Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - January 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUBBY DUBBIE         (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
MOODY JIM (IRE)         (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
KAZAN (IRE)         (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
BEST CHANCE         (sadler w)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00    
CURRENT         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
TARTINI         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 122 3.50    
 
SA-2   01/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP DEFIANT         (hess b)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
NORTHERN GEM         (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 124 5.00    
BELLA RENELLA         (spawr william)BAZE C 124 1.80    
FLAT OUT JOY         (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.00 63% 0.60    
BIG CHICK         (jauregui o )HERRERA A 117 6.00    
 
SA-3   01/07/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EAST RAND         (powell leon)HERRERA A 117 15.00    
MOVE OVER (GB)         (palma hect)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
FAMILY BIZ         (mullins jeff)BAZE C 122 20.00    
STAGE READY         (mullins jeff)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
BIG BUZZ         (kitchingman ada)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
FRENCH GETAWAY         (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 6.00 5% 18.10    
CLEOPATRA'S STRIKE         (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 122 4.00    
BUILDER         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
KEYSTONE FIELD         (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
 
SA-4   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHOENIX TEARS         (dunham daniel)LOCKE W 124 20.00    
LIL'S BIG SHOT         (yakteen tim)BAZE C 124 6.00    
MONGOLIAN DREAM         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 20.00 10% 8.60    
FOR LOVE NOT MONEY         (glatt mark)HERRERA A 119 2.50    
GOLDEN HALO         (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
RETURN TO HARBOR         (brinkerhof)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 5.00    
ICONIC STORM         (perez santos)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 114 20.00    
ELANA MY PRINCESS         (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
 
SA-5   01/07/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIPE THE SLATE         (o'neill doug)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50    
MESUT         (gaines carla)BRAVO J 124 2.00 51% 0.90    
AUGUSTA MELODY         (yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
QUICK FINISH         (blacker da)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
BIG SCOTT DADDY         (puype mike)FREY KYLE 124 8.00    
FIRST PREZ         (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 124 15.00    
MCWHERTER         (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
 
SA-6   01/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CONTESSA         (truman edd)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
GOTTA BE LUCKY         (saldana reed)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
AWESOME DRIVE         (o'neill dou)HERRERA A 117 6.00    
HOT ON THE TRAIL         (ruiz lorenzo)BAZE C 122 4.00    
TAKE A LEAP         (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
DESTINY'S JOURNEY         (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 122 1.80 19% 4.40    
MERCY MERCY         (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 8.00    
 
SA-7   01/07/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUORA (PER)         (baltas richard)BRAVO J 124 5.00    
SPIRIT OF BERMUDA (IRE)         (callaghan simon)BAZE C 124 8.00    
THRILLING         (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
SENSIBLE CAT         (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
GREG'S DIVA         (d'amato phili)PYFER JESSICA 122 8.00    
JAVANICA         (harty eoin)VAN DRAYDEN 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
SHE'S SO NICE (IRE)         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  BRISTOL BAYOU         (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
SA-8   01/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADARE MANOR         (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 1.80 10% 9.50    
MUY CHISTOSA         (mullins je)VAN DRAYDEN 122 8.00    
MICRO SHARE         (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
MISS EVERYTHING         (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 122 1.80 10% 9.50    
SWEET HEIDELBERG         (papaprodromou)CURATOLO RYAN 122 30.00    
INDY'S STAR         (eurton peter)BRAVO J 122 15.00    
 
SA-9   01/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 4 F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BADGER KITTEN         (d'amato philip)BRAVO J 122 3.50 10% 9.40    
DRAMATIZER         (alvarado rube)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00    
CECILE'S CHAPTER         (gutierrez jorge)BAZE C 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SWEET SOULMATE         (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
CHASINGSERENDIPITY         (cerin vlad)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 5.00    
VAROMA         (spawr william)SMITH E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
WESTWARD BREEZE         (gaines carla)BLANC B 122 20.00    
CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE)         (wong jonatha)DESORMEAUX J 118 15.00    
LILA AT THE BEACH         (thomas jamey)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
SCR  DEL MAR FLASH         (hess b)MALDONADO E 118 10.00    
SCR  SWEET PEARL         (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.