Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTISM SAVANT         (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  SIR DEPUTY         (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 38% 1.70    
3  BLUES RAPPER         (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
4  CAPPER         (williams matt)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  EXPRESS PERMISSION         (belloc umb)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
6  TRACK BOUND         (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 ★    
7  NORTH FORK         (kereluk edw)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 7% 12.60    
 
TUP-3   01/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLATTERWITHJEWELS         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
2  CURIOUS INJI         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 ★    
3  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD         (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
4  BIG ANDY         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 ★    
5  CANTERBURY GOLD         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
6  SHEZA MACHIAVELLI         (mckinn)FLETCHER D 122 15.00 16% 5.30    
7  JEWEL AZUL         (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-4   01/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOTFOOT (GB)         (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  MOONLITE GRAHAM         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
3  MIAMI CROCKETT         (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 3.50 ★    
4  ASTRONOMICAL         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00 ★    
5  MISTER MCLEAN         (rarick wa)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
6  BEDROCK (GB)         (christian b)SCRIVER L 122 8.00    
SCR  TAPPED TO THE MAX         (evans justin)VERGARA P 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
TUP-5   01/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($35.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL MAX         (hedge rick)CARTER KYLE 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  AX MAN         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 122 1.20 49% 1.10    
3  BLACK OPS         (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
4  HARD TO DENY         (troiani n)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 3.50 ★    
5  ARIZONA MOON         (campo stacy)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
6  PINTXOS         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00 7% 13.70    
 
TUP-6   01/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOLLY EXPRESS         (christian b)SCRIVER L 122 5.00    
2  RIDEO         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★    
3  SHINNY         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 1.00 67% 0.50    
4  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN         (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  CORRUZE         (kirk sherry)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 6.00 ★    
6  THIRTY SECONDS OUT         (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-7   01/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSABLE U         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  A CARD SHORT         (gleason m)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00 7% 13.80    
3  BONITA RAPIDS         (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
4  SHARMEL         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
5  SWEET RYAN         (george cynthia)VERGARA P 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
6  LINDA'S BALLET         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
7  TRANS MISSISSIPPI         (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★    
8  FICTIONAL         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-8   01/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT EVEN SMARTER         (rycroft riley)CRUZ M 122 4.50 49% 1.00    
2  RAOFTHESUN         (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 3.50    
3  KING PARKER         (story chad)MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE METAL MAN         (van d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
5  MOJAVE (GB)         (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO null      
6  UNBRIDLED'S SKYE         (brown jared)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00 ★    
7  CROOKED FINGER RAY         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  BALTIMORE BEECHO         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
9  BIBLEMAN         (evans justin)VERGARA P 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.