Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - January 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDED APPLE         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.50 44% 1.20    
MIDNIGHT TRIP         (cordero ange)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 8% 12.30    
BLUE RIDGE HEAT         (thompson kev)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00    
MY GIRL EM         (savoie sherman)SINGH R 121 2.50 19% 4.10    
SHE'S A FAIR CATCH         (cordero an)MARQUEZ L 121 4.00    
SCR  QUICK HEAT         (beavin ju)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
IBEGTODIFFER         (alonzo how)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
 
FG-2   01/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR SLIM         (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 12.00    
SCR  FOOLISH STEVE         (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
FREEDOM FACTOR         (bourgeois keit)COTTO L 120 3.00 8% 11.70    
DICTATOR         (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 6% 14.80    
REDOUX         (silva miguel)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
THE GREEN MO'STER         (rodriguez e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
TIZ LIGHT THE WAY         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
CONVICT PIKE         (claire alexis)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
MANGELSEN         (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 2.50 11% 8.00    
MAYBERRY SALOON         (duhon joseph )VARGAS P 120 20.00    
10  UPHAM         (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
SCR  LIGHTHAWK         (harrison cor)CARROLL DECLAN 120 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
FG-3   01/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER STRANGE         (delany sarah)CULP BRIANNE 116 8.00 13% 6.60    
FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN         (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50    
DA GOLD ROOM         (hatcher d)GRAHAM J 121 4.50    
MY LITTLE FLACO         (cordero angel )GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
C F JOHNATHAN         (caldw)MONSERRATE A 121 8.00    
CANIHAVEITLIKETHAT         (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 1.60 34% 2.00    
TUNE MY GUITAR         (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
FG-4   01/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNORTHODOX         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 125 2.50 16% 5.30    
HERO DRAGON         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 117 20.00    
FLYING FRED         (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.50    
SCAT SHACK         (campbell donal)SANJUR SANTO 125 15.00    
COOL RUNNINGS         (cano munoz)PARKER L 123 8.00    
WAR LIGHT         (rubley ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.00    
CARTIER CAT         (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  ACHILLES (GB)         (doroc)MONSERRATE A 117 8.00 12% 7.50    
 
FG-5   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICKNNGRINN         (silva miguel)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
RICHIESGOTSWAGGER         (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
LAFITTE'S FLEET         (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00    
FROLIC MORE         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
DINAR         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
COVE BLUE         (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.50    
IRISH HOKIE         (shirer matt)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
FG-6   01/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($41K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENNING         (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEER CROSSING         (delhomme jeff)COTTO L 120 10.00    
TIN DELAY         (leonard george)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
RUN ROCKET         (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
UNRESTRICTED         (hargrave )HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
LOUISIANA MOON         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
CABO'S RUMOR         (duke steven)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00    
SECRET VISTA         (cordero an)MARQUEZ L 120 10.00    
CUSTOM BOBBY'S         (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 8% 11.00    
GRACIDA         (arndt theodore)DIAZ RENE 115 20.00    
10  I'M D'CAT         (brinkman )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00    
11  DATSWHATILIKE         (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 20.00    
SCR  LUCKENBACHER         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   01/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BLINDNESS         (scherer gary)LAVIOLETTE S 119 8.00 17% 4.70    
MISTY VEIL         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 119 1.40 27% 2.70    
ANGEL OF VERDUN         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
MISS TULSA         (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
SAINTSATION         (flint ber)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
DISTORTED VERVE         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50    
 
FG-8   01/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLIACEOUS         (alonzo howard)COTTO L 120 10.00 7% 12.90    
OFFSPRING         (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
WINNING ROMANCE         (calhoun william )PARKER L 120 3.00    
MONEY WELL SPENT         (scherer t)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 10% 8.70    
DANCE AWAY         (garcia luis)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
NET A BEAR         (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 35% 1.80    
BLESSED ANNA         (wilson sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
SCR  AIR GUITAR STAR         (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
SCR  SPECIAL CONNECTION         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
 
FG-9   01/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLA LINK         (duhon o)GRAHAM J 125 4.50 42% 1.40    
SAVANNAH'S HERE         (hatcher nat)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00    
SCR  ALLEN'S JUDY         (core )MONSERRATE A 125 12.00    
JULIA'S CHANCE         (culotta ray)CULP BRIANNE 120 30.00    
JIG TIME BANDIT         (williams kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00    
CREOLE BABY         (west patri)MARQUEZ L 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
LA LOLA         (meaux h)RIQUELME J 125 30.00    
MISS LAUGHALOT         (bernard john)SANJUR SANTO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
ANSLIE'S GUMDROP         (schwandt emi)LAVIOLETTE S 125 10.00    
10  TUGBOAT         (besancon danny)VEGA L 117 20.00    
SCR  SWEET JACKIELEIGH         (balderas alfonso)DIAZ RENE 120 5.00 11% 8.10    
12  LOOKING HOT         (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.50 18% 4.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.