Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - January 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE'S RANSOM         (marechal merlin)STOKES J 123 2.00 12% 7.10    
IN FOR A PENNY         (alberto )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 4.00 11% 8.30    
SHO NUFF         (cormier donald)MCMAHON J 123 1.80 50% 1.00    
HALO'S SONG         (meza m)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 10.00    
SCR  MOLLI WAY         (romero j)SMITH J 123 8.00    
ROUX BANDIT         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
 
DED-2   01/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITARZAN         (white dale)FUSILIER C 118 3.00    
1A  GREELEY'S DEALER         (white )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
UNWANTED INTRUDER         (courville )BROUSSARD ASHLEY 118 8.00    
BROAD DECISION         (robbins hance )BACA L 118 15.00    
TEMPRANO         (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 118 4.50 7% 13.70    
TENSAS TODDY         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.00    
FORESTDUNGONE         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
MEDITATE (IRE)         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER null      
PURIM KING         (alberto antonio)BIRZER E 118 12.00    
 
DED-3   01/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATIE'S C         (vance w)BIRZER E 121 20.00    
GOTTEMINABIND         (baker cebur)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 15.00    
CHARLIE'S PEAK         (thomas lee)SMITH J 121 8.00    
READY READY         (devereux patric)ROMAN KEVIN 121 12.00    
SCARLET STORM         (courville )BROUSSARD ASHLEY 121 6.00 10% 9.30    
HURRICANE SIREN         (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00    
LUTIE MO         (landry ray)STOKES J 121 12.00    
LAKE MARIE         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 4.50 35% 1.90    
FIRST I'VE SEEN         (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
10  COURTLY DOC         (cart j)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  CAJUN TWO STEP         (fuselier jonah)THORNTON G 121 2.50    
SCR  THAT'S MY MAMA         (noel dane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 20.00    
 
DED-4   01/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEHOLYLION         (larrosa a)BIRZER E 120 3.50 9% 10.40    
SCR  FRANK THE MAYOR         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
BAPTISM (GB)         (dixon tim)FLORES S 123 15.00    
SPREAD THE FAITH         (schultz robe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
LUNAR LIGHT         (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
SANDYS BLAZE         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 123 8.00    
SCR  SUNNYONASTORMYDAY         (cox l)BACA L 120 12.00    
TOP BRASS (GB)         (winslo)GUERRERO ANDRES null      
 
DED-5   01/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOYANT         (diodoro robert)BACA L 123 3.00    
SMOKY TOPAZ         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
ZONG TOUGH         (dison phill)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00 8% 12.30    
MORO PHAROAH         (meza martin)FLORES S 123 12.00    
PRODUCTION TIME         (celestine ch)JOURNET JARRED 120 20.00    
BOUJIE ONE         (roberts roy)THORNTON G 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
KINGSTON STREET         (meza m)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
SHADY GRADY         (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
PARALISSFRMANALYSS         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50 27% 2.70    
 
DED-6   01/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMELAND MESSA         (toups brent)POMPELL L 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
SMILING SONG         (derousselle pet)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 11% 8.40    
CAJUN BERTI         (degeyter rand)SMITH J 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 19% 4.30    
DESIARD         (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
G DON'T KNOW         (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 20.00    
HARRY'S LIL HIPPIE         (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 15.00    
PAY DIRT         (west henry)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 10.00    
MALASONG         (west henry)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 20.00    
 
DED-7   01/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR BRONX         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
QUALITY PRODUCTION         (vance w)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  FREUDIAN SIP         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 5.00 6% 16.40    
ONE KING CAT         (nelson r)BURNINGHAM J 120 20.00    
LIAM SKYE         (gallaway eddie)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
TAKEN BACK         (harrison cor)JOURNET JARRED 120 20.00    
CAP ROCK MINER         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.50 10% 9.40    
SCR  GETTININTOMISCHIEF         (guillory henr)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
DUTCHMAN         (matthieu ronald)LEBLANC C 120 20.00    
10  BUCK DYNASTY         (chatters bena)SMITH J 123 8.00    
 
DED-8   01/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA DISCREET LADY         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
KELA'S TURN         (guillory j)BIRZER E 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
SHELLBY         (diodoro robert)BACA L 120 10.00    
MISTY DAY         (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 118 6.00 14% 6.30    
ICY CHARLIE         (thomas lee)KENNEDY TY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS PAT'S GIRL         (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
BROKE FINANCING         (jackson dwa)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 20.00    
CILLA         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
ONEROLLOFTHEDICE         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
 
DED-9   01/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHO MARK         (gelner scott)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.50 10% 8.60    
CALLTHEWOLFE         (alberto antoni)BACA L 115 10.00    
HE'S A LUCKY MAN         (chatters bena)SMITH J 118 10.00 7% 13.60    
SOBEK         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00 20% 3.90    
TEXAS RULE         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 118 3.50    
OOPS WEDIDITAGAIN         (deroussell)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 118 15.00    
TROPHY DADDY         (antwine mic)FLORES S 118 15.00    
LAST TO KNOW         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 2.50 33% 2.10    
DISIDE         (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.