Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-2   01/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 45 ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKETBOOK         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 0.60 23% 3.30    
COUNTRY BRAVE         (davis h)MONTALVO C 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
STEELY CAPER         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
GOD'S PICK         (willis )GONCALVES R 123 8.00    
KWONTRO         (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 123 12.00    
WILTON         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
 
HOU-3   01/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA BIG BOPPER         (payne w)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00    
1A  BOSQUE         (payne w)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00    
MORO CODE         (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 8% 11.40    
MR. G T O         (guzman adan)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 122 20.00    
LUCKY'S SPECIAL         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00    
STANS HOME RUN         (gustafson aust)LUZZI J 122 1.40 33% 2.00    
UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
SPORT COAT         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
SMARTY RIDGE         (k)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 122 30.00    
RICHARD'S TX BLING         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  KING ARTHUR RIDGE         (kotara ronald)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 30.00    
11  VALENTORO         (guzman adan)ALVAREZ L 122 20.00    
 
HOU-4   01/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEWHISKEYWORKED         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00    
STALEMATE         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50    
NOT ENOUGH BLING         (gelne)LABARRE GRACE 123 15.00    
THATSALOTOFBLING         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
LOVELY LOLITA         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 3.50    
BLURRED VISION         (stroope larry)LUZZI J 123 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
HOU-5   01/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 9:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARIOQUINHA         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
GEE SHE'S PRETTY         (pish danny)SORENSON D 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
ROLLIN CHROME         (baldillez alejan)MONTALVO C 122 4.00    
TYLER'S DREAM         (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
QUEENOFTHERAINBOW         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
CATO'S LADY         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 122 5.00    
SCR  CIRCLE BACK GIRL         (villafranco m)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00    
 
HOU-6   01/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELECTORAL         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 2.00    
1A  SHIFTY HENRY         (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 119 2.00 73% 0.40    
POMEROY HAZE         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 1.20    
DECLINED         (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 119 3.50    
SNOW MAN         (hebert ma)STEINBERG GARRETT 119 6.00    
SCR  ZMOR ARISTOCAT         (franc)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 30.00    
HE'S A RANGER         (eoff terr)RISENHOOVER SASHA 119 15.00    
 
HOU-7   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT-10:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STILL OF THE NIGHT         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00    
DUST A FLYING         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 3.00 57% 0.80    
BEBOP BABY         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00    
MISS CARMEN         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
ITS MY MONEY TOO         (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 123 12.00    
MY GOLDEN BLING         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.80 16% 5.20    
ZOE'S GOLDLADY         (garci)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00    
SCR  COSMETOLOGY         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00    
SHE IS A BLING         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
 
HOU-8   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT-11:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS WHIRLWIND         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STONE FOX         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 3.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  SHIASGOLD LADY         (garc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00    
HIGH DEF RIDGE         (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00    
LADY FLY LIKE JET         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00    
DANCIN ALL ALONE         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.50 10% 8.80    
TAKE CHARGE WOMAN         (villafranco mart)MONTALVO C 123 4.00    
DOC'S DENITA         (willis )GONCALVES R 123 15.00    
AIRLINE DRIVE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
10  SILVER COIN         (whitelaw mi)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
 
HOU-9   01/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT-11:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST BUMP RIDGE         (kotara rona)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
HIGH TONE         (villafranco mart)MONTALVO C 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
RUNAWAY TRACY         (scholl g)MORA GERARDO 123 5.00 26% 2.80    
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00    
VIOLIN MAKER         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 123 15.00 11% 8.10    
PRETTY CREATIVE         (gomez davi)ERAMIA E 123 10.00    
OSWALD COBBLEPOT         (stuart )GONCALVES R 123 5.00    
SPEED EFFECT         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
SOUTHERNER         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
10  CARPE EROS         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
11  TALE TWISTER         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
 
HOU-10   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT-12:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAN'S BABY         (padilla a)MONTALVO C 123 20.00    
FADED MEMORIES         (villafranco marti)PEREZ E 123 6.00    
THEYCALLHERPINKY         (young sco)TRIANA JR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAYLOR'S VISION         (scholl )GONCALVES R 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
TIZ TENACIOUS         (silva miguel)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 5.00 14% 6.30    
SHEDIALED BURREAUX         (pruitt jody)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S AN ANGEL         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
DREAMIN TIGER         (eoff terr)RISENHOOVER SASHA 123 15.00    
SCR  DUCHESS OF ZMOR         (franc)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00    
10  GRAYGIRLGO         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.60 30% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.