Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-4   01/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTER THE CANDY         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 121 10.00 ★    
2  ABRAAJ MIRAGE         (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 6.00    
3  CHROME KING         (evans justin)VERGARA P 121 8.00    
4  TWO GUNS         (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 3.50 8% 11.50    
5  PROFOUND ONE         (jimenez miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00    
6  NOT THAT SERIOUS         (ev)DA FAUSTO 121 3.00 ★    
7  MONGOLIAN MEMORY         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.50 55% 0.80    
8  THE MET         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-5   01/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARICOPA COUNTY         (grissom r)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 20.00    
2  VINTAGE KITTEN         (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
3  COMPLICATE         (brinson clay)CORBETT W 122 3.50 ★    
4  CIBERTRUCK         (stevens sat)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
SCR  WHO'S CHEATIN WHO         (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAUNCH PAD         (chambers mike)MAWING A 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
7  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS)         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 124 6.00 ★    
8  CAPITAL CALL         (rycroft tim)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
9  SKY CONFIDENTIAL         (belvoir vann)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
SCR  ENOUGH NONSENSE         (jimenez miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00    
 
TUP-6   01/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PLEASE DO TELL         (moreno an)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00    
2  ZORICH         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  SOUTH FRESNO         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
4  ANGELO'S PRIDE         (pierce l)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 ★    
5  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE         (shipp micha)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 8.00 ★    
6  CHECK AND RAISE         (evans jus)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 8% 12.10    
7  KONA COAST         (rycroft ril)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
8  EMPEROR'S CHOICE         (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
 
TUP-7   01/06/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O SHUGAH MINT         (gleason m)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00    
2  LEMON DROP LADY         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  BACK TO BUSINESS         (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BABY         (campo stacy)CARTER KYLE 124 6.00 6% 16.50    
5  GOLDEN SUN DROPS         (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  QUEENS RANSOM         (rarick wa)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
7  ROBINSON BLUE         (coughlin chr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
8  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
SCR  LOTSA LENA         (moore joh)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 20.00    
10  BUBBAS STREET GAL         (ferguson chad)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  MISS REBEKAH         (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
12  FOUNDATION         (perren a)CORBETT W 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
 
TUP-8   01/06/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDICIAL         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
2  BULLY BABY         (valerio r)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 15.00    
3  DELIGHTFUL HIPS         (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 ★    
4  TRIBAL BID         (metz jeffrey)BARNETT A 122 3.00    
5  FOGGIA         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
6  ORNAMENTAL IRON         (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
7  MISS IMPORTANT         (christian b)SCRIVER L 122 8.00 58% 0.70    
8  RED NOON RISING         (toye joe)MAWING A 122 10.00 ★    
9  REIGN OF FIRE         (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.00 6% 14.60    
 
TUP-9   01/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOPY         (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 9% 9.80    
2  WHOA NESSIE         (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
3  TEQUILA MARY         (pierce mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00    
4  PIPER ROSE         (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
5  IT'S ALEXUS         (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
6  MONGOLIAN WINDOW         (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 15.00    
7  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY         (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
8  JUST GRACE         (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 12.00    
9  CLUBHOUSE SAINT         (christian b)SCRIVER L 122 8.00    
SCR  MISS KITNESS         (si)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 6% 14.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.