Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - January 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINE ENTHUSIASM         (agnew naois)INIRIO J 124 4.50    
SCR  GUSSIE'S NOTION         (shea h)CORA D 124 8.00    
LOIS'S CAUSE         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
ARCHER'S HALL         (woolley tim)OTERO P 124 3.50    
SPUNKY ZOEY         (stites fl)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
RUN LAURA RUN         (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00    
SCR  THIEF OF DREAMS         (samaniego jose)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00    
 
PEN-2   01/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLIPSED MOON         (nicholson jun)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00    
BOYS OF QUEENS         (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 8.00    
SURE WOULD FOREST         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
PAL CAL         (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
THUNDER GRUNDER         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 6.00    
MUCHO MACHO EDDIE         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00 19% 4.20    
MAIN COOL CAT         (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 14% 6.20    
SPIN CYCLE         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
 
PEN-3   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAITING FOR A STAR         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 5.00    
SCR  BANK ROLLIN         (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 10.00    
AMIGOS TUNE         (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  ALL ABOUT REYANA         (martinez )VARGAS L 124 10.00    
GOTTAFLATHAVEHER         (bobadilla f)AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
TIZ PROMISING RVF         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00    
MORGANS MELODY         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
DISCO PARTY         (sells rachel)BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
ALLISON K         (valdez mois)CAMILO D 124 10.00    
10  FAIRY DUST         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  CHECOTAH         (lake a)WHITNEY G 124 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICHIGO         (meister wil)INIRIO J 124 10.00    
CAYMAN ISLAND         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
MIDTOWN         (kravets m)OTERO P 122 4.00    
BERMONDSEY         (nunley randy)FLORES E 122 10.00    
ST. PADDY'S DADDY         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
THE METHOD         (nicholson jun)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
COMBATING         (moreno tito)CAMILO D 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
HOLD THE IRISH         (martinez )VARGAS L 122 15.00    
JOZANI R V F         (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 30.00    
SCR  AMERICAN FORCES         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
PEN-5   01/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIGGYBANK         (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.50    
PRATT         (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
COOL COMEDIAN         (agnew naois)INIRIO J 124 1.60 21% 3.90    
ECONOMIC POWER         (albright r)FLORES E 120 12.00 5% 17.30    
SIMMONS         (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00    
ALL TACKED UP         (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
PEN-6   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE CANNONBALL         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 11% 8.40    
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER         (albright r)FLORES E 124 4.50    
SPOOKY ONE         (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
SACHMO         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
MY MAN GEORGIO         (carpio erin)CORA D 122 15.00    
GALILEE         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
FICTIONALFAIRYTALE         (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00    
MR DUBAI         (martinez )VARGAS L 124 15.00    
 
PEN-7   01/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOW PRAMELA         (valdez mo)VARGAS L 122 6.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING ROUND         (valdez mois)CAMILO D 122 6.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  KEFALIANI         (harigeorgiou kons)LLOYD W 122 50.00    
TOTALLY PERFECT         (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 115 6.00    
SMART RED         (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 120 30.00    
LIAM'S LADY         (catalano )HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 6% 17.00    
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  WONDER CITY         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-8   01/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHIL THE BANKER         (hillegass a)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
COOS BAY         (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
HAPPY GUY         (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 30.00    
COMMUNICATION FAIL         (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
SCR  THE BIG K         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 1.80 58% 0.70    
SCR  IRON CLASH         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 12.00    
SCREEN STAR         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 7% 13.60    
DREAMING OF LOVE         (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GEM JUAN         (bobadilla)VARGAS L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.