)GALLARDO A 119 10.00    
FUN PADDY         (cahill f)BOWEN ROCCO 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
TALE OF V K         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 119 12.00    
 
TAM-7   01/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEMSON TIGER Jan01         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
JO JO KATZ         (nunn douglas)BISONO J 123 6.00 6% 16.90    
INITFORTHELOVE         (a)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 30.00    
HIGHLY NOTED         (raven kerri)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
MARV'S MAGIC         (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 3.50    
LION CHARMER         (o'connor)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
PUTIN ONLINE         (nagle sarah)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
VINTNER         (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 120 6.00    
PRADO'S PLAYBOY         (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
10  GOLOVKIN         (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 12.00    
SCR  CASTLE KING         (bowersock maria)FERRER C 120 8.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  OVERPRAISE         (banks chris)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 15.00    
SCR  FARM STRONG         (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 120 10.00    
SCR  CALL BROS         (carvajal lui)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
TAM-8   01/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARROTS OR CARATS         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.50    
UNIQUE PATH         (dini mi)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
ROYAL BIZ         (bagwandeen)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00 10% 8.60    
NO EASY ROAD         (siddo barrin)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
NANTUCKETER         (raymond robe)BATISTA A 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
NEPTUNES REVENGE         (pimental j)URDANETA J 122 10.00    
KAPHAVATA         (me)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 122 20.00    
ORULA         (hunt donald)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
JERICHOS BATTLE         (schistl raf)GARCIA A 122 12.00    
 
TAM-9   01/07/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIDNEY SUE         (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
WORKINONBEINSINGLE         (bennett ger)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
MONEY AND HONEY         (schistl)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
SARA MIA         (escobar aliso)ALVARADO JR 120 8.00    
T. WALTZ         (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
LUSCIOUS         (banks chris)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 9% 9.70    
EMPEROR'S SONG         (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 15.00    
IMINCOMUNICADO         (ryan s)SPIETH S 120 15.00    
R LOVE ON THE RUN         (baxter georgina)FERRER C 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
10  SASSY CAT         (axmaker cody)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
SCR  SPEEDY FIRE         (parra hernan)FERRER C 120 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE DOT         (foley thoma)GARCIA A 120 10.00    
SCR  TRULY AMBITIOUS         (husted rachel)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
SCR  V K PRINCESS         (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.